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And thank you all for joining us for, uh, this edition.
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Today we\'re gonna talk about something that I think, uh,
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weighs on a lot of investors\' minds. Um, there, there tends to be, uh,
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somewhat of a lack of transparency on this topic in the industry.
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And the topic is, is fees and all fees associated with investing.
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We have the perfect guest for us here today. Uh, JT Lavery, uh,
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longtime coworker and friend of mine.
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He\'s the Associate Director of National Sales at Symmetry Partners. Jt,
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thanks for joining us here,
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Tom. Thanks for having me. Appreciate it. So,
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Jt, tell us a little bit about, about your background, um,
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working with advisors.
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I\'ve been working with advisors, Tom, for about 23 years now, kind of in,
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in different facets. Uh, I started off on the service side of things at a, at a,
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at a major mutual fund company up in Boston, answering phones and, and,
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you know, trying to solve problems. And I, you know,
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transitioned over to the sales side, uh, a few years after that. So I have a,
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you know, pretty good background working with advisors that were more on the,
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uh, commission side of things,
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as well as advisors that are on the fee-based side of things. For
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Our listeners, um, describe the difference between the two because I,
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I think a lot of folks out there don\'t know if they\'re paying fees or
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commissions, and,
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and I\'ve heard many times talking to investors that they don\'t think they pay
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anything. Mm-hmm.
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Yeah. So, uh, you know, commissions are paid out, uh, by,
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let\'s say a mutual fund company.
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They will pay out a commission to the advisor who sells that particular mutual
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fund to, uh, to their client.
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And it\'s could be paid out in a very various of different ways. Um, you know,
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if it\'s a shares, it\'ll be an upfront sales charge, B shares,
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which don\'t even think is even a thing anymore.
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It was a contingent deferred sales charge. There was no upfront sales charge,
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but it was a declining sales charge As time goes on and you,
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and you were to sell that particular holding, you know, the,
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the sales charge would be reduced. And then you also had c shares that were,
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you know, about a 1%, you know, uh, uh, trail that would, uh,
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that would pay out to the advisors.
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And those are paid through various fees that are within the mutual funds that
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the mutual fund companies, uh, structure around, you know,
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marketing of their particular products as well as, um,
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as selling those particular products,
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verse the fee side of things where it\'s advisors are just simply charging a fee
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for their advice. They\'re advising their clients on what they should be doing.
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Um, there\'s often, there\'s more than just, um, more advice,
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more than just advice that goes into it. It\'s, you know, financial planning,
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holistic planning and things like that. But it\'s generally a,
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a fee that\'s fully disclosed that they, that they pay.
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And the way most advisors will structure their fees,
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they\'ll structure \'em in such a manner that the more money you have, uh,
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you\'ll start to see those fees actually go down. So
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What I\'m hearing you say, it sounds like, and I think the,
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you said contingent deferred sales charge, right?
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If if you\'re earning a commission, that is a, it\'s a sales charge, correct?
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Right. Whereas, uh, fee for advice is exactly that,
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right? It\'s a fee for, for giving advice so that it\'s not necessarily a,
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a sales charge. Um,
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why do you think it\'s important for investors to know the difference between the
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two? Well,
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It\'s important for them to know the difference. It\'s,
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I think it\'s just important for them to know what they\'re, what they\'re getting.
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First of all, commissions. You can say that there\'s, you know,
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conflicts of interest perhaps. Are they getting sold something that,
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that has a higher commission that, that, you know,
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the advisor\'s gonna get paid more money on, you know, verse, you know,
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they always say, you know,
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a fee-based advisor usually will generally sort of align themselves with the
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client, let\'s say, on the, on the same side of the table, so to speak. They\'re,
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they\'re, they\'re going in as a team, we\'re here to, you know, you got your,
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you want to get from point A to point B,
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let\'s figure out the best way to do that,
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and then we\'ll put you in the appropriate investments. And, you know,
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because they\'re not, you know, getting any commissions, you know,
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generally speaking, there\'s a, I think,
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a certain comfort level knowing that the investment solution\'s gonna be right
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for them.
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No, that, that\'s a really great explanation. And you know, this,
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this podcast where, where our advocates of,
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of financial advisors and financial advice,
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I\'ve said many times before that I always get asked, you know, what\'s a,
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what\'s a great stock tip? What\'s a great tip? What\'s some advice for investing?
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And my advice is always work with a, a fee advisor,
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because that advice is extremely valuable.
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What are you seeing the average on the fee based side average advisory fees in
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the industry? What should investors, what should they know about advisory fees?
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Um, just generally? Yeah, generally,
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Generally speaking, I would, I would say that the, you know,
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the average fee probably comes in around 1%. Um, you know, we see, you know,
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just on our, on ourt here at Symmetry,
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I think the average advisory fee is somewhere around 97 basis points,
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if I\'m not mistaken.
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And so we\'ll see advisors charge as little as maybe 60 or 50 basis points,
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and we\'ll see advisors charge, you know, as, as high as 125 basis points.
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It\'s hard to say what\'s right. It\'s, what it comes down to is, you know,
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your comfort level and what you\'re getting for those services.
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Some advisors will, uh, will charge, let\'s say lower basis points,
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but they\'ll also charge on top of that for other services, like, let\'s say,
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financial planning. Okay.
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Whereas some advisors will charge 125 basis points and let\'s say maybe financial
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planning\'s included in that. And so it\'s always good to know, you know,
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you know, not only what you\'re paying,
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but also what you\'re getting for that particular price or that fee that you\'re
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paying. Okay.
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So these are a couple things that I kind of want to dive into a little bit.
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First and foremost, I think, you know,
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it\'s not fair to talk about price and fees without talking about value, right?
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Right.
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And so I think that you are going to see varying degrees of fees across the
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board, depending on, on, on the advisor\'s value proposition,
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1% that we\'ve seen that fee, that that really hasn\'t changed. Mm-hmm. Right?
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Mm-hmm. Um, we, we do hear a lot about price compression in the industry, but I,
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I think when it comes to the, the financial advisor\'s compensation,
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and I would argue that the financial advisor is the, uh,
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most valuable person in the value chain. Mm-hmm. That fee hasn\'t changed,
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but investors are looking more for, from their advisors. So there\'s some,
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there\'s some margin compression there, right?
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Yeah. The advisor, you know, uh,
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clients are becoming more savvy conversation around fees. It\'s,
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it\'s out in the open, right? You see \'em on commercials all the time,
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whether it\'s Schwab or Fidelity or Vanguard, you know, talking about, you know,
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low fees. So, uh, it\'s out there and clients are well aware of that.
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And so they\'re starting to ask questions,
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they\'re starting to ask what they\'re getting for, for that particular fee.
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But at the end of the day, you know, you know, it\'s,
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it\'s only an issue in the absence of value, you know,
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so if the advisor\'s providing value and they see that and they know that, then,
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you know, generally speaking,
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clients tend to be comfortable with what they\'re paying.
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Certainly, certainly. What are you, you know, the advisors that are charging 1%,
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what are the typical types of services that you see advisors performing for,
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for that fee to add value to the equation?
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That\'s a great question. You know, we, we kind of see,
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we see a lot of advisors that are rolling financial planning into their fee.
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You know, we, we, we see that there\'s, um,
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there\'s a lot of advisors that actually have a, a, um, what I would say,
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a very big financial planning focus. So they\'ll charge for financial plans,
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and they may do some advisory business along the way, uh,
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just to help out clients. And so they\'ll, you know,
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they may charge maybe a little less, maybe around 80 basis points,
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80 to 90 basis points, kind of what we\'re seeing there.
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Okay. That makes a lot of sense. I, I,
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I think that the value proposition for the advisors actually shifted quite a bit
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over the years. You know, you and I have talked, um, a lot about this and,
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you know,
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there was a time where the value proposition was thought to be returned. Mm-hmm.
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I\'ll pay you a higher fee for higher rates of return. And is that the case? No,
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because
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It\'s, you know, I, I think the, the juries, you know, come in, in terms of,
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of returns and in terms of what types of investments you should be in. I mean,
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right now, I mean,
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you\'re seeing huge outflows from going from what I would say traditional active
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to more traditional passive types of investing. And so I think the, the,
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the main role for the advisor is just really being that behavioral coach. Uh,
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when we\'re left to our own devices, we don\'t make,
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we necessarily don\'t make the best decisions, uh, when it comes to investing.
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We, we get very emotional about our, our money and when, when markets are down,
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we, we tend to hit, you know, hit the panic button and sell,
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and that\'s the wrong time to sell. And so, um, you know, when you look at the,
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like, industry studies that are out there, I mean, the vanguard\'s out, you know,
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advisor Alpha is a big one, shows that, you know,
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working with a financial advisor, you can, um, you know,
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capture about 300 basis points extra just by working with a financial advisor.
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And they actually attribute most of that to,
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but I think about half of that to behavioral coaching. Sure.
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And the, um, just for our listeners out there,
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the advisors Alpha study that was done by, uh, Vanguard,
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I believe it\'s a paper that they put out in conjunction with,
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with the Spectrum group. And,
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and it does show that investors who tend to work with financial advisors tend to
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have better performance,
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but it doesn\'t necessarily mean that the advisors tinkering with the portfolio.
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The value proposition, to your point, is coaching. It\'s competent,
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it\'s communication. It, it\'s, it\'s these things that help the investor, uh,
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whether the good times and the bad. And, and,
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and providing that sort of foundation,
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helping the investor stay the course really is the, the secret to,
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to having a successful investment experience. I
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Think it\'s also important to add that I think a lot of advisors now, you know,
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there is sort of a, a paradigm shift.
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It\'s not necessarily the returns that I can generate for you. Um, it\'s,
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it\'s the other things that I can do for you, um,
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because they know that they\'re not portfolio manager. Mm-hmm. You know, they\'re,
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you know, they\'re,
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they\'re running their own business and that business is helping people.
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And if they\'re spending all their time trying to figure out what the best stock
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is, they\'re, they\'re probably gonna miss the boat on, you know,
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helping their clients, you know, with their financial planning and,
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and meeting their, you know, their financial goals over time. Sure,
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Sure. So, you know, we talked a lot about the advisor compensation,
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and I kind of wanna revert back because, you know, the topic today is fees.
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Mm-hmm. It\'s not just advisory fees.
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There are a number of other fees associated with investing.
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You talked a little bit about the ahas, B shares and CS shares,
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which are typically sales charges for mutual funds,
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but there are no load mutual funds out there. There are. Correct. And, uh,
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what that means is there, there isn\'t a, a sales charge per se,
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but that doesn\'t mean that they\'re for free. Correct. Correct.
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Nothing\'s for free.
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Right.
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So talk to us a little bit about the costs that are associated with investing in
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something that, that, that no load or doesn\'t have a, a sales charge. Sure.
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Yeah.
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There\'s a couple costs to think about. You know, there\'s, I always refer to it,
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you know, the cost of investing, right? There\'s, there\'s gonna be, you know,
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some cost to, you know, running a portfolio. I mean,
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that\'s where your expense ratios come in, which is the really, it\'s the,
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the cost of running that particular, let\'s say, mutual fund if,
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whether it\'s a no load or, or a loaded mutual fund. I mean,
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those are things like, you know, trading costs, management fees, um,
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things of that nature. There\'s also, um, you know,
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custody fees that you have to think about, you know, what, uh,
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what custodian is gonna be housing those, those, um,
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those assets for you and what that pay structure looks like. I mean, we see,
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you know, uh, some custodians that\'ll do a flat, you know, flat rate fee,
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and we see some that\'ll have more of a tiered structure.
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So the more that you give them the, the lower that fee will come down. Again,
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there\'s, you know, certain services that are,
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that are provided by the custodian that you may seem are valuable.
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So maybe paying 15 basis points is worth it,
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and you may not see any value in that. And, and paying something like, you know,
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five or seven basis points maybe more, more suited.
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But those are all sort of what I would say in the category of just the cost of
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investing.
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Sure. Sure. And, and when you\'re looking at investment vehicles,
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mutual funds mm-hmm. ETFs,
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those expense ratios that comprise some of those costs,
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what are you seeing on average out there, and are those fees coming down? Uh,
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They are coming down, I pulled some numbers, you know, looking at just on,
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on averages, the, you know,
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the average expense ratio for a large cap mutual fund,
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about 86 basis points on the small cap side, it\'s averaging around, you know,
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1.4%. You know, so again, those are the averages. So you,
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you do see some mutual funds that can be as high as a, you know,
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north of a hundred and twenty five hundred thirty basis points.
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And then you can see some that are just a couple of basis points, you know,
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two basis points, five basis points for, you know, just a simple, uh,
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index tracking strategy. Okay. So
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You said a couple things there that I find interesting. First and foremost, uh,
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the asset class matters, right? Mm-hmm. Large cap versus small cap.
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And I think it would make sense that smaller cap stocks,
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smaller stocks are probably more costly to, to manage and maintain.
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So you\'d expect higher expense
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Ratio, right? Yeah. And to trade \'em, it\'s harder to get access to \'em.
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Yeah. And we see the same thing in, in liquid alternatives.
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Like those alternative strategies tend to be a little pricey. Um,
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so the asset class matters. We are believers of global diversification,
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so having a little bit of all of those asset classes I think makes a lot of
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sense. Correct. Um,
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but you also mentioned something that I kind of want to dive into a little bit.
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You know, 86 basis points on average for large cap mutual fund.
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But you said you can get asset class exposures with index funds for just a
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couple of basis points, correct? Or hundredth of a percent. Mm-hmm. Why is that?
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Uh, I think it comes down to, you know, activity.
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The more active a strategy is you\'re, you\'re gonna see, you know, more turnover,
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that\'s more trading, and that\'s gonna, you know,
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cause the expense ratios to be a little bit higher than a more passive
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portfolio. Let\'s just, let\'s, let\'s just say tracking the s and p 500.
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Sure.
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So someone who is trying to attempt to outperform the s and p
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500 will do so by buying and selling Correct. Creating activity,
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raising costs, also taxes. Mm-hmm.
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Whereas simply buying and holding an index of the s and p 500,
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obviously is going to not only be less costly, but also more tax efficient.
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Correct.
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And it\'s also important to know what you\'re, what you\'re buying.
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There\'s a lot of people out there who, who believe in active management.
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They think that that,
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that there is alpha out there that a portfolio manager can provide,
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and in order to capture that alpha,
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they\'re willing to pay the extra expenses for that. So if you,
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if you know that going into it, then knowledge is king. Right? So,
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so you\'re okay with that. It\'s the people that don\'t understand that,
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that are in a portfolio, let\'s say a 401K plan, for example,
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you go into the menu, you,
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most people are probably gonna look at what their historical returns are,
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and they\'re gonna probably make a decision based off of past performance not
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knowing what, what\'s under the underlying securities or,
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or what the strategy is behind the individual mutual fund.
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And they could be paying, you know,
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higher fees and not knowing really what they\'re paying or why they\'re paying it.
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Yeah.
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And it, and it\'s important, right? At the end of the day,
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what you pay in fees comes off the top of what your return is. And over time,
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that can be substantial. We say lot on this podcast, you know, we,
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we can\'t control the markets, we can\'t control asset allocation,
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we can\'t control costs, and we can\'t control taxes. And we, we,
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we educate our listeners that, hey, focus on things you can control. Mm-hmm.
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Right? And so fees do matter at the end of the day.
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And I think there\'s been a lot of studies out there, if I\'m not mistaken,
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Morningstar had one not too long ago that says,
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one of the key indicators of a mutual fund\'s performance is the expense ratio.
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The lower the fee, the greater likelihood it\'s gonna perform well. Yeah. Well
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Think about this. So in, in keeping with that,
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if you are in a mutual fund that has a 1% expense ratio and that mutual fund
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returned 5%,
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you\'re automatically giving up 20% and you\'re giving that back to the,
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to the fund company, right?
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501 is four. Exactly.
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Just, you know, basic math right there. Mm-hmm. So there, there, there is,
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you know, fees do matter and they do erode, you know,
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performance particularly over time. Uh,
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I got a couple other examples here I can share with you. You know, please just,
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you know, keeping things simple, you know,
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a hundred thousand dollars investment over 20 years, um,
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assuming a 6% rate of return in a mutual fund that has a 1% expense ratio,
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forget about, you know, custody,
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forget about advisory fees and all that other stuff,
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just straight up just investing in a one per, in a mutual fund that\'s, uh, 1%,
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uh, at the end of that 20 years, you know, you\'ll end up with a,
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a gross return of $320,713 and 55 cents.
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Take a look at the cost of fees.
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The cost of fees of that are actually $55 $383 and 78 cents.
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So you\'re gonna end up, uh, at the, in your account at the end of the day,
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after 20 years with, uh,
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$265,329 and 77 cents.
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And that\'s if you\'re invested in a, a, a mutual fund that has, you know,
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expense ratio 1%. And some people look at that and they say, that\'s great.
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That\'s that, that\'s a good return over 20 years. I\'ll take that.
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When you compare that, everything else being equal, but it\'s invested. Now in a,
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in a mutual fund that has an expense ratio of, uh, 25 basis points, again,
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a hundred thousand dollars over 20 years, 6% rate of return. The end of that,
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you, you,
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you still end up with the $320,713 55 cents,
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uh, on the gross end. But on the net,
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what you end up with is $305,919 and 75 cents.
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And so that\'s a cost, cost of fees there of 14,
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do $14,793 and 80 cents.
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So that\'s a significant difference ends up in your pocket. That\'s,
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That\'s, that\'s, that\'s massive. And we,
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we told our listeners there wouldn\'t be any math, but, uh, no, that, that,
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that is very true. But the thing is fees,
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it\'s part of investing like anything else. Mm-hmm. Right. They\'re,
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they\'re there. And I think it\'s important for investors to know,
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one of the things, uh, I read an article many years ago,
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and I think it\'s still prevalent and it\'s the notion of transparency, right?
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And, and, and what this article did, it was from,
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from State Street Global Advisors partnering with, uh, Wharton.
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And they interviewed a number of investors, um, about fees and,
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and their sentiments around fees.
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And what that study showed us was, it\'s not so much the,
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the level of the fee as they just wanted to know what it is.
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And why do you think there\'s such a lack of transparency with,
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with costs in this industry?
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I just think it\'s easy to, it\'s easy to bury. That\'s
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Unfortunate.
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You know, I think, and, and I think that\'s, that\'s,
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that\'s starting to change a little bit. I know we see it in our business,
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you know, and one of the things that,
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that we always kind of pride ourselves on are full transparency on fees,
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you know? But if you can look,
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if you can look less expensive than your competitor,
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then you feel that\'s gonna give you a competitive advantage. And so, you know,
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so it\'s,
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it\'s unfortunately I would say it\'s not uncommon for investment companies or
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other providers to, you know, kind of, you know,
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bury their fees or sort of hide them within, you know, the structure of their,
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of their, um, of their costs.
