Russell Napier On The Rise And Fall Of The Age Of Debt And Chinas Choice Between Deflation and Devaluation

Published: March 26, 2024, 4:59 p.m.

Finally, you can easily access Bitcoin in a low-cost ETF with the VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL). Visit https://vaneck.com/HODLFG to learn more.\nVanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/hodlprospectus/\n__\nRussell Napier, founder of Orlock Advisors and publisher of The Solid Ground Newsletter, returns to Forward Guidance to share how China\u2019s decision to peg its currency the Chinese Yuan in 1994 at an artificially low rate had enormous consequences on world\u2019s monetary system, and why China may be soon be forced to make a monetary policy decision regarding its currency which may have similarly large consequences for the globe. Filmed on March 13, 2024. Russell is the author of two books, \u201cAnatomy of a Bear Market: Lessons from Wall Street's four great bottoms\u201d and \u201cThe Asian Financial Crisis 1995-1998 And The Birth Of The Age of Debt.\u201d\n__\nRussell Napier\u2019s newsletter, The Solid Ground: https://russellnapier.co.uk/\nRussell\u2019s first book, \u201cAnatomy of a Bear Market: Lessons from Wall Street's four great bottoms\u201d: https://www.amazon.com/Anatomy-Bear-Lessons-Streets-bottoms/dp/0857195220/?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_w=JKHqA&content-id=amzn1.sym.cf86ec3a-68a6-43e9-8115-04171136930a&pf_rd_p=cf86ec3a-68a6-43e9-8115-04171136930a&pf_rd_r=144-7804338-9176020&pd_rd_wg=QZHz8&pd_rd_r=bb8adee9-1ab7-4906-bfc2-cf8c13a39d25&ref_=aufs_ap_sc_dsk\nRussell Napier\u2019s second book, \u201cThe Asian Financial Crisis 1995-1998 And The Birth Of The Age of Debt\u201d: https://www.amazon.com/Asian-Financial-Crisis-1995-98-Birth/dp/0857199145/?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_w=JKHqA&content-id=amzn1.sym.cf86ec3a-68a6-43e9-8115-04171136930a&pf_rd_p=cf86ec3a-68a6-43e9-8115-04171136930a&pf_rd_r=144-7804338-9176020&pd_rd_wg=QZHz8&pd_rd_r=bb8adee9-1ab7-4906-bfc2-cf8c13a39d25&ref_=aufs_ap_sc_dsk\nFollow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us\nFollow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96\nFollow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance\nFollow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_\n\n__\nTimestamps:\n(00:00) Introduction\n(00:52) How To Spot A Change In Monetary Policy\n(03:50) Birth Of The Age Of Debt\n(08:43) Chinese Surpluses Are Getting Smaller\n(14:10) China's Choice Between Deflation Or Devaluation\n(18:23) China's Growth Requires Massive Expansion In Narrow Money\n(27:10) VanEck Ad\n(27:53) Is China The Biggest Real Estate Bubble Ever?\n(30:35) PBOC Likely To Move To Flexible Exchange Rate In Order To Achieve Their Goals In Controlling Price And Quantity of Money\n(33:53) Is Foreign Lending Contingent Upon U.S. Dollar Reserves?\n(36:29) The Origin of The Chinese Stock Market In 1992\n(39:11) Valuations of China's Stock Market\n(41:33) Buy Cheap Currencies, Not Cheap Companies\n(54:11) Napier's Views On Japanese Currency And Stock Market\n(58:51) The Lessons Of Quantitative Easing (QE)\n(01:01:27) The Future of Japanese Monetary Policy\n(01:03:10) The Interest Rate Shock Has Not Broken Something. Why? Will This Continue?\n(01:06:16) Are Higher Interest Rates Deflationary Or Inflationary?\n__\nDisclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.