Citrini on 2024 Election Portfolio Construction And AI Mania
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.\n\nFollow Citrini on Twitter https://x.com/Citrini7\nFollow Citrini on Substack https://www.citriniresearch.com/\nCitrini 1-Year Anniversary Piece: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/citrindex-one-year-anniversary\nCitrini, \u201cElection 2024: Investment Implications & Preparations\u201d: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/election-2024-investment-implications\nFollow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us\nFollow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96\nFollow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance\nFollow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_\n__\n\nTimestamps:\n(00:00) Introduction\n(00:20) How Citrini Is Thinking About Markets Right Now\n(07:21) Just How Narrow Is The AI Bull Market?\n(20:04) VanEck Ad\n(20:44) Election 2024: Investment Implications & Preparations\n(26:18) Fannie Mae and Glass Producers\n(28:34) Onshoring vs. Nearshoring Stocks\n(29:48) Trump Election Would Cause Epic 2s10s Steepeners\n(33:41) Deficits Under Biden, Deficits Under Trump\n(37:07) Trump's Aggressive Tax Policy (TCJA Tax Cuts To Expire In 2025)\n(40:13) China\n(46:32) Trump on Crypto\n(48:15) Would The S&P 500 Perform Better Under Biden or Trump, and Why?\n(54:12) Tarriff Basket\n(56:05) Tarriffs on Chinese Electric Vehicles (EVs)\n(58:31) Citrini on Tesla as an AI Company And As A Robotaxi Company\n(01:01:40) The Hottest New Coding Language Is English\n(01:06:21) Why Software and Saas Stocks Have Underperformed\n(01:09:32) Margin Of Safety Has Been Extraordinarily Diminished\n(01:12:43) What Are The Odds That The Top Is In For AI Stocks?\n(01:19:03) China's AI Stocks\n(01:34:54) Hedging For A Recession Is Pretty Straightforward Right Now\n(01:37:18) Hedging Via The VIX\n(01:42:34) Citrini: "I Think I'm Underweight Nvidia Relative to the S&P 500"\n\n__\nDisclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.