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Well, I think you, you said it best, right? In in, if there\'s value,
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the fees don\'t matter. Correct. Right. If you\'re getting what you\'re paying for.
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And so I think that there\'s a notion of a lot of advisors out there not wanting
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to talk about fees,
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cuz they might not be confident in their own value proposition. However,
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there are a lot of advisors that you and I work with on a daily basis that
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they\'re very upfront with what their cost structure is.
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They\'re very upfront with the fees are of the underlying investments,
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and they bring that transparent to the table because they have a very strong
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value proposition of their
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Clients. Yep. Yeah. They\'ll have it on their website, they\'ll have their,
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their fee, you know, their fee schedule on there along with, you know, the,
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the various services that they charge and, you know,
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whether you feel it\'s high or whether you feel it\'s low, at the end of the day,
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it\'s up to you to decide what\'s best for you. But at least you know,
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you have that full disclosure. Um, so you can make the,
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the best decision possible. Certainly,
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Certainly. So if, if our listeners are out there looking for a,
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a financial advisor, you know,
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some of the things that I\'m hearing you say that they should be looking for is,
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is the advisor using a commission-based mo a commission-based model or a
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fee-based model? Mm-hmm. Are they, uh,
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transparent with their compensation and uh,
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are they transparent with their value proposition? Correct. Is,
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is there anything else that, that you would add to that?
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Um, just knowing what services you\'re gonna get. You know, I think, you know,
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time and time again, we, he,
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we hear stories that client felt that they were gonna get something from an
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advisor that they\'re,
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they\'re just not getting and they end up firing that advisor. You know,
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so knowing what you\'re gonna get from that advisor, and, and some advisors,
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again, they\'ll have this right on their website or they\'ll have it on that first
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consultation that they talk to. They\'ll tell you, Hey, look, you\'re gonna get,
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you know, four, you know, four meetings a year.
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You\'re gonna get six phone calls, you know, from me a year and,
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and here\'s my cell phone number. If there\'s ever an emergency for something,
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you know, give me a call. And then there\'s other advisors that\'ll say, you know,
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I\'ll meet you with you twice a year and we\'ll review your portfolio and if
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everything looks good, then we\'ll, I\'ll talk to you in six months.
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And if you\'re okay with that,
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and you at least you know that going into the relationship, I think where,
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where people get burned is they,
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they think they\'re gonna get more outta the relationship than they\'re getting.
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And a lot of times it\'s just slimy cuz of lack of transparency.
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Right. And I think that transparency is a,
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a tremendous way for advisors to build trust.
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Cause it\'s all based on trust at the beginning of the Absolutely.
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At the end of the day anyway, so Absolutely.
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And it\'s also important, Tom,
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to remember that as you\'re looking for a financial advisor, it\'s a,
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you think of it as a, a mutual interview. It\'s, it\'s, you know, they\'re,
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they\'re looking to see if you\'re gonna be a good client for them,
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just like you\'re looking to see if they\'re gonna be a good advisor for you.
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And so it\'s important that, that, uh, that a, your values are aligned.
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It\'s important to look for that full transparency,
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but it\'s also important that it\'s, you know, somebody that you can connect with.
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Absolutely. Absolutely. And, um, every investor\'s unique. Mm-hmm.
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And every advisor\'s unique in, in trying to find that match,
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I think is very important. So for our listeners out there, uh,
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those that might be looking for financial advisor,
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make sure that you\'re getting, uh, transparency into costs.
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Make sure you\'re getting transparency into value proposition.
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Make sure that you\'re using someone who is maybe not necessarily earning sales,
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uh, charges or sales commissions, uh, but actually giving fee for advice,
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which eliminates conflicts of interest. Um, and so I think that\'s, there\'s a,
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there\'s a lot there for our listeners to digest. JT, I want to thank you for,
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for joining us here today. It\'s been a pleasure talking to
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You. This has been a great time. We gotta do this more often.
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Absolutely. We\'d love to have you back on the show. Uh, so in closing,
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I wanna thank the listeners for, for chiming into this, uh, podcast. And, uh,
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we\'ll get you at the next one. And, uh,
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for those of you who are looking for our, some of our previous episodes, uh,
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you can find them wherever you\'re currently finding your podcast.
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So thank you so much for your time and, uh, I\'ll see you at the next one.
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Symmetry Partners llc,
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it\'s an investment advisor firm registered with the Securities and Exchange
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Commission.
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00:21:08.580 --> 00:21:13.280
The firm only transacts business in states where it is properly registered or
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excluded or exempted from registration requirements.
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00:21:17.160 --> 00:21:21.720
Registration of an investment advisor does not imply any specific level of skill
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00:21:21.740 --> 00:21:26.240
or training and does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the
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00:21:26.240 --> 00:21:26.940
commission.
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00:21:26.940 --> 00:21:30.080
No one should assume that future performance of any specific investment,
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00:21:30.290 --> 00:21:32.560
investment strategy, product,
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00:21:33.060 --> 00:21:37.320
or non-investment related content made reference to directly or indirectly in
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this material will be profitable. As with any investment strategy,
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there is the possibility of profitability as well as loss due to various
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factors including changing market conditions and or applicable laws.
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The content may not be reflective of current opinions or positions.
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Please note the material is provided for educational and background use only.
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Moreover,
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you should not assume that any discussion or information contained in this
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material serves as the receipt of or as a substitute for
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personalized investment advice.
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' -->Listed in: Business
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Welcome back to part two on our discussion of alternative investments here with
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us as Phil McDonald,
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portfolio Manager and managing Director of Investments at Symmetry Partners.
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Phil, welcome back.
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Thanks for having me back. Tom,
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I think we\'re getting a lot of questions from investors and and advisors because
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of the fact that you look at the performance of some of these alternative asset
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classes in a year like 2022. However,
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I think we would caution our listeners to, to not chase returns,
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and it\'s more of a strategic allocation that you wanna hold in your portfolio
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for a long duration.
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I would totally agree with that. And, and you have other considerations here,
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like broadly speaking, the expectation of the 60 40 portfolio,
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the return on the so-called 60 port,
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40 portfolio is likely going to be below average for in, in the near future.
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So you start to think about like, okay,
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my traditional portfolio isn\'t gonna return, you know, the 40 year average,
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what we saw decades ago. So where else might I be,
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might be able to go for returns and diversification? So you,
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you have that inflation surprises, you have increased correlation of,
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of traditional asset classes in the recent past. You know,
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of all these things kind of pointing to the benefit of having a diversified
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alternative strategy. And I would agree with you,
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I think you were alluding to the strength of 2022. It was,
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it was a very good year for certain alternative strategies.
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I would encourage people to think of that as an outlier year like that.
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That\'s not a year that can necessarily happen again unless all the bad things
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that happen in the equity and fixed income markets and with inflation kind of
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recur. So I, I would encourage people to almost think in terms of sharp ratio,
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right? So an excess return for a given volatility,
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a sharp ratio above 0.5, getting to maybe a 0.8, is,
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is the type of realm I think you should think of for,
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for a diversified alternative strategy. And,
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and to kind of put specifics on that,
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so something that has is managed to a 10% volatility or standard deviation that
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would be a five to 8% excess return on the risk-free rate. So,
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so you know, you\'re talking single digit excess returns for, uh,
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a strategy that\'s scaled to a 10% volatility. So, you know,
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to take people out of this expectation of,
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of a home run year kind of happening again, it\'s less likely to happen again.
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Gotcha.
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Um, just to clarify some of that, because I think that\'s some,
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some very important advice there. When we talk sharp ratio,
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the way I look at that is bang for your buck. Are you,
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are you getting the return for the risk that you are taking?
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And the higher the sharp ratio,
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the greater the return is for the risk that you\'re taking.
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And so when we\'re talking about, you know, years like 2022, which is an outlier,
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which I would agree, you know,
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investors could have alternatives in their portfolio for years with a trade off
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being,
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you might be getting single digit returns while the markets may be producing
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double digit returns. We don\'t know when the next 20, 22, 2 is gonna happen.
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But having an allocation of those alts will certainly help weather that storm.
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Uh, uh, totally agree. Yes.
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So I think a misconception here, and this is just from my conversations with,
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with advisors, investors alike, they think alternative strategies,
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they think returns. Mm-hmm.
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They think even tactical shifts into and hour. Exactly. Yeah.
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But what I\'m hearing you say that this is more of a risk mitigating strategy
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than a return reaching strategy.
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I think it\'s, it\'s strongly risk mitigating from a diversification standpoint,
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but I\'m not quite sure how
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Much you have to give up in returns. Okay. I mean, it,
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I I wouldn\'t necessarily say it, it\'s gonna hurt you over the long term.
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I think you need to think about the right portfolio you, you want to be in. And,
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you know, I dunno if you had a question here, but, uh, you know, there,
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there are some very specific use cases that I think make sense and that would be
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managing just the life cycle,
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how financial plans and asset allocations change as a person ages. Again,
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we, we have a finite kinda life here where we\'re earning and spending and maybe
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bequeathing and then preferences. So theoretically, as someone ages,
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they\'re the, the risk of their portfolio should, should come down over time.
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They\'re converting their human capital,
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their potential for earning during their career into financial capital.
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They\'re investing that hopefully they\'re being thoughtful about the
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diversification of, of, of those kind of two buckets and say,
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equity beta should come down as you age.
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Where do you go with that allocation in your portfolio?
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Historically and traditionally, someone would say, oh, fixed, fixed income,
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of course. But we\'ve been seeing for a decade, you and I right,
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we\'re we\'re both nodding and smiling.
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There have been times when people were strongly opposed to increasing the fixed
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income allocation in their portfolio. So if it\'s just, you know, gas and break,
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you know, what do you do? You, you know,
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we\'ve seen investors and advisors kind of freeze and, and say, oh,
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there\'s no solution here. But this third or fourth, right,
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with cash in the consideration bucket of allocation really opens things up.
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You can take down beta risk, uh, equity beta,
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and you can allocate and diversify not only into fixed income.
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Gotcha.
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And you, you know, we, I joke around saying it depends, right? We,
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we say that a lot here, um, because I also think it\'s a perfect portfolio.
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You know, we, we look at portfolios as being a series of trade offs.
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And so I immediately think, well gosh, you know,
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if you don\'t really give up any of the return,
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but you can definitely mitigate some of the risks through sharp ratio,
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as you said, like looking at that particular statistic, who,
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what are the trade-offs of, of investing in alternatives? And,
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and immediately I think, well, well, you\'re still, there\'s still cost,
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even though you can get lower cost alternative exposures,
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there\'s still a cost element to that. Um, and also, you know,
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we talk a lot about tracking error on the behavioral side, right?
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If you\'re gonna add an alternative asset class to your portfolio,
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but you\'re honed in on the s and p 500, you\'re,
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you\'re not gonna be tracking that index.
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Right?
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Is that, is that a correct way of thinking about it?
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Absolutely.
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And I\'m glad you brought that up because not only are alternatives difficult to
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benchmark, there are some indices that I think, um, are,
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are relevant to a diversified, you know, conservative strategy. We, we,
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you know, we run an alternative strategy, uh,
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in different forms that is not seeking to, to be very volatile, right?
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So sub under that 10% volatility that I gave as,
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as the example to conceptualize a sharp ratio. So we, we,
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we don\'t even believe in a, uh,
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that high level of volatility in an alternative strategy. Um,
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but you raise a very good point.
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So not only are alternatives difficult to benchmark,
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but if you have alternatives in your portfolio,
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the appropriate benchmark for your portfolio should reflect
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the allocation you have. If it\'s 50% diversified equity,
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40% diversified fixed income, and 10% alts,
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you should probably benchmark yourself to a blended benchmark of a
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50, 40 10 mix of relevant indices.
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Not just look to the s and p 500, because again,
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you probably have a 0.5 beta in that portfolio.
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You don\'t want to compare yourself to something that is a 1.0 beta.
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Sure, sure. Absolutely. And you know, we, we talk a lot about, on this podcast,
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a lot of folks look at benchmarks to look at the performance, their portfolio,
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and I think that makes a lot of sense. But the true one,
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true benchmark is are you hitting your goals from a financial planning
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standpoint? Right? And so I think that\'s a better way to, to,
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to look at it versus just making sure that you may or may not be
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outperforming the s and p,
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which is a very visible benchmark out in the world today.
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And we can think the media outlets for that certainly. Right.
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So let\'s talk a little about, uh, allocation to alts, right?
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Let\'s say you have an investor, let\'s say it\'s 60% stock, 40% bond,
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maybe a small cash position in there. How should that investor consider adding,
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uh, alternatives to the portfolio? Is there a maximum amount you would put in?
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Is there a minimum amount? Would you take it from the stock side?
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Would you take it from the bond side? How does that work? And how should our,
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our listeners be conceptualizing adding that asset
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Class? So we, we have some opinions here, but I think in the end, it\'s,
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it\'s gonna be what is acceptable to the investor and what their financial
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advisors would recommend start the starting point matters.
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So if you\'re exceptionally conservative to start, say you\'re,
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you know, 10% equity in 90% fixed income,
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I think taking it ha having a a higher allocation alt might
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make more sense than if you were starting from the other end. So, uh,
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in terms of the distribution of returns and, and you know,
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the level of volatility of a diversified AL strategy,
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it\'s a little bit more similar to fixed income. It\'s, it\'s,
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I like to say those returns are fueled by different things. You know, it\'s not,
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you know, duration and credit risk and illiquidity type of stuff.
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It\'s other drivers that, that give you returns and alternatives.
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But our rules of thumb, which, you know, are for people to take or leave,
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would be maybe up to about 25% if you\'re starting from a very conservative, uh,
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portfolio. And if you\'re starting from a very aggressive portfolio,
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just say someone\'s a hundred percent equity invested in says, ah,
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I want to add malts to this portfolio, but I don\'t like fixed income. Um,
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I know a few of those, maybe,
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Maybe something more in the realm of 15%,
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I think lower than 10% allocation of anything to the portfolio is gonna have a,
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a, a limited effect on, on the outcome, right?
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So 10 percent\'s probably our general starting point to add something and, and,
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and see, uh, beneficial effect to the portfolio and,
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and where we\'ve landed on where to fund it from.
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So I didn\'t forget that part of your question,
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where believers in prorata from the,
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the asset allocation,
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so if you\'re a 60 40 investor and you put say,
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20% alternatives,
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60% of that should be probably funded from a reduction in inequity
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and 40% from a reduction in fixed. And they go, again,
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these are starting rules of thumbs. I I am very familiar with people who,
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because that returns distribution to alts, you know, the volatility and the,
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and kind of the average return to the distribution to alts is a little
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more similar to fixed income than it is to equity.
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I know folks who want to take 100% on a fixed income, that is an approach,
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but if you think about that, you\'ve done nothing to reduce your equity risk.
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So if someone is, again, aging life cycle is a consideration here,
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diversifying both systematic, traditional,
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systematic exposures of equity and fixed,
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we think taking from both makes a lot of sense to fund that ALT\'s position.
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There are exceptions, you know, there, there are, you know,
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there are people who have different savings or different, you know,
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sources of income, maybe people with three pensions, you know, like who, uh,
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who look a little different from an average investor. So again,
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individual specifics need to come into play, but those,
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those are my starting rules of thumb in a vacuum.
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Well, that makes a lot of sense,
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especially if you\'re looking at alternatives as a third leg to the stool, right.
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Stocks and bonds.
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And if the third category is going to be alternative asset classes or
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alternative strategies, it should come out prorata.
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It\'s not that the ALS are taking the place of equities or fixed income,
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it\'s something completely, completely different in the portfolio.
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Yep.
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Fantastic. So, um, Phil, I wanna thank you so much for your time. This is, uh,
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uh, super enlightening and just to kind of recap what we discussed, uh,
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for our listeners, um,
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alternative investments are a great way to diversify a portfolio beyond stocks,
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bonds, and cash.
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There are ways to get exposures to liquid alternative strategies through
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ETFs and mutual funds. With that should,
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you should expect a level of transparency to make sure you are getting those
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diversification benefits and, uh, certainly, uh, liquidity being a,
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uh, a factor there as well. And you know, whether or not alternatives are,
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are suitable for you, as we always say and unfiltered finance. You know,
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the best advice we can give is to always work with a financial advisor or
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financial professional that can take a look at your own personal situation,
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assess that situation, and, uh, make sure that they recommend, uh,
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an asset allocation, uh, that\'s suitable for you.
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Thank you listeners for joining us today. Uh, Phil, once again,
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it\'s always fun having you on the show. We\'ll certainly have you back. Great.
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Thanks for having me.
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For those of you who are looking for additional information,
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you can always visit our website@www.symmetrypartners.com. Feel free to,
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uh, listen to this podcast, uh,
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Listed in: Business
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Thank you for joining us. Uh,
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we have a special episode today where we want to talk about, uh,
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an area of the market that, uh, a lot of investors have probably heard of, uh,
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and probably most investors don\'t have a lot of exposure to.
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And that is alternative investments.
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And I have the perfect guest for us here today. Uh, Phil McDonald,
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who is a portfolio manager and the managing director of investments at Symmetry
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Partners, and is the resident expert on,
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on alternative investing here at Symmetry. So Phil, thanks for joining us today.
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Thanks for having me. I\'m happy to be here.
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So I kinda wanna start very high level, Phil, um,
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because I think alternative investments is a, is a very, very broad topic.
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I mean, it can cover things, uh,
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such as precious metals to hedge fund strategies, um,
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all the way down to things like NFTs, right? Or, or even, you know,
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card collecting to an extent, right? So if you could just very high level give,
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give us a very broad definition, uh, on your view on alternative investing,
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please.
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And thank you that,
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that is a highly relevant question because alternatives is one of those labels
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and investing that doesn\'t have, uh,
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a perfectly agreed upon definition. I think, you know,
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certain people hear it and they think different things. Um,
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I think a useful definition to keep in mind is really, uh,
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the starting point is anything that is an investment strategy that is different
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from or diversifying to traditional asset classes that is
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equity and fixed income, right? Um,
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but I think you can\'t really stop there because, you know,
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you called attention to, to certain ideas that, you know,
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people might think of if, you know, you mentioned alternative investing,
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you know, baseball cards or, you know,
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a lot of interesting different artwork choices. Yeah. We\'ve talked about,
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talked about
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That before.
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Cars, uh, timber farmland, you know, these are all, some,
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a lot of people think real estate, right? Which I think we could,
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we could debate that one,
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but I think not only should the investment strategy be different, but there,
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there should be kind of an economic rationale for why you might
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earn a return on that different strategy. And, and more specifically,
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where\'s the premium coming from? Right? So I think very quickly for me,
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that collapses down more to specific liquid,
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uh, investment in trading strategies.
