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--\nOn todays episode of Forward Guidance, Michael Kao, former hedge fund manager turned private investor & Alexander Stahel, Founder & CIO at Burggraben Holding AG join the show for a discussion on the current state of global macro & how those current macro factors are impacting energy markets.\nTurning bearish on oil in late 2022, Michael & Alex were able to sidestep the current downward price action experienced in 2023. Expecting macro headwinds and a less bullish setup in the supply & demand fundamentals, Michael & Alex walk through what the oil bulls got wrong & what to expect in the second half of 2023.\nMichael also shares his framework for the U.S dollar wrecking ball, which seems to be claiming its most recent victims over in Asia, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in!\n--\nFollow Michael: https://twitter.com/UrbanKaoboy\nFollow Alexander: https://twitter.com/BurggrabenH\nFollow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96\nFollow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance\nFollow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_\n--\nUse code GUIDANCE20 to get 20% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin:\nhttps://blockworks.co/event/permissio...\n\nResearch, news, data, governance and models \u2013 now, all in one place. As a listener of Forward Guidance, you can use code GUIDANCE10 for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/\n--\nGet top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter:\nhttps://rb.gy/5weeyw\n\nMarket commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can\u2019t-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research \u201cDaily Debrief\u201d Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos\n--\nTimecodes:\n(00:00) Introduction\n(06:37) Why The Oil Bulls Were Wrong In 2023\n(13:47) Did Russian Sanctions Actually Impact Oil Supply?\n(23:43)\xa0Forecasting Oil Prices\n(31:05) European Gas Prices\n(33:37) The U.S Dollar Wrecking Ball\n(38:41) Lessons From The Asian Financial Crisis\n(41:34) Chinese Oil Demand\n(01:01:33) Why We're Not In An Oil Bull Market\n(01:17:23) Oil Has Further Downside Risk\n(01:24:13) Final Thoughts\n--\nDisclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.