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In this episode, we discuss the long-term outlook for the housing market, exploring why recovery might take up to a decade. Joined by Lance Lambert, we analyze current trends, economic forecasts, and historical data to understand the challenges ahead. We delve into the impacts of rising interest rates, builder market share, and the potential for motivated sellers. This conversation provides a comprehensive view of the factors influencing the housing market and offers insights for investors and real estate professionals on navigating the upcoming years.

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1. [0:00] Introduction with Lance Lambert - Overview of the current housing market conditions and the long-term outlook.
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2. [0:20] Public Builders' Market Share - Discussion on the increase in market share for public builders, expected to reach 60%.
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3. [1:14] Impact of Big Companies - Analysis of how large companies with significant resources are dominating the market, leaving smaller builders struggling.
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4. [2:21] Forecast Adjustments - Examination of Bank of America's forecast of a 4% rise in home prices and a 5% rise in single-family rents.
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5. [3:03] Billionaire Barry's Rate Cut Plea - Commentary on Barry Sternlicht's public plea for rate cuts and the implications for the market.
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6. [4:06] Existing Home Sales Recession - Comparison of current existing home sales to levels last seen in 1978 and the prolonged recovery period.
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7. [6:00] Historical Data Analysis - Review of historical data showing the slow recovery of existing home sales after significant downturns.
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8. [7:00] Goldman Sachs Forecast - Overview of Goldman Sachs' prediction that it will take several years for home sales to return to 2019 levels.
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9. [10:00] Increasing Inventory - Discussion on the recent increase in housing inventory and its potential impact on the market.
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10. [13:34] Motivated Sellers - Insights on the growing presence of motivated sellers and the importance of doing the work to find deals in the current market.
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• One Rental at a Time: Access the 54-year real estate spreadsheet and other valuable resources.
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• Resi Club Analytics: Subscribe to Lance Lambert's free and premium lists for detailed market analysis and inventory tracking.
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• Lance Lambert on Twitter: Follow Lance for the latest updates and insights on the housing market.
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Thank you for tuning into today's episode. If you found our discussion valuable, please rate, follow, share, and review our podcast. Your support helps us continue to deliver quality content. Stay informed, stay proactive, and leverage the insights and resources available to navigate the housing market's challenges and opportunities. Join our community to get the support and tools you need for successful real estate investing.

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