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Sometimes based on themes we\'re al already familiar with in,
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in asset classes we\'re already familiar with.
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You don\'t necessarily have to go really far a field to find an
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addition to a portfolio that will, will make a difference in terms of, you know,
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adding an alternative, uh, investment exposure.
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Sure. Thank you for that. And, um, you know,
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I think it is that broad of a definition, right? I mean, uh,
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just to sort of clarify for, for our listeners, um,
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the word alternative means alternative, you said traditional asset classes,
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stocks, bonds.
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There is a correlation benefit to owning both stocks and bonds in a portfolio
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Most years. Most years. Yeah. We\'ll get to that. We will get to that. Um,
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however, um, you know, alternatives, to me it is a,
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it\'s a correlation story in, in all of those investments, if you will,
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whether it\'s cars, stamps, baseball cards, commodities,
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they are going to have or should have some sort of diversification benefit.
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And that\'s the purpose of it, right?
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Totally. You, you nailed it.
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The diversification benefit of an alternative strategy performing alternatively,
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right? So if you wanna get a little bit geeky, you know,
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you can think about something whose return stream looks different. So, you know,
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low correlation and expected return from that, you know, economic logic,
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that underlying fundamental theme as to if I do this trading strategy,
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I should expect a return, hopefully lower volatility than, than say,
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a equity market. So right there, you, you can talk about high sharp ratios or,
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you know, high excess returns relative to the volatility you\'re talking about.
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And, and absolutely diversification is the benefit. Very often, I, I, you know,
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use the, um, analogy of, you know, a third bucket of diversification.
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All you thought really all you had was two, well,
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there\'s this third bucket you might want to consider for some clients. And,
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and one, one thing I want to clarify here on, on this topic while we\'re here,
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most of these strategies are not a hedge,
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diversification is not a hedge.
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So if you\'re diversified with regard to, you know,
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equity markets and volatility, it doesn\'t mean when equities go down 10%,
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you go up 10%. It\'s not that directly, you know,
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inverse of a relationship. It\'s unrelated, you know,
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it\'s not sensitive to what the equity or fixed income market hopefully is doing.
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That\'s really what diversification is.
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So it\'s not the taking the, the counterpoint, if you will, right?
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Like something zigs this must zag, so to speak. Right? And so the idea is, it,
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it\'s not going to behave from a return standpoint like any other,
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it shouldn\'t behave like any other asset classes you currently have in your
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portfolio. And I really like the way you put that sort of a, a third bucket,
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right? I I maybe even a fourth, right? Because I think of cash. Yeah, exactly.
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So, so most investors have cash, bonds and stocks,
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most of their 401ks. And so what you\'re saying,
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there\'s this whole other realm of alternatives that can have
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diversification benefits because of the fact that they don\'t behave like stocks,
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bonds, and cash. Correct.
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So let\'s talk a little bit because I think alternatives sometimes get a bad
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rap. Um, I think a lot of it has to do with the,
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so maybe the broad definition has something to do with it,
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but let\'s just kind of pick it apart with some of the,
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the arguments I\'ve heard from, uh, investors and financial advisors alike.
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And the first one that comes to mind is cost, right? You know,
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you think hedge funds,
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you think two 20 or three and 30 where you\'re the managers earning, you know,
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2%, 3% plus a,
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a large portion of the profits talk to us a little bit about cost with
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alternatives,
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Right? And that I think is a fair critique of,
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I dunno if I wanna call it a traditional model of alternative investing,
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maybe older model where some of this, these strategies started mm-hmm.
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Which really only offered in limited partnerships,
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which tend to have high minimums, you know,
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so only high net worth folks can qualify for them. They\'re illiquid.
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So capital could be tied up for something even up to 10 years opaque,
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you\'re not really sure what the manager is doing and, and expensive, you know,
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even, you know,
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sometimes you have like fund to funds and feeder funds and you have layers of
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fees, and then obviously those, those performance fees come into play as well.
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Um, so the good news is that that\'s not the only way to access alternative
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strategies. Now, you,
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the investor is able to invest in mutual funds and even ETFs that offer
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alternative strategies for the most part, liquid, transparent, you know,
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you get all the benefits of, you know, the regulatory requirements of,
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of being a fund in these structures.
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Not all strategies live well in that liquid structure.
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So, you know, you don\'t have quite literally that list of, you know,
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that funny list of all the things we could think of that someone might think of
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as, as a good investment. So you, you are more constrained,
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but still there\'s quite a bit to, to choose from. And then, you know,
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to your point,
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most of those strategies are just gonna have a very straightforward expense
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ratio on the fund. It\'ll be very clear what the investor has to pay on average.
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You typically see higher fees than, you know, a traditional say,
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index fund for equity or, or, or fixed income. But you,
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you\'re getting something different in, in a well-managed alternative strategy,
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Right? And you hit on a couple of of points there, right?
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Cost is something that always comes up. And uh,
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I understand that even in some of these ETF or mutual fund type vehicles,
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that there, there could be a higher layer of cost,
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but there are ways to get exposures to these asset classes without paying
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two and 20. Mm-hmm. Right. Um, you also mentioned liquidity, right?
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I think that gets solved for,
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if you\'re not using a limited partnership sort of vehicle.
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If you\'re using an etf, they\'re very, very liquid.
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So you can get your money whenever you may need it.
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But you also hit on something that I think is, I think,
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important to investors and it\'s transparency, right?
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The opacity of a hedge fund, traditional,
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if I can use the word traditional hedge fund tends to be a little bit, uh,
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black boxy, if you will, right? Right. And maybe investors are thinking of,
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you know, things like Bernie Madoff or things like that, right?
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Where you don\'t know what\'s going on under the hood,
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but an ETF or a mutual fund,
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an ETF specifically, you\'re gonna get a a lot of transparency in that. Correct?
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Yeah,
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Absolutely.
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So you know exactly what you\'re holding.
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Absolutely. And, and, uh, you\'ve touched upon a point,
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which I think is very relevant,
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and thankfully there\'s been an evolution in the industry to kind of bring
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attention to some of that. So the,
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the idea of a global macro go anywhere,
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hedge fund a star manager who, you know, returned a thousand percent last year,
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you know, raising funds, just like in telling investors, I\'m really smart.
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I\'m smarter than all the rest. Invest with me.
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I\'ll find whatever the opportunity is globally, you know,
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regardless of country or region or asset class. Like,
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I will go find that opportunity and I will achieve a higher return. That,
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that\'s certainly something to probably be very careful of, right? He,
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he might wanna shy away from that. So over the last, I don\'t know,
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I\'ll say 25 years or so, there,
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there\'s been light kind of shown upon this idea that, you know,
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hedge funds don\'t hedge, you know, some hedge funds have a lot of beta,
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some hedge funds are,
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are implementing strategies you can get with liquid strategies. You know,
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this idea of hedge fund replication was, was an interesting arm of, uh,
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quantitative research. So I, I think for,
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for those who are interested and have the time as an alternative investor, you,
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you should be able to get from your manager a very specific explanation of
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exactly what\'s happening in the strategy,
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why it\'s an alternative strategy,
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why the fee being charged on that strategy makes sense,
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how it\'s diversifying to traditional asset classes. And really, I think at a,
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on a very basic level,
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confirm you\'re not paying alternative investment fees for
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just call it equity beta, right?
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Because we know equity beta is available in really high quality ETFs from
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Vanguard for probably three basis points. Yeah.
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I think that\'s a very important point, right? And, and we\'re firm believers on,
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on, on transparency. And if you\'re using alternatives correctly,
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if I\'m understanding what you\'re saying,
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and it is a diversification play to ensure that you\'re getting that
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diversification, you need that level of transparency. And a lot of times, and,
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and we\'ve read about this and talked about this in the past,
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sometimes these more opaque type strategies, you know,
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if equities are doing really, really well,
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they might be very correlated to equities at that very given point in time.
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And then the whole story of diversification kind of goes out the window,
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doesn\'t it?
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A hundred percent.
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And I think financial media hasn\'t helped in that education, right?
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So there\'s been stretches of time when equity markets were doing very well,
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and hedge funds haven\'t been, and, and you know, the storyline there is,
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you know, hedge funds failed. And well, if hedge fund,
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if a real alternative strategy has zero beta to the equity market and the equity
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equity market\'s doing well,
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I wouldn\'t necessarily expect to see those hedge funds up just because,
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Right? If, if the,
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if the alternative investment that you\'re using for diversification is zigging,
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while your equities are zigging, you
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Should ask questions. You should ask
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Questions. Absolutely. Absolutely. Well, let,
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let\'s talk a little bit about the performance, uh, of,
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of alternative investing in relation to portfolio.
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And you alluded to this in the beginning when, uh, you mentioned that, you know,
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sometimes stocks and bonds do behave alike. Mm-hmm. And we saw that in 2022,
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right? Yeah. Both had, uh, extremely volatile tough year,
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both ended up in, in the red. Um,
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how did alternatives do, or what,
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how did alternative asset classes perform during that timeframe?
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Uh, certain of them did reasonably well. So, uh, I\'ll,
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I\'ll maybe run through a few examples of, uh,
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strategies that are alternative. Uh,
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our diversified alternative investment approach would include.
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One of those is something called, uh, manage futures or trend following, or,
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you know, if you want to think about, you know, quantitative factor investing,
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which you know, is what we think about a lot, you can, you can consider that,
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um, longitudinal momentum or momentum over time.
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And this is really just a strategy that takes advantage of investing in futures
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and forwards. So derivatives that\'ll cover, you know, commodities,
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equity markets, fixed income markets. Uh, and in the simplest sense,
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if a trend in an asset class is up,
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especially over, you know, short, medium, and long-term time periods,
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the managed future strategy would essentially be long that exposure.
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And if a trend is down over, you know,
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short and long horizon managed future strategy would be short, uh,
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that asset class or commodity. So in 2022,
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when everything felt like it was going down and continuing down,
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the managed future strategy was able to reposition and be short,
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many of those strategies that were showing persistent negative price signals.
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So in 2022 a year when both equity and fixed income markets globally,
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generally speaking on a diversified basis,
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were down and very positively correlated,
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something like a managed future strategy was up, uh, strongly and,
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and very diversifying. That\'s
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Really interesting.
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And so would you\'d have the same expectation if both stocks and bonds were
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up, that the mayor\'s future strategy might be down, or does it depend?
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It depends.
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So it depends on the strength of those signals and the persistence of those
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trends. So in, in certain stable, neutral, slow,
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generally up markets, those signals may be too choppy to, to make use of.
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And maybe if there\'s conflicting signals, say, you know,
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up in the short term, down strongly in the medium term,
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up slightly in the long term, you know,
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you can\'t always make sense of those quantitative signals and,
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and you might have no exposure in that type of underlying market or commodity or
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asset class.
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So that\'ll conclude part one of our, uh, conversation alternative investments.
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Phil, thanks for joining us. And for our listeners, uh,
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if you\'re looking for additional information,
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please feel free to visit our website, www.symmetrypartners.com,
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and to access more of the Unfiltered Finance podcasts.
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Please feel free to find us wherever you\'re getting your podcast today.
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Be sure to stay tuned for part two.
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\\xa0
' -->Listed in: Business
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shift a little bit to some of the headlines that we saw because there was
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there\'s quite a bit. It felt like it was a very long quarter. Yeah, and you
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know as we did see some positive results, but can we
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talk a little bit about just in general some of the headlines that we saw and
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then specifically I want to take a dive into inflation
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and then the banks because that was
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a really big headline. We got a lot of a lot of calls regarding that look
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there there were
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Striking headlines around things like
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shocks to sort of economic surprises on
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job numbers to what was going on with the FED
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to Banks not just near the United States but
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internationally and yet what you see is kind
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of, you know markets do what they do in in any given day. They respond
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to that but they are quick to incorporate the news
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and get back to pricing on other kinds of things. And
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so I would say as a micro dosage of
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what the ride is for investors. It\'s
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this it\'s if you can sort of
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take in stride that there are going to be lots of headlines and
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that there may be short-term Market reactions headlines over the
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longer term that kind of gets filtered out on
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the upside and downside right and what you get back
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to is. Hey one of my paying for right I\'m paying for some kind
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of future earnings or I\'m lending with some expectation that
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I\'m going to get paid and income stream based on that and that tends
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to drown out the short term noise and now
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you\'re back to factors of how much did I pay did I
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get my earnings did I not is
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We\'re upside to that right and markets are kind of a weighing machine
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in that sense. Right? They\'re weighing those earnings. They\'re weighing those
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cash flows in the future. Right? So I would say
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lots of lots of news lots of scurrying
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around the news.
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You know at the end of the day we\'re sort of where we started one
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of the headlines and one of the things that we\'ve been getting a lot
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of questions about I\'m talking about is is inflation. I know we\'ve spent some time
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already today talking about that. We did
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see US inflation ease a little bit but there
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might be some pressures coming up. So if you don\'t mind commenting on that, that
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would be great. Yeah, you bet. I think it\'s helpful to kind of
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take a step back and look at
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With the onset of the pandemic right everything kind
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of shut down and then when we went to reopen things back up
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factories didn\'t necessarily open up, especially in
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places like China right for some time. Right and the the
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supply chain was suddenly
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constrained and so we
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had a hard time getting Goods, right but there was a lot
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of demand because we were at home, you know person stuff and so
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as you have demand shoot up but supplies constrained
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price shoots up, right? That\'s just sort of Economics 101
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and we saw that and at the time, you know, the Fed was quick
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to say, hey, look we think this is transitory think eventually things
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settle down we get manufacturing back online. We work
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out the bugaboos associated with the supply chain
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and those the price pressure doesn\'t inflationary pressure should come back
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down over time and in large respect
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this seems to have proven that out right?
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I think what really got the fed\'s
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attention and started them down the path.
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Of really dramatically raising rates was
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the fact that well while goods were
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sort of starting to come back down. It was
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inflation associated with services that was going up. And
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in fact, what we\'ve seen is good coming down
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the the overall inflation of
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the CPI number or that PC number coming down from its
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highs last summer, but while that\'s been happening underneath
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Inflation associated with Services has continued to
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go up.
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And so even if we\'re at a point now where the latest inflationary readings
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are half of what they were.
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Just a year ago this time.
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Services inflation is up and continuing to go the wrong direction. Right? And
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so the the FED has said hey, look
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first of all, we don\'t look at kind of the overall CPI number. We don\'t
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that\'s not how we measure it. We\'re looking at these underlying statuents and
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they prefer the the pce as
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opposed to CPI, but they\'re all just kind of ways of measuring, you know
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inflation in the economy. And so
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one of the ways that we\'ve looked at
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this for a very long time is core CPI, right? We\'re stripping out the
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volatility of energy and food because those tend to move around so much and then
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you know, we\'ve been introduced to this concept that not
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only is it core CPI, but it\'s core Goods CPI and
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course Services CPI. And so the FED now is very focused
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on core Services looking at Services minus
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services for energy and food and what
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we see are again our sort of troubling Trends
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around services and housing
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in terms of the impact that that
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has now pushing.
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Up or holding up those inflation numbers and if they
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continue on the wrong direction, that\'s what the fed\'s concern about and the
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the whammy that potentially comes
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from if Services costs go
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up at some point that starts to impact Goods costs as
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well. Right? And so if you look at this where the the white
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bars are coming down, right the the concern
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is that Services cost the cost of producing goods
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and delivering them right is going to impact the the cost
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that gets passed through and goods start to come back up and there\'s sort
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of a double double impact of inflation if
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you will and that\'s what I think the FED is incredibly concerned about
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and and why they say look we\'re gonna ratchet rates up
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and we\'re gonna keep them up there long enough until we\'re convinced that we\'ve we\'ve
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stamped this out and brought it back down to a level that\'s
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livable because the last thing you want to do is take your foot off the pedal.
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And then suddenly have a Resurgence of these
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inflation Air Forces which that we\'ve saw
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in the 70s, right if you think about what we\'ve we\'ve
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seen this show before the early 70s the FED raising
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rates taking their their foot off the brake, I guess and then
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Resurgence of inflation in the late 70s stagflationary
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environment and it took the volcker FED in the 80s
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taken rates to places. We\'d never seen until recently right to
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to stamp that out. And so I think the FED
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is taking a lesson from history and said we don\'t want to repeat those mistakes.
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We\'re gonna stay on this until we\'re sure right absolutely and
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speaking of the fed and it says been a very fast pace
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in terms of Ray hikes. Yeah
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historically exactly exactly so
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they they have meant business and I
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think Market participants repeatedly made
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the mistake of not taking
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the FED at its word.
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Right and and equities markets have
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definitely gotten well ahead of the FED particularly at
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the end of last year and maybe potentially the beginning of this year bond markets
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now are pricing that the FED
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will pull back and yet the FED is saying no. No, we\'re we\'re
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gonna raise rates and we\'re gonna keep them there longer and that\'s
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you know, we have no expectation that we would
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pull back from that anytime this year. Right? So the market
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participants are our forward looking forward pricing, but
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they seem to not be taking the FED at its word. I think that\'s pulled
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back a little bit in February and March we started to
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see Market participants kind of get their arms around.
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Actually be coming and we see you know
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investors like hedge funds really sort of looking at volatility
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Bets with the expectation that hey this
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may get a little more turbulent before it gets better. Right? So
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there\'s a lot of sort of now Market positioning
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for the fed me
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actually do this and we may see an economic pullback,
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but that may not necessarily mean the FED response to
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it. Right? I think again as we look forward the
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the way that I would think about this as an investor as a the
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stock market is not the economy, right? The
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markets are definitely driven by
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interest rates and fed movement
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and yet
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Much like headlines the markets take that
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news and stride it gets built into prices and there
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may be short-term volatility associated with this but if you look out over
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time, you know, what what do we see going back to
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you know, as long as we have records 1926 and Beyond
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right Imperial heads when interest rates
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go up interest rates go down inflationary environments disinflationary environments
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recessionary environments across all of those things markets
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tend to produce a return
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of you know, seven to ten percent average annual
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you don\'t get that every year but you get on average over time and it\'s
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paying you for those cash flows so much like,
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you know, the all the comments that we\'ve had prior to
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this.
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As investors, it\'s important to sort of take in its Stride
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Right put some blinders on there may be volatility associated with
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this ride. You will get wet on this ride. Right but we
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promise you\'ll come out in the other side, right and when you do,
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you know, the markets will get back to doing what they
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do, which is you know, paying you for putting Capital to work
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in there. So so that I would say again we watch these
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things. We we sort of especially working
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in the industry. It\'s a incumbent upon
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us to have some product prognostication about where this could
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be headed at the end of the day what we think matters very little it\'s
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what actually happens and we build portfolios to
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be as robust as we can because Anything Could Happen. Yeah, that\'s that\'s fantastic.
