Cash Is King During Fed's Hawkish Warpath, Says Former $20 Billion Fund Manager

Published: June 16, 2022, 5:45 p.m.

Alfonso \u201cAlf\u201d Peccatiello, author of The Macro Compass and former $20 Billion fund manager, joins Jack Farley to break down yesterday\u2019s action-packed Fed meeting, in which Fed Chair Jay Powell laid out the Fed\u2019s revised framework for moderating the rampant inflation that has beset the U.S. economy. Alf tells Jack why the tightening of financial conditions that the Fed aims for requires a further fall in risk assets, and therefore he expects that cash will perform well. Filmed the morning of June 16, 2022.\n--\nFollow Alf on Twitter https://twitter.com/MacroAlf\nFollow Jack on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96\nFollow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_\nAlfonso Peccatiello\u2019s writings can be found at https://themacrocompass.substack.com/\nHis most recent piece that he and Jack discuss can found here: https://themacrocompass.substack.com/p/bad-cop-good-cop?s=r#details\n--\nThe Fed\u2019s June statement: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/monetary20220615a1.pdf\nThe Fed\u2019s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP): https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20220615.pdf\n--\nGet top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/\n--\n(00:00) FOMC Overview \n(06:30) Powell - Good Cop or Bad Cop?\n(09:40) Inflation Expectations and Terminal Rate\n(12:25)Leverage and VaR Shock\n(17:08) Can The Fed Actually Control Inflation?\n(23:13) The Impact Of Higher Rates On Portfolio Allocation\n(29:37) What Does This Mean For Your Portfolio?\n(41:43) The Fed's Real Yield Paradigm Shift\n--\nDisclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.