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And that\'s a really good way of putting it. We don\'t know what\'s
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happening, but we\'re
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We\'re invested in a way to endure what\'s to come? Right? Exactly. So
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one of the headlines that we we spent
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a lot of time talking to advisors and investors alike is the
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the notion of the banks and we saw from Silicon Valley
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and First Republic and a few others.
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I think it\'s a it\'s a risk reward story. But I also think
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this is the diversification story there. I\'d love to hear your thoughts. Yeah. Well, yes,
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I think
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the the situation with the banks
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has a lot to do with other stuff, right? Yes, the
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the banks were quick to come out and say well this
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is a consequence of how rapidly the FED is
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raised interest rates. And this is potentially impaired the
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asset base of these Banks and there\'s no question right over the
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course of 2022. You saw the asset base
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drop significantly across banks in
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general because right so, you know first principles,
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what is a bank do they take money in when they
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take that money in as a deposit? It\'s a liability to them. Right?
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So they take that liability and they got to go match it up
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with an asset and they do that either by making loans and if
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they can\'t make enough loans, then they got to go buy bonds treasuries.
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For instance, right? Yes. That\'s the old against the
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liabilities. So if you if you\'ve got a bank that
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has a bunch of bonds that they\'re holding as an asset
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and the value of those bonds dramatically drop. They\'ve lost
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a lot of money against the liabilities that
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are still where they are, right and
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So that\'s that\'s the the challenge for
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the financial.
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sector and it no surprise the financial sector
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was sort of the worst performing sector for the first quarter in large
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part because of these Dynamics
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It was a part of what happened at svb. It was a catalyst
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for the bank run that followed but the bank
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run followed because of the unique dynamics of
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svb, correct? Right and the the failure
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of silvergate was
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function of crypto and had as
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much to do with FTX the failure of FTX, which
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was a Ponzi scheme, right? So you have
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a lot of kind of very unique situations Signature Bank,
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very crypto focused right First Republic the
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very very heavily on
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the asset side writing interest only mortgages
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right in to a degree that other
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Banks didn\'t have some unique characteristics of these Banks which cause
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them to be sort of the canary in the coal mine if you will right
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and Credit Suisse just
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Has struggled for years, right? And this was
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just the nail in the coffin form. The concern is are they
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the canary in the coal mine or are they just being punished because
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the malfeasance and poor management?
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And I think the answer is a bit of both, right? So the the
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fed and other institutions got
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together and said, hey, we got a backstop this thing to keep any contagion
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from spreading and assure depositors that
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they\'re deposits are safe, even if the value of the bond the assets
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that these banks are holding have dropped down. We the the government
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are going to step in and and backstop not just
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your 250,000 but everything right that was
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the strong message that they sent and that sort of seem to
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work, right it calm markets. Thanks for still being sort of reviewed and
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I would say look there\'s there could be more to this story. There could be
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other shoes to drop in time. Right? So you\'ll continue
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to watch it. I think as in as a person
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who has money at a bank, right am I rushing to pull my money
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out? No, I\'m fairly confident that you know,
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we\'re we\'re gonna survive this right now.
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Did I say the same thing in 2008 when when I
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really thought hey, man, the whole financial system could go down.
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These Banks had collapse in Mass. I don\'t think we\'re anywhere
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near that I think banks are much healthier than than they
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were then and I think the issues that they have have to do with treasuries and
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the FED has said look, we\'re gonna step in and provide as much liquidity
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as necessary for the banks. So this becomes
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a potential issue down the down the pike, right? If
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in fact the FED has to step in and provide the
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Surplus liquidity to the treasury market,
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why might they have to do that?
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Well, if for some reason we default on the debt ceiling for instance,
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right that could be very problematic and the FED
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might have to take aggressive steps in a way that we\'ve
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never seen before to step in and try and provide Surplus liquidity
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specifically to the treasury market. That would
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be a complete roll reversal of where we\'ve been right? That\'s that\'s
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taking the quantitative tightening off the table and now we\'re back to quantities, right
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so so could things come down the bike that
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would cause a, you know, real dislocation to
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banking to markets sure it could happen
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again. Who knows right? Everybody\'s got a crystal
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ball.
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Nobody\'s usually right spot on about what\'s gonna happen, but
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it\'s a potential risk that you want. Hey, look this might happen, but
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we\'ll survive.
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Yeah, no, absolutely. And as you said before, I mean, it seems like the markets
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have.
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sort of shrugged off those headlines because we\'ve seen some pretty decent returns
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and in q1, but I think you know in
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Let\'s let\'s go back to the text docs, right? I mean that\'s what\'s really
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leading the charge here, isn\'t it?
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well
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I think there are a lot of Dynamics at play.
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But underpinning all of that is risk and reward right?
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I mean that at the end of the day, it\'s that simple
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what are the risks and what are the rewards and how much am I
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willing to pay for those rewards? And am I underestimating those
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risks? Right? So everything is sort of a function of those things
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and so I would say look in equities. The the
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tech stocks is a risk, right? There\'s there\'s certainly reward
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there\'s upside there. We\'re seeing it in terms of markets, but I think there\'s risk
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right in fixed income. There\'s potential
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risk associated with the yield curve
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and what happens with the fed and raising rates in areas,
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like financials. There\'s risks
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right associated with that. I think the key
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takeaway for that for anybody looking at
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it is
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Broad diversification not just in
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one geography not just inequities not just in fixed income
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across factors as much as you
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can broadly diversify the more robust your portfolio is to
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stand up to any of those unique risks.
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And so I would I would say.
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That that would be where I would encourage investors to
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sort of keep their heads.
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I it\'s always challenging when you have tech stocks doing
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as well as they are because they drive
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markets you want to be there. You want to participate in it.
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There\'s a a benefit socially to
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holding names that people are familiar
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with and talk about right if you think about the
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fomo experience that people have
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missing if you\'re missing out, right? Yeah, my next
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door neighbor. He\'s he\'s got Google and apple and they\'re tear on
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the cover off the ball. Never mind. What happened last year right now, I gotta you
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know, keep up with the Joneses on that water cooler. Alpha
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is what I call that. Yeah water cooler Alpha and I would just
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say hey look at the end of the day. We\'re people right if we
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were autonomous, you know Vulcans. This would just be
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economics and math and we can figure it all out reality is
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we\'re people and you got to build a portfolio you can live with right as
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our as our good friend Phil Henry says, you
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got to build a portfolio you can live with and then live with it, right? I think
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that\'s absolutely true. And so you have to take into account.
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The the investor psychology associated with this that\'s
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why I think momentum is such a
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powerful factor to build into your portfolios
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because momentum picks up
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these like when tech stocks going to run you end up
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owning things like Apple and Google and because they
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are demonstrating positive momentum, right? So you you\'re picking
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up some of that you\'re participating in that upside and I
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think as a as an investor, that\'s that would probably be enough for
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me, right? It\'s a modicum of the things that I everybody else
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is holding that that\'s working but it\'s also stuff that\'s not working
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because eventually that circles around and that becomes the thing
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that\'s worth. I don\'t have to try and time it. I\'m just holding it and I\'m
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waiting keeping my powder dry in that area so that when it
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does I benefit that that\'s how I would think about it look again
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tech stocks are
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The amazing thing about markets is they run longer than you think they should right. They\'re
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fueled by stuff. Sometimes you don\'t understand and and
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in many cases, I think the
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tech stock Dynamic is is part
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fairy dust, right and you know,
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we watched it run for a decade and drive markets, you know
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for you know, double digit returns for years because
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that happen again, of course, it could right. I\'m not
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gonna tell you again. I am cautious about the
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dynamic being set up looking very similar to
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the dynamic that we saw at you know, 2019 2020.
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Yeah. No, absolutely and you know that seems like that tech
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store keeps popping up. I started my career in the late 90s and that was the
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whole story and then I saw a lot of portfolios.
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A lot of people see their portfolios blow up but because of overexposure to
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to technology and they having a
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balanced portfolio Diversified across multiple asset classes regions geographies.
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That\'s that\'s the best course of action at the
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end of the day. So yeah, I think I go back to the the E-Trade
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baby, right if you remember the E-Trade baby so easy
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baby. Yeah that was born right on the text actually and then
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they they put the baby away for a while baby\'s back right now. I was
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a little bit older now, he\'s out of the wedding, you know hanging out
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with this guys and gals but to
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me that a Hallmark of a caution, right because
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the reality is it\'s it\'s easy but
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hard right it\'s not you know, it\'s not
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difficult to say. Hey look broadly based diversification sit still it\'s
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incredibly difficult to do. Yeah, right and that\'s where
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the real benefit of working with financial professionals comes in because everybody
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thinks they can do it everybody. They\'re gonna be Spock
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and devoid of emotion, but then the moment of truth comes
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The market drops 40% and you\'re looking at like am I gonna
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be able to retire? Right and the fear grips hold and it\'s
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2 am and you\'re thinking what do I do? Right. That\'s
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when you need to have that dispassionate third party
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to pick up the phone and say I want to sell everything. They whoa. Let\'s
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revisit right like is anything changed? Oh the
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market drop 40% right has anything in your life changed right?
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Maybe that\'s not the best course of action. Let\'s take a beat having that
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dispassionate a third party to keep you from blowing yourself up
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at that exact moment is invaluable. Yeah
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and making sure you have the right mix between stocks bonds
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and maybe even Alternatives depending on the investor and if someone
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can\'t sleep at night, it\'s not necessarily that they should take action,
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but they might be in the wrong asset allocation for
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their
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The risk, you know their ability to accept right? Yeah,
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it could be that often. What I\'ve
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experienced is when it\'s that it\'s because the client wanted
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more Tech right in their portfolios or more of what\'s
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working, right? And then when that\'s no longer working, they
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can\'t sleep at night, but cautionary Tale the other
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piece of that is we\'re surrounded by the news 24/7
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right? It\'s just and it\'s always the whatever
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bleeds leads right? And so it\'s this constant
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drum beat of kind of negative stuff. And I think that investors
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need a voice.
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That that they trust to say. Hey, yeah. No I
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saw that too. Yes, that bank went out of business. Here\'s
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why we shouldn\'t Panic here, right? Yep. We
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see all that. Here\'s why we\'re gonna stay the course. Here\'s why we\'re not gonna Panic. Here\'s
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what let\'s you know, our long-term goals are and we\'re in good
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shape to hit those. I think that sort of calming reassurance
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helps people get back to sleeping at night. Yeah. No,
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I agree Casey as always. It\'s a pleasure talking to you.
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Thanks for joining us great having you here and I want to thank all of
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our listeners and these feel free to access other podcasts
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Listed in: Business
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\\xa0everyone. This is Tom Romano head of strategic relationships at
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\\xa0symmetry partners and joined with me. Today is Casey Dillon
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\\xa0a long time friend of symmetry and our
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\\xa0internal communication strategist. Thank you Casey for
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\\xa0joining us today. Tom is excellent to be here with you live in
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\\xa0person. Yeah, fantastic. Fantastic So today, we\'re gonna go
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\\xa0through our q1 2023 quarter in
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\\xa0perspective. It\'s been quite the
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\\xa0interesting quarter to say the least we\'ve had
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\\xa0some volatile markets. Although
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\\xa0I\'ll be at some positive results. We\'ve seen things
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\\xa0like banking collapses in the headlines. There\'s still of
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\\xa0course the concerns about inflation. And so
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\\xa0Casey thank you for joining us to give us some perspective
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\\xa0of what\'s going on in the market. So in a
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\\xa0nutshell what happened in q1 of 2023, yeah
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\\xa0in a nutshell, I\'ll be brief if I
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\\xa0can so if you recall
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The fourth quarter of last year, right? The
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\\xa0last year was a brutal year across a number of metrics, but
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\\xa0the fourth quarter we started to see some respite
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\\xa0from that and the first two months of the fourth quarter,
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\\xa0right? We saw markets actually rebound pretty
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\\xa0significantly in October and November and much of
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\\xa0that was driven by the sense across
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\\xa0the markets Market participants that maybe
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\\xa0the Fed was done raising interest rates, maybe
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\\xa0that the inflationary pressures that
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\\xa0we had seen in the spring of 2022. We\'re
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\\xa0starting to Abate and the market is
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\\xa0a forward-looking forward pricing mechanism. And so
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In the fourth quarter, that\'s what it did. It looked forward.
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\\xa0It started to anticipate a period when the the
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\\xa0Fed was not raising interest rates and inflation would be tamed.
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\\xa0And of course what happened in December was
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\\xa0a bit of a comeuppance for
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\\xa0those Market participants who got a little bit ahead of
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\\xa0the fed and we saw a pullback in
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\\xa0December.
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And markets responding to the fact that the FED said well, no,
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\\xa0we\'re pretty set on continuing to raise rates.
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\\xa0And and we think we\'re gonna keep them higher longer.
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As we rolled into the first quarter of this year. We saw
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\\xa0a replay of a lot of those Dynamics coming into
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\\xa0January Market participants
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\\xa0again. It\'s sort of
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Determined that this was the year the Fed was
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\\xa0going to stop rate and Market participants started to
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\\xa0look forward and price as if the not only
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\\xa0with the FED stop racing rates, but they would start to pull rates
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\\xa0back by the end of the year given where people
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\\xa0reading the tea leaves assumed the
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\\xa0economy would be by mid-year.
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And so you saw a really robust Rebound in
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\\xa0January for a lot of the names that have been
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\\xa0really beat up in 2022 specifically the
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\\xa0large cab growth and Tech names and
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\\xa0so there was something of a reversion to
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\\xa0the mean in terms of those names really
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\\xa0leading the charge in January. Those are
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\\xa0the names that were most beaten up in 2022. Those are the
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\\xa0names that snap back fastest in the
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\\xa0first quarter. And so January where we
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\\xa0saw for instance the S&P down 20% for
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\\xa02022. We saw
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\\xa0a Resurgence just in the month of January the SP was up
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\\xa0like eight percent and the NASDAQ double that right just on the
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\\xa0strength of kind of those large cap Tech names and of course what happened
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\\xa0as we rolled into February the news that
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\\xa0came out on the sort of
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\\xa0economic underpinnings specifically job data for
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\\xa0January really surprised Market
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\\xa0participants because
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It was so robust. So strong it exceeded expectations. It
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\\xa0served as a really Stark reminder that we\'re
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\\xa0not out of the woods yet.
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And and it sent shock waves
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\\xa0across the market in the sense that everyone who
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\\xa0had said. Okay. Well now the FED is gonna have to wind this down all
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\\xa0the sudden the the realized maybe not
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\\xa0right not only is the fed maybe not gonna wind this
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\\xa0down because the economy is hotter than we thought it was but we potentially
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\\xa0risk sort of a flare-up of inflation
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\\xa0just as it was coming down and the FED may have
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\\xa0to get more aggressive in in tackling that and
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\\xa0so February saw sort of a revisitation of
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\\xa0those expectations that market participants
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\\xa0had and as we rolled into March then all
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\\xa0eyes were on the Senate
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\\xa0hearings with the the chairman
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\\xa0of the fed and based on his
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\\xa0comments Futures skyrocketed for an expectation
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\\xa0of a 50 basis point raise at
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\\xa0the end of March the Futures went up to like a 70% chance that
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\\xa0the Fed was gonna raise 50 basis points, and
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\\xa0of course what happened then you know days later.
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Started imploding right and that sort
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\\xa0of Royal financial markets and
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\\xa0the FED did end up raising rates. But
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\\xa0only by 25 basis points after they had worked to
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\\xa0sort of rescue. I don\'t know rescues the
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\\xa0right term but step in aggressively and calm markets
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\\xa0particularly folks who
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\\xa0had cash on deposited Banks to keep sort
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\\xa0of a contagion effect and a larger Bank Run taking place.
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\\xa0Right? So we end the first quarter with a really
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\\xa0sort of wild trip of markets shooting
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\\xa0up coming back down a lot of volatility a lot
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\\xa0of fear injected in markets in March with the
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\\xa0headlines and yet at the end of the quarter you finished up
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\\xa0pretty again pretty solidly across
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\\xa0us markets International Development markets emerging
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\\xa0markets in fixed income inequities, right?
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\\xa0We it was a it was a pretty decent first
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\\xa0quarter from a return perspective despite all of that. Yeah sure.
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\\xa0It was like it\'s a very interesting quarter.
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And I\'d like the way you put it on the things the kind of the Resurgence of
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\\xa0these tech companies that didn\'t have a great year last year, but you\'re
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\\xa0seeing asset classes such as the energy
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\\xa0sector right who had a great year last year is to
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\\xa0use your your term of aversion to the mean right? They had
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\\xa0a tough time in the first quarter, right? Yeah. Yeah and and frankly
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\\xa0prices have been coming down in oil and gas pretty
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\\xa0consistently.
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Since last fall so we did see a continuation of that. I
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\\xa0do think and likely there\'s
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\\xa0more conversation to be had
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\\xa0around this but the concern that I have or
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\\xa0or would have based on
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\\xa0how markets performed in the first quarter is that
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\\xa0it was so dominated by a
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\\xa0handful of names, right? We we\'ve seen
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\\xa0this Dynamic before where we\'re
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\\xa0sort of the top largest growth Tech
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\\xa0names sort of dominate performance
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\\xa0of the market and we and we saw that again in
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\\xa0the first quarter right? You think about Facebook alphabet
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\\xa0Apple Google Netflix, right?
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\\xa0All of those firms were
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\\xa0really been challenged in 2022 had a
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\\xa0nice Resurgence across the first quarter, but when
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\\xa0you dig deeper into the performance particularly here domestically what
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\\xa0you see is they were the lion
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Care of that return that we saw the market it was once again
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\\xa0the fact that these top handful of names represent twenty
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\\xa0plus percent of the overall
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\\xa0market, right? So think S&P 500 has got ostensibly 500
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\\xa0names in it the top 10 names
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\\xa0accounted for all at
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\\xa0least 80% of that return right the
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\\xa0top top five names half of it, right? So so
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00:07:43.300 --> 00:07:46.400
\\xa0again, you\'re getting a lot of that return concentrated in
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\\xa0these names.
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Because they\'re so large disproportionately to
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\\xa0the other names in those indices
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\\xa0and it lit. It\'s the rising tide lifting
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\\xa0all boats, but the concern that you
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\\xa0have with that and we saw that in 2022 when the
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\\xa0air goes out of the balloon to a degree. Well that
160
00:08:06.600 --> 00:08:09.500
\\xa0can be a double-edged sword. Right if those names start
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\\xa0to pull back in valuations, you
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\\xa0could see that turn around and become an anchor pulling
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\\xa0markets down, right and that can happen very quickly just based
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\\xa0on the fact that it\'s so concentrated in a
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\\xa0handful of names that are all sort of in the
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\\xa0same kind of economic Waters right in terms of kind of
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\\xa0this large growth Tech, you know richly valued.
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\\xa0Yeah. It sounds a lot like me, you know, I\'ve
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\\xa0had these conversations over the years even going back before 2022
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\\xa0coming out of the pandemic
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\\xa0and those tech stocks. They were the story they were leading
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\\xa0the charge and what I\'m hearing you say, is that sort
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\\xa0of the casing q1, but that double-ed
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word is just going back 2022 would
175
00:08:50.700 --> 00:08:53.700
\\xa0be an example of if you\'re not well Diversified
176
00:08:53.700 --> 00:08:56.800
\\xa0that could be a painful experience it can and I\'m
177
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\\xa0I\'m reminded of
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The experience that we had coming out of the tech bubble,
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00:09:02.400 --> 00:09:05.300
\\xa0right? So if you think about if in fact
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00:09:05.300 --> 00:09:08.300
\\xa0the run-up invaluations in this sort of handful of
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\\xa0techniques is analogous to what we saw in
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00:09:11.400 --> 00:09:12.000
\\xa0the late 90s.
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They were so richly valued that when the
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\\xa0tech Bubble Burst it took a decade the Lost
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00:09:20.600 --> 00:09:24.200
\\xa0decade right of just you know, subpar returns
186
00:09:23.200 --> 00:09:26.300
\\xa0for the valuations to get
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\\xa0back to a place where markets could then start
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00:09:29.500 --> 00:09:32.400
\\xa0to take off again. And so the concern that
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00:09:32.400 --> 00:09:36.200
\\xa0that one might have is valuations are
190
00:09:35.200 --> 00:09:40.400
\\xa0still Rich, right? Even after 2022 on
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00:09:39.400 --> 00:09:43.200
\\xa0a Price to Book basis very
192
00:09:42.200 --> 00:09:45.600
\\xa0expensive on a price to
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\\xa0forward earnings basis. It\'s expensive and
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\\xa0so it\'s not
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00:09:51.600 --> 00:09:54.600
\\xa0as if these are our Bargains to
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00:09:54.600 --> 00:09:57.800
\\xa0be had in a Marketplace that that\'s discounting
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00:09:57.800 --> 00:10:00.700
\\xa0them. They are still incredibly expensive. And so
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00:10:00.700 --> 00:10:03.400
\\xa0anything that goes wrong right if the
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00:10:03.400 --> 00:10:06.300
\\xa0if in fact the economy runs into turbulence at
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00:10:06.300 --> 00:10:09.700
\\xa0some point or the expectations for growth, I mean,
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\\xa0you know, we\'re in earning season and Netflix had sort
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\\xa0of positive numbers, but
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00:10:14.100 --> 00:10:17.700
They sort of gave lackluster guidance for next quarters
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\\xa0growth. Right? So all you need is for for Market
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\\xa0participants to to a once again sour on the
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00:10:23.400 --> 00:10:27.400
\\xa0prospects of these names and you\'re right back to it\'s
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00:10:26.400 --> 00:10:29.300
\\xa0too too rich like I\'m paying
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00:10:29.300 --> 00:10:32.500
\\xa0too much today for for earnings in
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00:10:32.500 --> 00:10:35.100
\\xa0the future that may or may not materialize right? And so
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00:10:35.100 --> 00:10:38.700
\\xa0I\'ve got to pay less and so the price has to come down. Yeah, right. And
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\\xa0again, I\'m not suggesting that we have a lost decade
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00:10:41.300 --> 00:10:44.200
\\xa0in front of us, but this potentially room to run
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\\xa0if markets turn and I think that\'s the the concern that
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\\xa0I would share with investors. That\'s what I
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\\xa0prepare them for. Hey, we\'ll take what we get. Right? We\'re happy
216
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\\xa0to get those returns, but
217
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This could still be valve this this, you know, we\'re in the third inning potentially
218
00:10:59.500 --> 00:11:02.900
\\xa0look or fourth ending. There\'s a lot of game left and we\'re
219
00:11:02.900 --> 00:11:05.000
\\xa0just gonna buckle up and be ready for it. Yeah, and what is
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00:11:05.300 --> 00:11:09.200
\\xa0interesting what this quarter and you detect upon that I\'d love to get your thoughts developed International
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\\xa0to having a very good quarter.
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00:11:11.300 --> 00:11:14.400
\\xa0I mean when we saw these large Tech
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\\xa0names and in the past when they had their run prior to 2022, it
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\\xa0was a pretty much us dominated run up.
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Give us some commentary on what we\'re saying in the developed International
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\\xa0Space. Yeah, I think some of
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\\xa0it is the Resurgence of the
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strength of the sort
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\\xa0of the the companies that are there that have
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\\xa0sort of suffered through a decade of kind of sub-par performance
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\\xa0and they were in a much stronger financial
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\\xa0position. Then they
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\\xa0were for instance going into the global financial crisis, right and they
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\\xa0weren\'t super expensive. Right?
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\\xa0So from a perspective of they were kind of relatively cheaply
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\\xa0priced compared to
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\\xa0US stocks. And so if we look at just the performance
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\\xa0the they don\'t have to have that much right
239
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\\xa0surprise upside.
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To have nice performance right across the board or
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\\xa0relatively decent performs.
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So I think people were pleasantly surprised by
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\\xa0some of the financial resilience in
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\\xa0Europe particularly coming out of
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\\xa0the effects of the the Russian Ukraine
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\\xa0conflict and looking at the impact that
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\\xa0for instance the the price of gas price
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\\xa0of oil I had in places like Germany and the fact
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\\xa0that they sort of got through that not unscathed but
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\\xa0you know, the the avoided the apocalypse
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\\xa0right the gasoline apocalypse over the course of the
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\\xa0winter right that it was relatively mild. So
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\\xa0I think that from that perspective markets sort
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\\xa0of said rewarded International developed
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\\xa0businesses with valuations that
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\\xa0seemed a little more reasonable than the
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\\xa0valuations in the US. Yeah, that makes a lot of sense and thank you
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\\xa0for that. Yeah, and and I would call I would suggest that
259
00:13:07.900 --> 00:13:10.200
\\xa0Emerging Markets are in a similar but
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\\xa0different position right again a little more financially
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\\xa0robust in terms of the underpinnings.
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Of those companies relative to where we\'ve seen Cycles where people
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\\xa0are risk off and and sort of beating down
264
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\\xa0in price. I think anytime you have a lot of volatility people are
265
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\\xa0hesitant to take a bunch of risk. So Emerging Markets
266
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\\xa0could be a little more volatile as you would expect but
267
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\\xa0I think from evaluation standpoint there\'s room to run
268
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\\xa0as well over time relative to the US let\'s let\'s
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\\xa0look at the other side of the coin and talk a
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\\xa0little bit about bonds because that\'s been quite the Hot Topic lately. We\'ve been
271
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\\xa0getting a lot of inquiries from advisors and investors alike
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\\xa0about the fixed income market. So give us
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\\xa0a little perspective of what\'s happening in.
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Global fixed income right? Well, if you recall 2022
275
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\\xa0was a historically bad year
276
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\\xa0for Boston certainly, right as as fed as
277
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\\xa0the FED raised interest rates are not just the FED but central banks
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\\xa0essentially around the world except for the Asian
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\\xa0China and Japan those central banks not quite
280
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\\xa0as much but globally central banks at the
281
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\\xa0impact of course of challenging the yield right
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\\xa0and as we know yield in price or are sort of inverse Lee
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\\xa0related and so as yield was pushed up by raising
284
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\\xa0rates price came down and and it had a pretty dramatic
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\\xa0impact across the yield curve
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\\xa0and that was globally as well the United
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\\xa0States.
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2022 pretty much a very bad. No good year for
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\\xa0Bond holders rolling into the first quarter
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00:14:39.400 --> 00:14:42.400
\\xa0a lot of those same sort of macro dynamics that
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\\xa0we talked about with equities was
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\\xa0true to fix income as well the expectation the bond
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\\xa0market pricing that they think the FED will essentially
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\\xa0be done at some point this year raising rates
295
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\\xa0had the impact of markets rallying
296
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\\xa0to a degree and then of course when there
297
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\\xa0was volatility injected because of banking issues
298
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\\xa0you continued to see a pullback
299
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\\xa0on the the yield
300
00:15:09.700 --> 00:15:13.000
\\xa0right? So at at some points we saw for instance
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\\xa0the the 10 year get up over four and we
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\\xa0saw a pullback as yields come down then of course prices go
303
00:15:18.500 --> 00:15:21.400
\\xa0up. And so you saw a nice robust kind of response over
304
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\\xa0the first quarter of prices coming up for bonds that had
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\\xa0the impact and that was true for treasuries and corporates
306
00:15:27.500 --> 00:15:30.400
\\xa0and international bonds, right? So across the
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\\xa0Spectrum you had sort of a nice performance.
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00:15:33.300 --> 00:15:37.100
For bonds for the first quarter. And again, it\'s unusual
309
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\\xa0for fixed income and Equity to look and
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\\xa0behave very similarly. That was one of
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\\xa0the things that was so unusual about 2022, but there\'s still
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\\xa0sort of Behaving the same way based on the same Outlook
313
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\\xa0that at some point interest rates stop going up
314
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\\xa0or stop getting ratcheted up by central banks.
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\\xa0And so that Dynamic is is kind of
316
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\\xa0floating all the boats to this degree and so
317
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\\xa0fixed income has had a robust first quarter.
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Remains to be seen how the rest of the year plays
319
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\\xa0out and and you know, frankly we
320
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\\xa0continued to see the a deep
321
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\\xa0inversion in the yield curve, especially at the
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\\xa0very shortest end of the O curve relative to the
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\\xa010 year. And as you know that has historically sort
324
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\\xa0of been a warning sign of
325
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\\xa0potential economic stress recessions right
326
00:16:28.600 --> 00:16:32.100
\\xa0as an indicator and it has remained it
327
00:16:31.100 --> 00:16:34.100
\\xa0inverted for some time now
328
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\\xa0and that inversion has only gotten deeper on the shortest end. So,
329
00:16:37.900 --> 00:16:40.200
\\xa0you know again you would want to continue
330
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\\xa0to watch that and be cognizant of it. I think the takeaway
331
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\\xa0from this is much like with equities. It\'s best
332
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\\xa0to be sort of broad based Diversified. You never
333
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\\xa0know what part of the Yoke curve is gonna move relative to this and
334
00:16:52.900 --> 00:16:56.800
\\xa0it\'s good to have exposure
335
00:16:55.800 --> 00:16:58.600
\\xa0not just us treasuries, but
336
00:16:58.600 --> 00:17:01.200
\\xa0the corporates and not just us bonds, but the international
337
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\\xa0bonds that there are benefits built into the pricing of all
338
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And as we start to see a decoupling of Central
339
00:17:07.400 --> 00:17:10.400
\\xa0Bank activity, yes, they\'ve been
340
00:17:10.400 --> 00:17:13.700
\\xa0acting pretty much in concert, but at some point central banks
341
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\\xa0start to peel off right and they get back to focusing on
342
00:17:16.800 --> 00:17:19.100
\\xa0the handling kind of
343
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\\xa0their domestic concerns. And as they do that it will
344
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\\xa0have varying diversification impacts for bonds
345
00:17:25.600 --> 00:17:28.500
\\xa0around the globe the way stocks and bonds behaves
346
00:17:28.500 --> 00:17:31.300
\\xa0in 2022 with similar and then into this quarter. We\'re
347
00:17:31.300 --> 00:17:34.500
\\xa0seeing some decent returns globally across those two
348
00:17:34.500 --> 00:17:37.800
\\xa0macro asset classes. We\'re seeing
349
00:17:37.800 --> 00:17:40.300
\\xa0some of a mixed bag that last Factor investors
350
00:17:40.300 --> 00:17:43.400
\\xa0from a factor perspective, right? But let\'s
351
00:17:43.400 --> 00:17:46.200
\\xa0shift a little bit and talk about factors for a moment.
352
00:17:46.200 --> 00:17:49.300
\\xa0We\'re a factor investors are listeners The Avengers that
353
00:17:49.300 --> 00:17:52.300
\\xa0we work with our have clients invested in
354
00:17:52.300 --> 00:17:55.500
\\xa0these Factor portfolios. What did we see from a factor standpoint
355
00:17:55.500 --> 00:17:58.800
\\xa0in the first quarter of 2023 if
356
00:17:58.800 --> 00:18:01.400
\\xa0you think about the factor of value, it\'s just the the
357
00:18:01.400 --> 00:18:04.300
\\xa0cheaper stocks outperform the more expensive stocks over time and as
358
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\\xa0you know,
359
00:18:04.800 --> 00:18:07.800
We had a long run where that wasn\'t true. Right we\'re
360
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\\xa0growth stocks were just outperforming value to the
361
00:18:10.300 --> 00:18:13.200
\\xa0point that everybody was sort of Naval gazing wondering his value
362
00:18:13.200 --> 00:18:16.800
\\xa0dead. Does this even make sense anymore? And and what
363
00:18:16.800 --> 00:18:19.400
\\xa0we sort of looking at it determined was
364
00:18:19.400 --> 00:18:22.400
\\xa0no actually values kind of in line with what it\'s always done. It\'s
365
00:18:22.400 --> 00:18:25.300
\\xa0growth. That\'s so unusual. Yeah, right and that we\'re
366
00:18:25.300 --> 00:18:28.300
\\xa0back to the story about the large tech stocks and get over evaluation. Right?
367
00:18:28.300 --> 00:18:31.900
\\xa0And so last year was a great year for Value, right? Even
368
00:18:31.900 --> 00:18:34.500
\\xa0though it was down right value outperform growth
369
00:18:34.500 --> 00:18:37.800
\\xa0by a good 20% Oh, yeah, absolutely and it
370
00:18:37.800 --> 00:18:40.700
\\xa0was sort of that Snapback to recognition of
371
00:18:40.700 --> 00:18:43.300
\\xa0hey one of my paying for right and and these things
372
00:18:43.300 --> 00:18:46.200
\\xa0have gotten incredibly overvalued on the
373
00:18:46.200 --> 00:18:46.600
\\xa0growth side.
374
00:18:47.300 --> 00:18:50.500
And so it shouldn\'t come as a surprise then if there\'s a reversal of
375
00:18:50.500 --> 00:18:53.600
\\xa0that Dynamic that value might underperform growth
376
00:18:53.600 --> 00:18:56.500
\\xa0over the first quarter. And of course, that\'s what we observed right
377
00:18:56.500 --> 00:18:59.300
\\xa0that value underperformed growth. It was
378
00:18:59.300 --> 00:19:02.300
\\xa0those large kind of growthy names that took off and and so that
379
00:19:02.300 --> 00:19:05.700
\\xa0that factor shows up and demonstrates
380
00:19:05.700 --> 00:19:08.300
\\xa0that thighs right. So again kind of
381
00:19:08.300 --> 00:19:11.600
\\xa0the academic research that smaller cap
382
00:19:11.600 --> 00:19:14.400
\\xa0names tend to outperform larger cab
383
00:19:14.400 --> 00:19:17.800
\\xa0names over time rolling into the first quarter large
384
00:19:17.800 --> 00:19:20.500
\\xa0caps outperform small caps, right again being led
385
00:19:20.500 --> 00:19:23.500
\\xa0by that large growthy and so small caps
386
00:19:23.500 --> 00:19:26.800
\\xa0tended to underperform in general. What\'s interesting
387
00:19:26.800 --> 00:19:29.300
\\xa0is across factor is
388
00:19:29.300 --> 00:19:32.300
\\xa0one of the reasons you want to hold small caps isn\'t necessarily the size
389
00:19:32.300 --> 00:19:35.300
\\xa0Factor premium associated with that because
390
00:19:35.300 --> 00:19:38.700
\\xa0that\'s come under some scrutiny of
391
00:19:38.700 --> 00:19:41.400
\\xa0Lee as academics kind of look at that. Say what
392
00:19:41.400 --> 00:19:42.200
\\xa0do we actually getting here?
393
00:19:42.900 --> 00:19:46.000
But what really expresses itself
394
00:19:45.300 --> 00:19:48.500
\\xa0in small camp names or all the other factors, right? So
395
00:19:48.500 --> 00:19:51.100
\\xa0the reason you\'d want to hold a small cap is not just
396
00:19:51.100 --> 00:19:54.200
\\xa0because you get a benefit versus large caps, but because you get
397
00:19:54.200 --> 00:19:57.600
\\xa0a really strong value signal a really strong momentum really
398
00:19:57.600 --> 00:20:00.200
\\xa0strong quality, right all of these things. And so if we
399
00:20:00.200 --> 00:20:03.300
\\xa0look at small caps the performance of small caps for
400
00:20:03.300 --> 00:20:06.700
\\xa0the first quarter, you actually got to really strong quality signal
401
00:20:06.700 --> 00:20:09.700
\\xa0in small caps. So again a reason
402
00:20:09.700 --> 00:20:12.400
\\xa0why you want to have a multiple exposures for your
403
00:20:12.400 --> 00:20:15.400
\\xa0factors not just pick any one of these right so small
404
00:20:15.400 --> 00:20:18.400
\\xa0caps under form large caps, but quality did really well inside
405
00:20:18.400 --> 00:20:21.300
\\xa0small camps that makes up the next category is
406
00:20:21.300 --> 00:20:24.400
\\xa0momentum. And what\'s interesting about markets that are sort of
407
00:20:24.400 --> 00:20:27.500
\\xa0whipsawing one way or the other that momentum tends to
408
00:20:27.500 --> 00:20:30.400
\\xa0have a tougher time in markets where the signal is really
409
00:20:30.400 --> 00:20:33.100
\\xa0hard to pick up where there\'s a lot of whipsawing effect up and down on the
410
00:20:33.100 --> 00:20:37.000
\\xa0other way momentum tends to kind of get whipped around with that.
411
00:20:37.700 --> 00:20:40.200
Eventually when markets start to pick
412
00:20:40.200 --> 00:20:43.300
\\xa0up Trend whether that\'s down for a significant period of
413
00:20:43.300 --> 00:20:46.500
\\xa0time like in 2022 momentum does well or up right
414
00:20:46.500 --> 00:20:50.000
\\xa0for a significant period of time and so you
415
00:20:49.200 --> 00:20:52.400
\\xa0would expect momentum to kind
416
00:20:52.400 --> 00:20:55.400
\\xa0of settle down as markets kind of settle down
417
00:20:55.400 --> 00:20:59.600
\\xa0and we see less whipsawing and more directionality. However, and
418
00:20:59.600 --> 00:21:03.300
\\xa0I mentioned it earlier with small caps quality this idea
419
00:21:02.300 --> 00:21:05.000
\\xa0that there may be
420
00:21:05.200 --> 00:21:08.800
\\xa0a flight to Quality in times when the
421
00:21:08.800 --> 00:21:11.100
\\xa0there\'s a lot of volatility. Well one of the
422
00:21:11.100 --> 00:21:14.800
\\xa0reasons you see that is because higher quality earnings tend to
423
00:21:14.800 --> 00:21:17.400
\\xa0hold up better in downturns. They have a premium
424
00:21:17.400 --> 00:21:21.300
\\xa0associated with them and we saw that very clearly quality
425
00:21:20.300 --> 00:21:23.200
\\xa0was one of the areas that outperformed the market
426
00:21:23.200 --> 00:21:26.200
\\xa0over the first quarter and that was true not just in the
427
00:21:26.200 --> 00:21:30.200
\\xa0US but internationally as well interestingly in
428
00:21:29.200 --> 00:21:33.500
\\xa0Emerging Markets value quality
429
00:21:32.500 --> 00:21:35.600
\\xa0and low volatility did quite
430
00:21:35.600 --> 00:21:37.600
\\xa0well so value was still doing well in emerging.
431
00:21:37.700 --> 00:21:40.700
Markets again a reason why you\'d want to diversify
432
00:21:40.700 --> 00:21:43.400
\\xa0your Factor exposures not just in the US but
433
00:21:43.400 --> 00:21:46.900
\\xa0internationally as well and minimum volatility was
434
00:21:46.900 --> 00:21:49.800
\\xa0a contributor in us but lagged Market
435
00:21:49.800 --> 00:21:52.500
\\xa0beta on the whole a broadly
436
00:21:52.500 --> 00:21:55.900
\\xa0Diversified Factor exposure was I\'d
437
00:21:55.900 --> 00:21:58.700
\\xa0say depending on what your tilts are helpful on
438
00:21:58.700 --> 00:22:02.200
\\xa0the downside when Market was volatile, but lagged
439
00:22:01.200 --> 00:22:04.900
\\xa0Market beta to a degree for the
440
00:22:04.900 --> 00:22:07.500
\\xa0first quarter where it outperformed in
441
00:22:07.500 --> 00:22:10.400
\\xa02022. So again factors are a
442
00:22:10.400 --> 00:22:13.500
\\xa0long term investment. You wouldn\'t do it on based
443
00:22:13.500 --> 00:22:16.700
\\xa0on one quarter, but we we watch the horse race, right? Yeah.
444
00:22:16.700 --> 00:22:19.200
\\xa0Absolutely and I think a point that you
445
00:22:19.200 --> 00:22:22.400
\\xa0you said that really resonated with me is the notion of how these factors work
446
00:22:22.400 --> 00:22:25.800
\\xa0together right size and quality you mentioned
447
00:22:25.800 --> 00:22:29.200
\\xa0and so having a diverse portfolio
448
00:22:28.200 --> 00:22:30.700
\\xa0of integrated factors.
449
00:22:31.500 --> 00:22:32.800
maintaining that for the long term
450
00:22:34.200 --> 00:22:37.400
Should reward you over the long term. Yeah, and that\'s the
451
00:22:37.400 --> 00:22:40.800
\\xa0expectation. There are lots of factors out
452
00:22:40.800 --> 00:22:43.800
\\xa0there that have been identified in the academic literature when you
453
00:22:43.800 --> 00:22:46.400
\\xa0selectively go out and pick a handful of
454
00:22:46.400 --> 00:22:49.500
\\xa0those factors. The expectation is every single
455
00:22:49.500 --> 00:22:52.500
\\xa0one of those is going to be a positive contributor to
456
00:22:52.500 --> 00:22:55.400
\\xa0your portfolio over time, right you you
457
00:22:55.400 --> 00:22:58.300
\\xa0wouldn\'t necessarily pick one that you thought. Well, it\'s gonna be a loser but we\'re gonna hold on
458
00:22:58.300 --> 00:23:01.100
\\xa0to it, right you\'re picking all of these different factors of the
459
00:23:01.100 --> 00:23:04.700
\\xa0expectation that each one of those is going to be a
460
00:23:04.700 --> 00:23:07.300
\\xa0positive contributor over a period of time when you
461
00:23:07.300 --> 00:23:10.400
\\xa0weave them together you sort of iron out
462
00:23:10.400 --> 00:23:13.400
\\xa0the highs and lows of any one particular factor and
463
00:23:13.400 --> 00:23:17.100
\\xa0you get that very nice steady stream of
464
00:23:16.100 --> 00:23:19.500
\\xa0return into your
465
00:23:19.500 --> 00:23:22.300
\\xa0portfolio. That\'s generated by those Factor exposures. Yeah.
466
00:23:22.300 --> 00:23:25.400
\\xa0It\'s the old the old adage we\'re going for singles and doubles
467
00:23:25.400 --> 00:23:28.200
\\xa0not home runs, right? Yeah. Yeah exactly. So let\'s
468
00:23:28.200 --> 00:23:31.200
\\xa0talk a little bit about factors and fixed income and then
469
00:23:31.200 --> 00:23:34.100
\\xa0we can take a look at some of the the factors overseas.
470
00:23:34.100 --> 00:23:37.800
As well, but I do want to spend some time on some of
471
00:23:37.800 --> 00:23:40.100
\\xa0the headlines. So why don\'t we
472
00:23:40.100 --> 00:23:44.000
\\xa0talk a little bit about us fixed income factors? Sure. So
473
00:23:43.600 --> 00:23:46.200
\\xa0as you know, right fat factors are
474
00:23:46.200 --> 00:23:49.800
\\xa0not an equity only thing. In fact, we see factors across
475
00:23:49.800 --> 00:23:53.600
\\xa0all different kinds of assets fixed income Commodities
476
00:23:52.600 --> 00:23:55.400
\\xa0housing real
477
00:23:55.400 --> 00:23:58.400
\\xa0estate, right all these I the concept of value for
478
00:23:58.400 --> 00:24:01.500
\\xa0instance and the concept of momentum right anything that has a price associated
479
00:24:01.500 --> 00:24:04.400
\\xa0with it stores can demonstrate these sort of
480
00:24:04.400 --> 00:24:07.200
\\xa0factors. And that\'s true. In fact fixed income the way we
481
00:24:07.200 --> 00:24:10.400
\\xa0think about factors and fixed incomes specifically is is kind
482
00:24:10.400 --> 00:24:13.400
\\xa0of interest rate risk, which is time, right? So think
483
00:24:13.400 --> 00:24:17.300
\\xa0about what we talked about with the yield curve inversion
484
00:24:16.300 --> 00:24:19.400
\\xa0and what was going on on the short end versus the
485
00:24:19.400 --> 00:24:23.500
\\xa0long end what we\'ve observed in the
486
00:24:23.500 --> 00:24:26.200
\\xa0past. Let\'s call year was a really
487
00:24:26.200 --> 00:24:29.800
\\xa0strong interest rate risk lack
488
00:24:29.800 --> 00:24:32.600
\\xa0of benefit that you got for sort of being paid
489
00:24:32.600 --> 00:24:34.000
\\xa0over time, right?
490
00:24:34.100 --> 00:24:38.300
And in theory, right you should get paid to hold
491
00:24:37.300 --> 00:24:41.100
\\xa0over time because there\'s less certainty
492
00:24:40.100 --> 00:24:43.500
\\xa0about what the future holds so you demand a
493
00:24:43.500 --> 00:24:46.800
\\xa0premium to hold something over time to lend over time. And
494
00:24:46.800 --> 00:24:49.200
\\xa0so when you have the short end
495
00:24:49.200 --> 00:24:52.500
\\xa0of the curve come up that tends to impact that interest
496
00:24:52.500 --> 00:24:55.500
\\xa0rate sets that risk that sensitivity because you\'re
497
00:24:55.500 --> 00:24:58.800
\\xa0not getting paid over time. You\'re getting paid actually on the
498
00:24:58.800 --> 00:25:01.700
\\xa0the shorter end potentially. So when you
499
00:25:01.700 --> 00:25:04.800
\\xa0see a pullback of rates,
500
00:25:04.800 --> 00:25:07.700
\\xa0right and price is going up you\'re seeing
501
00:25:07.700 --> 00:25:10.800
\\xa0that benefit playing out through the first quarter as well credit risk
502
00:25:10.800 --> 00:25:13.300
\\xa0is just the difference the buildup over
503
00:25:13.300 --> 00:25:16.300
\\xa0the risk free rate treasuries to account
504
00:25:16.300 --> 00:25:19.200
\\xa0for hey, you know a corporation has more risk than a government
505
00:25:19.200 --> 00:25:22.500
\\xa0and I should be paid that difference. And so you\'re investing
506
00:25:22.500 --> 00:25:25.200
\\xa0up and down the various yield curves that
507
00:25:25.200 --> 00:25:28.900
\\xa0build up on that and in this case credit risk really as
508
00:25:28.900 --> 00:25:31.900
\\xa0a factor wasn\'t a very solid contributor
509
00:25:31.900 --> 00:25:33.200
\\xa0for the first quarter slightly positive.
510
00:25:34.100 --> 00:25:37.200
The the show really has been frankly for the
511
00:25:37.200 --> 00:25:40.500
\\xa0past 18 months were interest rate risk is in
512
00:25:40.500 --> 00:25:43.500
\\xa0terms of factor Premia in your portfolios.
513
00:25:43.500 --> 00:25:46.500
\\xa0And then Market is is again just Market
514
00:25:46.500 --> 00:25:49.800
\\xa0beta which is a buildup of all these different factors expressing themselves.
515
00:25:49.800 --> 00:25:53.200
\\xa0So on the whole positive Bond performance
516
00:25:52.200 --> 00:25:55.500
\\xa0being driven by changes to
517
00:25:55.500 --> 00:25:59.500
\\xa0the the yield curve in many cases and some
518
00:25:58.500 --> 00:26:01.400
\\xa0expectation that Bond markets are looking ahead
519
00:26:01.400 --> 00:26:04.600
\\xa0and pricing for a cessation of rate raises
520
00:26:04.600 --> 00:26:07.500
\\xa0by central banks. So so my expectation would
521
00:26:07.500 --> 00:26:10.200
\\xa0be for for fixed income investors again much like
522
00:26:10.200 --> 00:26:13.400
\\xa0Equity potentially more volatility here, right? The
523
00:26:13.400 --> 00:26:16.400
\\xa0the rodeo is not over the big bull riding
524
00:26:16.400 --> 00:26:18.200
\\xa0could yet be to come so
525
00:26:19.200 --> 00:26:22.400
You know stay patient the the benefit here is
526
00:26:22.400 --> 00:26:25.400
\\xa0there\'s return associated with fixed income
527
00:26:25.400 --> 00:26:29.500
\\xa0to a degree. We haven\'t seen in 15 years. And so
528
00:26:29.500 --> 00:26:32.700
\\xa0let this play out. And again, these Factor
529
00:26:32.700 --> 00:26:35.600
\\xa0exposures are the expectation is over time. These are
530
00:26:35.600 --> 00:26:38.100
\\xa0going to be a additive to the returns that you
531
00:26:38.100 --> 00:26:40.700
\\xa0get from the bond market you had mentioned this in some of your previous comments.
532
00:26:42.500 --> 00:26:45.400
Factors perform differently geographically too
533
00:26:45.400 --> 00:26:48.500
\\xa0right like value in the US might give you a different return
534
00:26:48.500 --> 00:26:51.300
\\xa0versus value and the international develop during the
535
00:26:51.300 --> 00:26:54.500
\\xa0Emerging Markets Arenas. So I think there\'s diversification story
536
00:26:54.500 --> 00:26:57.600
\\xa0there. Can you comment on that, please? Yeah. Well, yes, of
537
00:26:57.600 --> 00:27:00.100
\\xa0course and and I sort of made a comment
538
00:27:00.100 --> 00:27:01.300
\\xa0about as
539
00:27:02.300 --> 00:27:05.500
central banks become decoupled and start to operate a
540
00:27:05.500 --> 00:27:09.000
\\xa0little more independently that it has an impact on the
541
00:27:11.300 --> 00:27:14.600
local economies in all of these different markets as
542
00:27:14.600 --> 00:27:17.200
\\xa0an impact on their currencies. And so
543
00:27:17.200 --> 00:27:20.600
\\xa0when you think about fixed income the benefit that you get from
544
00:27:20.600 --> 00:27:23.300
\\xa0not only where you hold on
545
00:27:23.300 --> 00:27:26.500
\\xa0the curve and and the amount of credit that you\'re willing but that
546
00:27:26.500 --> 00:27:29.900
\\xa0you\'re going to diversify the various curves
547
00:27:29.900 --> 00:27:32.300
\\xa0that you hold and the where you
548
00:27:32.300 --> 00:27:35.900
\\xa0are on that across geographies and
549
00:27:35.900 --> 00:27:38.200
\\xa0then take into account the impact that
550
00:27:38.200 --> 00:27:42.200
\\xa0currencies might have right and so we know for equities
551
00:27:41.200 --> 00:27:45.100
\\xa0the the volatility signature
552
00:27:44.100 --> 00:27:47.100
\\xa0of equity is is so robust that
553
00:27:47.100 --> 00:27:50.600
\\xa0you\'re you tend to be willing to hold the volatility of
554
00:27:50.600 --> 00:27:53.900
\\xa0fluctuations and currency in in
555
00:27:53.900 --> 00:27:56.000
\\xa0fixed income. It tends not to pay you to do
556
00:27:56.200 --> 00:27:59.400
\\xa0that. And so I know for instance
557
00:27:59.400 --> 00:28:03.100
\\xa0that here at Cemetery you folks hedge back
558
00:28:03.100 --> 00:28:07.000
\\xa0to the dollar sure and that takes some of that volatility out,
559
00:28:06.600 --> 00:28:09.400
\\xa0right? And again, I think that\'s a benefit
560
00:28:09.400 --> 00:28:11.000
\\xa0for Factor investors because what you\'re
561
00:28:11.200 --> 00:28:14.300
Is less volatility associated with fluctuations currency and
562
00:28:14.300 --> 00:28:18.000
\\xa0you\'re getting maybe stronger signal from these these
563
00:28:17.200 --> 00:28:20.900
\\xa0different sources of return across
564
00:28:20.900 --> 00:28:23.400
\\xa0different markets and they\'re all going to be hitting at
565
00:28:23.400 --> 00:28:26.700
\\xa0different times. Once the sort of the global economy
566
00:28:26.700 --> 00:28:29.200
\\xa0comes unpegged to what\'s going
567
00:28:29.200 --> 00:28:33.100
\\xa0on fighting inflation. Yeah until I think it\'s a perfect diversification story
568
00:28:32.100 --> 00:28:33.300
\\xa0and
569
00:28:34.100 --> 00:28:37.600
we have a saying here that the only free lunch and investing is diversification. And
570
00:28:37.600 --> 00:28:40.900
\\xa0so we tout that investor should be embracing that Casey.
571
00:28:40.900 --> 00:28:43.400
\\xa0Thank you so much for joining us that concludes part one.
572
00:28:43.400 --> 00:28:46.600
\\xa0Please feel free to access other podcasts
573
00:28:46.600 --> 00:28:49.000
\\xa0that we have done and they can be
574
00:28:49.400 --> 00:28:52.600
\\xa0accessed anywhere you get your podcast. So please join Casey and
575
00:28:52.600 --> 00:28:56.000
\\xa0I for part two and our next series symmetry Partners
576
00:28:55.700 --> 00:28:58.800
\\xa0LLC is an investment advisor firm
577
00:28:58.800 --> 00:29:01.700
\\xa0registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission The
578
00:29:01.700 --> 00:29:04.600
\\xa0Firm only transacts business in states where it
579
00:29:04.600 --> 00:29:07.500
\\xa0is properly registered or excluded or
580
00:29:07.500 --> 00:29:11.200
\\xa0Exempted from registration requirements registration of
581
00:29:10.200 --> 00:29:13.600
\\xa0an investment advisor does not imply any
582
00:29:13.600 --> 00:29:16.400
\\xa0specific level of skill or training and does
583
00:29:16.400 --> 00:29:19.100
\\xa0not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the
584
00:29:19.100 --> 00:29:22.300
\\xa0commission. No one should assume that future performance of any
585
00:29:22.300 --> 00:29:26.300
\\xa0specific investment investment strategy product or
586
00:29:25.300 --> 00:29:28.300
\\xa0non-investment related content made
587
00:29:28.300 --> 00:29:31.800
\\xa0reference to directly or indirectly in this material will be
588
00:29:31.800 --> 00:29:32.400
\\xa0profitable.
589
00:29:33.400 --> 00:29:36.500
As with any investment strategy there is the possibility of
590
00:29:36.500 --> 00:29:39.500
\\xa0profitability as well as loss due
591
00:29:39.500 --> 00:29:42.300
\\xa0to various factors including changing market
592
00:29:42.300 --> 00:29:44.700
\\xa0conditions and/or applicable laws.
593
00:29:45.300 --> 00:29:48.900
The content may not be reflective of current opinions or
594
00:29:48.900 --> 00:29:51.600
\\xa0positions. Please note the material
595
00:29:51.600 --> 00:29:54.300
\\xa0is provided for educational and background use only
596
00:29:54.300 --> 00:29:58.000
\\xa0moreover. You should not assume that any discussion or information
597
00:29:57.800 --> 00:30:00.800
\\xa0contained in this material Services the
598
00:30:00.800 --> 00:30:04.400
\\xa0receipt of or as a substitute for personalized
599
00:30:03.400 --> 00:30:05.700
\\xa0investment advice.
\\xa0
' -->Listed in: Business
1
00:00:07.500 --> 00:00:10.500
\\xa0to part 2 of choosing the right financial advisor. This
2
00:00:10.500 --> 00:00:13.100
\\xa0is Tom Romano with unfiltered finance and I\'m back
3
00:00:13.100 --> 00:00:16.200
\\xa0here with my guests. Mike store senior Regional director at
4
00:00:16.200 --> 00:00:20.000
\\xa0symmetry partners and Peter laponis financial advisor
5
00:00:19.200 --> 00:00:22.200
\\xa0and cfp at Apollo wealth. Thank you for joining us
6
00:00:22.200 --> 00:00:25.400
\\xa0gentlemen, so go Peter certified financial
7
00:00:25.400 --> 00:00:28.400
\\xa0planner see FP Mike. I\'m
8
00:00:28.400 --> 00:00:31.800
\\xa0asked this question to you because Peter is a cfp. What
9
00:00:31.800 --> 00:00:34.700
\\xa0are the credential what other credentials that investors should
10
00:00:34.700 --> 00:00:37.200
\\xa0be looking for as they\'re going through this process of choosing a
11
00:00:37.200 --> 00:00:40.500
\\xa0financial advisor. I mean cfp certainly is one of them sure. There\'s
12
00:00:40.500 --> 00:00:43.200
\\xa0you know, I mean I come across a wide variety
13
00:00:43.200 --> 00:00:47.500
\\xa0of different advisors and that have different different designations
14
00:00:46.500 --> 00:00:49.300
\\xa0and it and sometimes it
15
00:00:49.300 --> 00:00:52.400
\\xa0depends on it depends on you know, what type
16
00:00:52.400 --> 00:00:56.400
\\xa0of work they\'re doing for the client. It may not always be, you know
17
00:00:56.400 --> 00:00:59.400
\\xa0cfp, but most of the advisors that I\'m working with their
18
00:00:59.400 --> 00:01:01.500
\\xa0certified financial planners, but there\'s
19
00:01:01.900 --> 00:01:05.000
there\'s SEMA, you know, which is a certified Investment
20
00:01:04.500 --> 00:01:07.800
\\xa0Management associate, I
21
00:01:07.800 --> 00:01:10.500
\\xa0believe and that I look
22
00:01:10.500 --> 00:01:13.500
\\xa0at CFA and see Sima as kind of two different
23
00:01:13.500 --> 00:01:14.300
\\xa0designations that
24
00:01:15.500 --> 00:01:18.200
Are are very strong. I mean these people are incredibly smart.
25
00:01:18.200 --> 00:01:21.700
\\xa0They pass a lot of tests to get where they are. But I
26
00:01:21.700 --> 00:01:24.500
\\xa0look at the see the SEMA and the
27
00:01:24.500 --> 00:01:27.300
\\xa0the CFA which is a chartered financial
28
00:01:27.300 --> 00:01:31.100
\\xa0analyst as more geared towards Investments to
29
00:01:30.100 --> 00:01:33.300
\\xa0a certain extent. So they\'re if you\'ve
30
00:01:33.300 --> 00:01:37.000
\\xa0got an advisor that is more seamors or CFA oriented.
31
00:01:36.500 --> 00:01:40.300
\\xa0I think you\'re probably you could and Peter
32
00:01:39.300 --> 00:01:42.900
\\xa0you can correct me if I\'m wrong lean more
33
00:01:42.900 --> 00:01:45.800
\\xa0towards them probably approaching it from an investment perspective.
34
00:01:45.800 --> 00:01:49.100
\\xa0Whereas I think a cfp is
35
00:01:48.100 --> 00:01:52.100
\\xa0going to approach the relationship from everything
36
00:01:51.100 --> 00:01:54.400
\\xa0that Peter just talked about in terms of how they
37
00:01:54.400 --> 00:01:57.200
\\xa0want to how they want to work with you moving
38
00:01:57.200 --> 00:02:00.300
\\xa0forward Investments are important no doubt, but I think from
39
00:02:00.300 --> 00:02:03.700
\\xa0the standpoint of the approach if
40
00:02:03.700 --> 00:02:06.200
\\xa0you\'re looking for a planner, you know a cfp is
41
00:02:06.200 --> 00:02:10.000
\\xa0where you want to be if you want someone that\'s more focused on. Okay, I\'ll construct
42
00:02:09.300 --> 00:02:12.800
\\xa0a portfolio for you, but I think Sima and
43
00:02:12.800 --> 00:02:15.300
\\xa0CFA tend to lose tend to
44
00:02:15.400 --> 00:02:18.200
Themselves more towards investment only to a certain
45
00:02:18.200 --> 00:02:21.400
\\xa0extent now that\'s not every single or CFA but I think from that
46
00:02:21.400 --> 00:02:24.400
\\xa0perspective those types of designations. Those are the ones that I come across
47
00:02:24.400 --> 00:02:27.700
\\xa0primarily obviously, there\'s other designations with
48
00:02:27.700 --> 00:02:30.400
\\xa0the insurance realm that you know, you like a
49
00:02:30.400 --> 00:02:33.200
\\xa0chfc that would be which I
50
00:02:33.200 --> 00:02:36.400
\\xa0I don\'t even remember that. It\'s a chartered leave its chartered Financial
51
00:02:36.400 --> 00:02:39.700
\\xa0consult consultant, right which is different than a chartered financial analyst
52
00:02:39.700 --> 00:02:42.400
\\xa0which is kind of interesting but you know, they\'d be focused more on
53
00:02:42.400 --> 00:02:45.500
\\xa0and probably the insurance side of the investment process.
54
00:02:45.500 --> 00:02:48.200
\\xa0So I come across a lot but I would say
55
00:02:48.200 --> 00:02:51.900
\\xa0that I feel comfortable saying it that the
56
00:02:51.900 --> 00:02:55.400
\\xa0cfp is the designation where you know, mostly you\'re
57
00:02:55.400 --> 00:02:58.600
\\xa0going to be getting more of a planning approach. Whereas I
58
00:02:58.600 --> 00:03:02.200
\\xa0think the other designations might lean towards something else within
59
00:03:01.200 --> 00:03:04.700
\\xa0the whole scope of planning but more,
60
00:03:04.700 --> 00:03:07.100
\\xa0you know designated or specific on that
61
00:03:07.100 --> 00:03:11.000
\\xa0side sure. I think it\'s important, you know, individuals professionals
62
00:03:10.500 --> 00:03:14.000
\\xa0regardless of the industry having credentials after
63
00:03:13.400 --> 00:03:15.400
\\xa0their name shows that they\'re
64
00:03:15.400 --> 00:03:18.600
to the business. They\'re probably lifelong Learners,
65
00:03:18.600 --> 00:03:23.000
\\xa0which is something you probably want to look for in a financial advisor. And
66
00:03:21.200 --> 00:03:25.300
\\xa0I would agree with you a cfp
67
00:03:24.300 --> 00:03:27.600
\\xa0is probably the starting point. However, the
68
00:03:27.600 --> 00:03:31.000
\\xa0the SEMA the Cima in the CFA,
69
00:03:30.200 --> 00:03:33.900
\\xa0which I would agree are more investment driven.
70
00:03:35.700 --> 00:03:38.100
Um working with a firm who has a cfp has the point
71
00:03:38.100 --> 00:03:41.300
\\xa0of contact Peter, but that doesn\'t mean you don\'t have access to
72
00:03:41.300 --> 00:03:44.500
\\xa0cfa\'s and seamas as well. Right, correct. And
73
00:03:44.500 --> 00:03:47.500
\\xa0that\'s that\'s part of the teamwork approach here that you
74
00:03:47.500 --> 00:03:51.200
\\xa0know behind the scenes. I know that there\'s cfas working on our portfolios.
75
00:03:50.200 --> 00:03:53.100
\\xa0So so I think
76
00:03:53.100 --> 00:03:57.500
\\xa0you could see someone with another non-cfp designation
77
00:03:57.500 --> 00:04:00.200
\\xa0but is what\'s their firm like do they have a team behind
78
00:04:00.200 --> 00:04:04.100
\\xa0them is maybe they have a a young hire
79
00:04:03.100 --> 00:04:06.700
\\xa0a new hire coming out of college who\'s studying
80
00:04:06.700 --> 00:04:09.200
\\xa0for his or her cfp and that\'s their parent plan
81
00:04:09.200 --> 00:04:12.600
\\xa0who works on the financial plan. So I mean to I think
82
00:04:12.600 --> 00:04:15.300
\\xa0you might be doing a disservice just because
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00:04:15.300 --> 00:04:18.400
\\xa0someone doesn\'t have cfp understand more about what\'s
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\\xa0what\'s going on at the firm and not just
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\\xa0the designation. But I do agree having a designation and you
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\\xa0made you reminded me. My continuing
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\\xa0ed is coming up and it\'s it\'s comprehensive. I\'ve
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\\xa0got I\'ve got a lot to do several hours to to
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\\xa0keep
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Cfp designation current I\'ve
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\\xa0got to do some continuing education requirements online. Yeah, me
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\\xa0too. Thanks for the reminder. I would say I didn\'t
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\\xa0mean to say that, you know, the cfp is definitely starting point. But Peter
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\\xa0brings up a great point that you when you visit with these cfps. They
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\\xa0do have those other.
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People in their organizations that cover those parts
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\\xa0of the planning process for them from that standpoint
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\\xa0So and I\'ve met many cfps that have their SEMA or have their CFA as
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\\xa0well. So depends on who I\'m speaking with, but there\'s there\'s a
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\\xa0wide variety of different designations and some have won
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\\xa0some have many or some have, you know, more than one right? So something
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\\xa0that you would recommend investors look for as they\'re gonna
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\\xa0go through absolutely. Absolutely. Absolutely. Yeah Mike we
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\\xa0for all the cfps out there yet. We\'re definitely the top
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\\xa0designation. No doubt about no doubt about it. We can
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\\xa0leave it at that. Very good very good. So I
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\\xa0have a few more questions and this has been great gentlemen, but
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What are some of the resources online resources
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\\xa0right, you know, I don\'t think people use phone books
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\\xa0anymore to find Financial professionals. What are
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\\xa0some of the things my gear you\'re working
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\\xa0with thousands of advisors. Like how do you how do you
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\\xa0go about and find an advisor that that you would want to work with
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\\xa0a professional level but not only professional of
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\\xa0us person maybe from even personal standpoint where can
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\\xa0investors go? Well they can they can you
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\\xa0know go online and you know, there\'s a couple of different organizations that
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\\xa0are out there that you could look at like the Financial Planning Association is
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\\xa0a great place to start that\'s that\'s a
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\\xa0big one National Association of
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\\xa0personal financial advisors is another great site
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\\xa0as well the certified financial planner
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\\xa0board. You can go that route as well. I mean,
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\\xa0that\'s probably the best place to start you can find someone in your general area
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\\xa0that could help you there. There\'s another firm out there
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\\xa0XY Planning Network which is which
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\\xa0is a pretty good tool for to search for fee only.
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Financial advisors you mentioned, you know
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\\xa0word of mouth or referrals from from your friends
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\\xa0or family that may be working with a financial advisor. So all of
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\\xa0them are great great ways to to identify some of
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\\xa0that you might want to work with at least get the opportunity to interview them to see
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\\xa0if they would be a good fit for you. Yeah. I think there\'s a lot of great resources online,
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\\xa0you know, one of the things that Peter and
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\\xa0I talk about quite a bit is you know working with someone
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\\xa0who understands you someone who\'s working with
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\\xa0other investors like me.
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Right in a lot of times if someone has a very specific need or
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\\xa0specific sort of outcome. They\'re
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\\xa0looking for they can identify the right Financial professional
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\\xa0by not only looking at those websites, but
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LinkedIn Facebook. Look, who are these?
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\\xa0Look who at the who these advisors are look at
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\\xa0the circles that they\'re in right? You know it a funny story my parents
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\\xa0who are not great investors. They were
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\\xa0both School teachers had a pension but when they were looking for
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\\xa0financial advisor, they didn\'t look any
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\\xa0further than you know, the Connecticut Teachers Retirement Financial
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\\xa0advisory. It was a really long name like
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\\xa0that. I know I\'m butchering it and talking it right but they will
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\\xa0work Connecticut Teachers that must be the guy that we work with without even
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\\xa0thinking twice about it, but they knew they felt comfortable and
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\\xa0they trusted that the this particular individuals working
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\\xa0with other, Connecticut Teachers.
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Here to add to any of that Peter. I mean, I think that
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\\xa0you know, I\'ve had done. Oh my
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\\xa0second cap. We have pulled that one back.
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I won\'t ask that question better.
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All right.
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so Peter
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You know, I\'ve talked about this it it\'s a mutual
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\\xa0interview between an advisor and an investor the investors making
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\\xa0a choice, but the advisors making a choice as well. So talk
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\\xa0a little bit about that process if you will.
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Yeah, I think that\'s that\'s a great question. And I definitely
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\\xa0encourage people to come up with a
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\\xa0list of questions and interview multiple
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\\xa0advisors definitely. But yeah, when when
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\\xa0I\'m meeting with with a New Prospect, I\'m interviewing
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\\xa0them as well. And there\'s things I\'m I\'m looking
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\\xa0for I want to make sure that number
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\\xa0one there. They\'re gonna be happy working with us. I\'ve
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\\xa0told people who I refer to
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\\xa0them as Gunslingers. They want to pick stocks. They want to
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\\xa0be in and out of the market they want they want action and I\'ve told
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\\xa0people I go I don\'t think we\'re gonna be a good fit. I\'m a
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\\xa0nice person. You seem like a nice person you seem to get along but
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we\'re going to have different philosophies and and I want
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\\xa0you to be happy and I don\'t want to waste your time and I
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\\xa0don\'t want to have my time wasted and so I\'ve had to tell people I just don\'t think
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\\xa0that this is necessarily going to work. Um, also there\'s
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\\xa0when I start to hear people talk and I say this
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\\xa0to clients
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and Prospects I start to get a gut feeling about what\'s
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\\xa0going on. And when I start to hear about things like
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\\xa0well a lot of debt, you know, you\'ve got
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\\xa0and not good. You don\'t have good financial habits.
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\\xa0You\'re spending all your money. You\'ve got
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\\xa0a lot of debt a lot of bad debt. It\'s one thing to have a mortgage your car
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\\xa0payments. Those are those are necessary. We\'ll call those
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\\xa0good debt necessary debt. We start talking about large student
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\\xa0loans. We start talking about large credit
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\\xa0card balances.
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I may not be able to work with you. I you may be better off going
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\\xa0and having credit counseling done first because I
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\\xa0can maybe give you some pointers but I\'ve
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\\xa0had to unfortunately tell people that we may
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\\xa0not be a good fit. There wasn\'t a whole lot I could do because they
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\\xa0just they just didn\'t have the assets. They needed to get really the
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\\xa0basics of their budgeting or spending plan
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\\xa0down and start to work on that debt. And that\'s not something we\'re
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\\xa0necessarily.
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Working on it\'d be more of sort of a credit agency
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\\xa0helping them to kind of get that square away. Absolutely. You
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\\xa0mentioned working with, you know, other sort of
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\\xa0financial professionals that you you work with
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\\xa0other.
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Financial professionals as well. I mean maybe not direct financial
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\\xa0advisors, but tax advisors and things like that. Oh, definitely.
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\\xa0I like to say that the analogy is I\'m
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\\xa0I\'m sort of the quarterback or I\'m your
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\\xa0your primary care physician if we need to bring in a specialist,
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\\xa0you know cardiologists so forth
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\\xa0weekologists.
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So but I\'m working with.
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I\'ll work with the client\'s attorney to talk about their state plan
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\\xa0work with a client\'s accountant or CPA to
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\\xa0talk about if we need to do some rebalancing in the portfolio before
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\\xa0I do any of that.
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And start triggering capital gains. I want to make sure that the accountant is
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\\xa0on board with it and we understand what the
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\\xa0ramifications are of those actions or in
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\\xa0actions because the last thing a client wants is a
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\\xa0surprise attack time. There\'s something psychological about
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\\xa0a big tax bill staring you in the face and it\'s
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\\xa0one thing to not know about it and have to
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\\xa0pay it. It\'s another thing. All right, you know what we knew about this, but we know why we
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\\xa0did it. So I\'m constantly working with
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\\xa0with other Professionals in helping clients
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\\xa0with taxes and in legal issues.
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That\'s fantastic. Yeah, so that\'s another thing that investors should
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\\xa0be looking for. Is there a true team approach? Maybe not even under the
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\\xa0same roof under the same corporate umbrella if you will but making
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\\xa0sure that the advisors acting in that quarterback capacity
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\\xa0and has the right Specialists for
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\\xa0those needs that might be outside of the scope of
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\\xa0what the advisors doing on a day-to-day and that could be another point
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\\xa0of reference for a client. If you have an accountant who
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\\xa0you\'ve been working with for a long time and you happen to like him
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\\xa0or her in the way that they work maybe they could be a place
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\\xa0where you could go to get a referral.
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Because I\'m in all likelihood that that CPA
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\\xa0or that attorney is has some
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\\xa0type of relationship with a financial advisor and could give
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\\xa0you a couple of places to go. Yeah, I think that\'s a great
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\\xa0great piece of advice there. All right.
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\\xa0I want one more topic here because this comes up a
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\\xa0lot and it\'s the notion of compensation for financial advisors.
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\\xa0I\'ve heard individuals say
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\\xa0that I don\'t pay my financial advisor or anything. He does
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\\xa0it for free sure right there is
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\\xa0there\'s a problem this industry, I think with transparency at times and
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\\xa0there\'s a number of different ways financial advisors are
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\\xa0being compensated. I didn\'t like frankly I think advisors should
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\\xa0be fairly compensated. They\'re doing really good work, right?
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Depending on the advisor. Of course, Mike tell us
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\\xa0a little bit about the couple of different.
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Fee structures or compensation structures there are for financial advisors.
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\\xa0And if there\'s one that you would recommend over
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\\xa0another I\'ll rattle them off because it\'s a
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\\xa0lot of different ones. There\'s feel only which we\'ve talked a little
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\\xa0bit about there\'s fee-based. There\'s Commission
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There\'s retainer.
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There\'s subscription. There\'s
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\\xa0another one I\'ve heard that I know is out there not as
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\\xa0popular but it\'s there and there\'s flat fee.
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\\xa0So there\'s a number of different ways that advisors are
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\\xa0compensated and the one
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\\xa0of course in my line of work and in terms
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\\xa0of what I do on a daily basis working with us, I come across primarily
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\\xa0not always I would say fee only
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\\xa0in fee based or the two that that primarily I work with
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\\xa0although there are there are others that are
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\\xa0less. So like a retainer I\'ve seen I\'ve come across that
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\\xa0but I say primarily it\'s fee only and fee-based that
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\\xa0I typically work with advisors and you know,
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\\xa0I\'ll let Peter elaborate but I\'ll just say generally that fee only would be
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\\xa0just be be charging, you know,
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\\xa0a fee for services. It could
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\\xa0be it could be a flat fee or could be a fee based
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\\xa0on assets under management that the investor might have with that advisor
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\\xa0fee base is is kind of
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\\xa0a combination of the only and commission if you will it has
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The concept of building on assets but also the advisor
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\\xa0has the ability to offer commission-based
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\\xa0products that would follow outside of the fiduciary scope.
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\\xa0I believe Peter and so those are the two that primarily
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\\xa0I see in my kind of interactions with
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\\xa0advisors around the country. Yeah, I think most of our listeners are
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\\xa0probably falling into the fee only fee-based camp
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\\xa0or the commission side right there. There
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\\xa0are a number of different fee models out there in compensation models
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\\xa0and I think they all have their pros and cons but you
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\\xa0just said something that I\'m gonna ask Peter O\'Brien on
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\\xa0right?
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We talked about fiduciary.
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If you are paying a commission.
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Is your advisor acting as a fiduciary necessarily? Yeah,
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\\xa0if you\'ve your your fee only your
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\\xa0being charged in a fee for your advice and
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\\xa0and whatever the the Investments would be. Where\'s fee-based
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\\xa0you could be receiving commissions.
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On investment products. It\'s sort of
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\\xa0I guess I\'ll use the term hybrid approach. So it\'s
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\\xa0a gray area. They I don\'t
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\\xa0know if because we don\'t do that here, you know,
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\\xa0we don\'t have commission based investment products. It\'s strictly
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\\xa0putting people into no load low cost
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\\xa0mutual funds and ETFs and we are being
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\\xa0paid a fee based upon those assets under management. We don\'t
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\\xa0have commissionable investment products to sell and if
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\\xa0you\'re if an advisor is doing that.
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I don\'t think they can put themselves out there as
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\\xa0as a fiduciary necessarily.
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Yeah, I think that the commission side I\'m not
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\\xa0knocking it. Just calling it
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\\xa0what it is. It\'s it\'s rot with conflicts of interest and
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\\xa0you just said something that I think would would mean
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\\xa0a lot to our listeners, right?
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these
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percentage of assets fees paying fees you\'re paying
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\\xa0for advice in that fee stays the
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\\xa0same regardless of the investment product. It\'s a
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\\xa0with your charging 1% regardless of
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\\xa0the advice you give you earn five you earn that one percent rather.
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commissions
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Is in compensation for advice it\'s compensation
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\\xa0for selling a product and that product
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\\xa0has to be suitable not necessarily best interest.
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Okay, so that I think that\'s something that people
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\\xa0don\'t understand outside of this industry. You
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\\xa0know, there\'s two ways two major ways
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\\xa0that advisers get compensated fees versus commissions and
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\\xa0one other point that I\'ll make about fees and correct
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\\xa0me if I\'m wrong gentlemen if you\'re charging fees on assets.
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If the asset level goes up the advisor
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\\xa0gets paid more the asset level goes down. I
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\\xa0mean the percentage stays the same but the actual dollars change, so
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\\xa0I think that it actually aligns the interests.
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Of the investor and the advisor using a fee model
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\\xa0for Susan commission model where someone might
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\\xa0be asking you to buy a product that you may not necessarily
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\\xa0need.
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Correct. And that\'s that\'s the thing. We you
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\\xa0start talking about different.
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Whether it\'s Insurance products investment products that have commissions on
347
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\\xa0them.
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Now all of a sudden it could be suitable. But if product
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\\xa0a May pay
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X percentage products B may pay X
351
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\\xa0percentage plus something on top of
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\\xa0it.
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A non-fiduciary advisor is probably
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\\xa0going to go to product B because it\'s going to pay him
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\\xa0or her more and it\'s a perceived conflict of
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\\xa0interest. I\'m not saying that every person out there who\'s earning a commission is
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Is not acting in good faith, but there
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\\xa0is there\'s a potential for that conflict to be there. Sure. It\'s
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\\xa0it\'s all things being equal right? It\'s they\'re gonna pick if it\'s
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\\xa0if it doesn\'t necessarily hurt the
361
00:17:57.500 --> 00:18:00.500
\\xa0client and all and the Investments are relatively the
362
00:18:00.500 --> 00:18:04.100
\\xa0same they\'re going to gravitate probably towards the higher commission product.
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00:18:03.100 --> 00:18:06.400
\\xa0Not that it\'s a bad thing. But that\'s the conflict of
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\\xa0interest that we talk about right isn\'t necessarily in the best
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\\xa0interest of the client. Yeah, and I think investors don\'t need products as
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\\xa0much as they need advice. Yeah agreed. I totally agree.
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\\xa0We were talking the the other
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\\xa0day just that the the meetings we were we were at and
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\\xa0and the model the way it was is you
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\\xa0had insurance companies or investment firms sort of
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\\xa0sitting at the top designing product and starting
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\\xa0to push that product down to advisors who would
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\\xa0then push it to clients down at the bottom and really our
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\\xa0model is where we flip the script.
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The client is at the top and the client comes to the advisor.
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And we then go out to the product manufacturers to
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\\xa0find the the best product the best solution for
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\\xa0for the client to make as part of
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\\xa0their financial plan. So I think that\'s that\'s a big difference there.
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\\xa0We have nothing proprietary and we are acting in the best interests
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\\xa0of the client looking for a best of breed approach. And
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\\xa0again, usually it comes down to well, what
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\\xa0are the fees associated with that and that\'s another great piece of
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\\xa0advice for clients.
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Understand who you\'re paying and what you\'re paying
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\\xa0them and what for?
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Whether it\'s mutual funds inside your 401k or
388
00:19:15.400 --> 00:19:18.800
\\xa0something inside if you have an IRA through your bank
389
00:19:18.800 --> 00:19:21.500
\\xa0understand what it what it is and and
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\\xa0how it works. You\'re the one paying it and and understand how
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00:19:24.500 --> 00:19:27.400
\\xa0all of that works and a lot of times people don\'t realize
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\\xa0that because a lot of times things are are not
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00:19:30.500 --> 00:19:33.300
\\xa0apparent you got to do a got to do a little bit of digging to understand
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\\xa0what those those fees are inside of certain products.
395
00:19:36.500 --> 00:19:39.300
\\xa0Yeah. Absolutely. No, no what you\'re paying and I think
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\\xa0that there are some compensation models for
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00:19:42.200 --> 00:19:45.700
\\xa0advisor out that they\'re a little bit opaque if
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00:19:45.700 --> 00:19:48.600
\\xa0you will but as an investor
399
00:19:48.600 --> 00:19:51.600
\\xa0working with the financial professional transparency matters,
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00:19:51.600 --> 00:19:54.200
\\xa0and if someone\'s not being transparent, then there\'s
401
00:19:54.200 --> 00:19:57.000
\\xa0probably not a lot of trust there in this business is built on trust.
402
00:19:58.100 --> 00:20:01.300
So yeah, I have to disclose everything to everybody up
403
00:20:01.300 --> 00:20:01.700
\\xa0front because
404
00:20:03.300 --> 00:20:06.300
It\'s coming out. It\'s coming out of the account and they\'ll see it right on the statement as
405
00:20:06.300 --> 00:20:09.600
\\xa0a line item to the penny. Yeah, exactly, except a
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\\xa0penny.
407
00:20:10.200 --> 00:20:13.700
Absolutely. Well gentlemen, thank you so much for your time. So I
408
00:20:13.700 --> 00:20:16.400
\\xa0just want to kind of recap because there was so much great information
409
00:20:16.400 --> 00:20:19.500
\\xa0that the two of you shared if you\'re an investor
410
00:20:19.500 --> 00:20:22.300
\\xa0out there if you\'re one of our listeners and you\'re looking to work with a financial
411
00:20:22.300 --> 00:20:25.500
\\xa0professional or if you\'re looking for maybe a second opinion a couple
412
00:20:25.500 --> 00:20:28.100
\\xa0of things that that Peter and Michael had talked to us
413
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\\xa0about today. Make sure you ask the question. Are you acting
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\\xa0in a fiduciary capacity? Probably the most important question to
415
00:20:34.600 --> 00:20:35.700
\\xa0ask a financial professional.
416
00:20:36.300 --> 00:20:40.100
Number two. What is your financial planning process? Right
417
00:20:39.100 --> 00:20:42.200
\\xa0the value proposition of a
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00:20:42.200 --> 00:20:46.200
\\xa0financial advisor should be based on that planning process. And
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00:20:45.200 --> 00:20:48.500
\\xa0since you are paying for advice, I think a great
420
00:20:48.500 --> 00:20:51.300
\\xa0question is what is your investment philosophy? How do you see the
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\\xa0world work? How are you going to advise me based on that investment
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\\xa0philosophy
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00:20:55.900 --> 00:20:58.300
When it comes to credentials, I think looking for any credential
424
00:20:58.300 --> 00:21:01.100
\\xa0makes a lot of sense after a person\'s name. But if you\'re
425
00:21:01.100 --> 00:21:04.100
\\xa0looking for a true financial planner, the cfp designation is the
426
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\\xa0one that that our guests recommend.
427
00:21:06.600 --> 00:21:09.400
Look for people that work with people like
428
00:21:09.400 --> 00:21:12.600
\\xa0you look for advisors that are working with people like yourself
429
00:21:12.600 --> 00:21:15.900
\\xa0and there\'s a lot of resources out there. Mike mentioned
430
00:21:15.900 --> 00:21:18.600
\\xa0Napa. There\'s the advisor\'s website. Of
431
00:21:18.600 --> 00:21:21.300
\\xa0course Facebook LinkedIn are great ways to look at how
432
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\\xa0these advisors are working with
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\\xa0people that may or may not be like you and let me throw another resource
434
00:21:27.200 --> 00:21:31.200
\\xa0out there. A lot of investors don\'t realize that you
435
00:21:30.200 --> 00:21:34.300
\\xa0can Google broker check broker check
436
00:21:34.300 --> 00:21:38.000
\\xa0is a government website where tracks the history
437
00:21:37.100 --> 00:21:41.000
\\xa0of every single Financial professional whether they\'re SEC
438
00:21:40.600 --> 00:21:43.900
\\xa0registered or member of finra and you\'ll
439
00:21:43.900 --> 00:21:46.400
\\xa0see if there\'s any disclosures or anything like that
440
00:21:46.400 --> 00:21:49.400
\\xa0so broker checks are great way to see if
441
00:21:49.400 --> 00:21:52.200
\\xa0if there\'s any dings on the record of
442
00:21:52.200 --> 00:21:55.100
\\xa0the person that you\'re speaking to and then in terms
443
00:21:55.100 --> 00:21:58.700
\\xa0of compensation look for fees versus commissions not
444
00:21:58.700 --> 00:22:01.200
\\xa0to say that commissions are necessarily bad, but they
445
00:22:01.200 --> 00:22:04.100
\\xa0there could be some conflicts of
446
00:22:04.100 --> 00:22:06.500
\\xa0interest in there and a fee-based advisor.
447
00:22:06.600 --> 00:22:09.200
Even a fee only advisor is going to sit in the same side of
448
00:22:09.200 --> 00:22:12.700
\\xa0the table as you the investor. So Michael, thank
449
00:22:12.700 --> 00:22:15.200
\\xa0you so much for your time. Thanks Tom Peter. So thank you
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00:22:15.200 --> 00:22:19.100
\\xa0for joining us here today. This has been a great conversation and so
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00:22:18.100 --> 00:22:21.300
\\xa0for our listeners out there. Thank you for joining us.
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\\xa0We\'ll get you on the next one. And if you
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00:22:24.200 --> 00:22:28.400
\\xa0want to look at any of our previous unfiltered Finance podcasts, they\'re
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\\xa0available wherever you might be getting your podcast today.
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\\xa0So thank you till next time. Bye Cemetery Partners.
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00:22:33.200 --> 00:22:36.600
\\xa0LLC is an investment advisor
457
00:22:36.600 --> 00:22:39.300
\\xa0firm registered with the Security and Exchange Commission
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00:22:39.300 --> 00:22:42.500
\\xa0The Firm only transacts business in states where
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00:22:42.500 --> 00:22:45.600
\\xa0it is properly registered or excluded or
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00:22:45.600 --> 00:22:49.200
\\xa0Exempted from registration requirements registration of
461
00:22:48.200 --> 00:22:51.400
\\xa0an investment advisor does not imply
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00:22:51.400 --> 00:22:54.500
\\xa0any specific level of skill or training and does
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00:22:54.500 --> 00:22:57.300
\\xa0not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the
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00:22:57.300 --> 00:23:00.300
\\xa0commission. No one should assume that future performance of any
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\\xa0specific investment investment strategy product or
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00:23:03.400 --> 00:23:06.100
\\xa0non-investment related content.
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00:23:06.600 --> 00:23:10.000
Reference to directly or indirectly in this material will be
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00:23:09.000 --> 00:23:10.500
\\xa0profitable.
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00:23:11.400 --> 00:23:14.300
As with any investment strategy there is the possibility
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00:23:14.300 --> 00:23:17.500
\\xa0of profitability as well as loss due
471
00:23:17.500 --> 00:23:20.200
\\xa0to various factors including changing market
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00:23:20.200 --> 00:23:22.600
\\xa0conditions and/or applicable laws.
473
00:23:23.400 --> 00:23:27.000
Content may not be reflective of current opinions or
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00:23:26.600 --> 00:23:29.600
\\xa0positions. Please note the material
475
00:23:29.600 --> 00:23:32.300
\\xa0is provided for educational and background use only
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00:23:32.300 --> 00:23:36.000
\\xa0moreover. You should not assume that any discussion or information
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00:23:35.700 --> 00:23:38.600
\\xa0contained in this material serves as
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\\xa0the receipt of or as a substitute for personalized
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\\xa0investment advice.
\\xa0
' -->Listed in: Business
1
00:00:07.400 --> 00:00:10.700
\\xa0welcome to unfiltered Finance. I\'m your host Tom romano.
2
00:00:10.700 --> 00:00:13.300
\\xa0And thank you for joining us this episode today. We
3
00:00:13.300 --> 00:00:17.000
\\xa0are talking about choosing the right financial advisor and
4
00:00:16.200 --> 00:00:19.400
\\xa0I have the perfect guests for this topic
5
00:00:19.400 --> 00:00:22.300
\\xa0joining us here today first and foremost Mike
6
00:00:22.300 --> 00:00:25.600
\\xa0store who is a senior Regional director
7
00:00:25.600 --> 00:00:28.100
\\xa0at symmetry Partners. I asked Mike to be
8
00:00:28.100 --> 00:00:31.700
\\xa0on the podcast because he works with thousands of financial advisors across
9
00:00:31.700 --> 00:00:34.200
\\xa0the country. He knows which ones
10
00:00:34.200 --> 00:00:37.200
\\xa0are doing the appropriate job and due diligence and
11
00:00:37.200 --> 00:00:41.200
\\xa0planning for their clients and the others who might be dare. I
12
00:00:41.200 --> 00:00:44.500
\\xa0say fake it Mike faking it and of
13
00:00:44.500 --> 00:00:47.800
\\xa0course a long time friend of mine Mr. Peter loponis
14
00:00:47.800 --> 00:00:50.900
\\xa0who\'s a certified financial planner and financial advisor
15
00:00:50.900 --> 00:00:53.100
\\xa0with Apollo wealth and happens to be
16
00:00:53.100 --> 00:00:56.200
\\xa0my personal financial planner. So gentlemen, thank you both for joining
17
00:00:56.200 --> 00:00:59.600
\\xa0us here today. You\'re welcome, Tom. Thanks Tom. Great to be here. I thought
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00:00:59.600 --> 00:01:01.600
\\xa0this was appropriate topic for us to discuss.
19
00:01:01.900 --> 00:01:04.500
you know coming out of the pandemic I travel a
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00:01:04.500 --> 00:01:07.400
\\xa0lot for business and I\'ve been on many planes
21
00:01:07.400 --> 00:01:10.400
\\xa0over the last few months and you know, whether it\'s an
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00:01:10.400 --> 00:01:11.100
\\xa0airport or
23
00:01:12.400 --> 00:01:16.200
Are sitting next to someone on a plane and just bring
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00:01:15.200 --> 00:01:19.000
\\xa0up some small talk and people understand
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00:01:18.300 --> 00:01:21.300
\\xa0that I\'m working in the financial services a business.
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00:01:21.300 --> 00:01:25.000
\\xa0And the first question. I always get is got any
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00:01:24.200 --> 00:01:27.300
\\xa0tips. What should I be buying? What
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00:01:27.300 --> 00:01:31.000
\\xa0should I be selling? Right? It\'s a very common question and for
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00:01:30.300 --> 00:01:33.100
\\xa0years, my response has always been and I\'m
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\\xa0a firm believer of this is the best advice I can give anyone in
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\\xa0that moment is to work with
32
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\\xa0someone you trust financial planner financial
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\\xa0advisor that\'s working in a fiduciary capacity. I
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\\xa0have a number of reasons why I say that but
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\\xa0Mike I\'d love to hear it from your perspective. Why should
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\\xa0investors people planning for
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00:01:54.300 --> 00:01:57.300
\\xa0retirement or for any other Financial need be working
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\\xa0with a financial professional? That\'s a great question.
39
00:02:00.100 --> 00:02:03.100
\\xa0I think you hit on it at the in your opening
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\\xa0remarks Tom is that
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00:02:04.900 --> 00:02:05.200
You know.
42
00:02:06.300 --> 00:02:09.300
Having traveled the country for many
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\\xa0years working with a number of different types of advisors and meeting
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\\xa0with clients at the same time, you know clients have
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\\xa0different desperate needs in terms of when it
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\\xa0comes to financial Financial advice so they can
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\\xa0certainly learn about it on on a website if they
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\\xa0want to but I found that especially the
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\\xa0best advisors are working working with
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\\xa0clients and from that
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00:02:34.400 --> 00:02:36.300
\\xa0perspective. I know who these advisors are.
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And I know they\'re doing a great job for their clients. And for me,
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\\xa0the one thing that comes to mind besides everything
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00:02:43.400 --> 00:02:46.100
\\xa0else at a financial advisor does because I think about it in
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00:02:46.100 --> 00:02:49.600
\\xa0my own world is comfort and peace of mind, right? There\'s lots
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00:02:49.600 --> 00:02:51.400
\\xa0of different moving Parts when it comes to planning.
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And and what you\'re going to do with your money for the long term and even myself
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00:02:55.500 --> 00:02:58.200
\\xa0being in this business, I worry about am I making
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00:02:58.200 --> 00:03:01.900
\\xa0the right decisions? So I think a lot of it comes down
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\\xa0to peace of mind and comfort. I think that that\'s high
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\\xa0level. There\'s a lot of you can drill down from there
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00:03:07.300 --> 00:03:10.900
\\xa0but I think for most clients if you think about it, it\'s getting that
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\\xa0pressure off of you and bringing a
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\\xa0professional and to make sure that you\'re meeting your life goals, whatever those might
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\\xa0be sure. No, absolutely. I think what I\'m hearing you say, I
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\\xa0hear things like planning and long-term and Peter
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\\xa0I\'ll shift over to you. So
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\\xa0what I\'m hearing Mike say and I loved for you to plan
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\\xa0on this when someone asks me got any tips,
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\\xa0why is that the wrong question?
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well, I think
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the answer they\'re looking for everyone wants something
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\\xa0that\'s exciting and and sexy that
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\\xa0they can tell.
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Their friends. I think you\'ve used the term water cooler alpha or
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\\xa0Golf Course Alpha everyone thinks somehow because we\'re
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\\xa0sitting here on the inside. We\'re insiders. We\'ve
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\\xa0got more information than than they do
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\\xa0as as retail investors, but
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\\xa0that\'s just not the case and and it\'s not about
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\\xa0hitting that home run with the stock because
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\\xa0if you\'re gonna be picking individual stocks, there\'s gonna
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\\xa0be some home runs in there, but there\'s got to be some singles and
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\\xa0doubles there\'s gonna be some losers too. It just
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\\xa0it\'s gonna happen statistically, but when
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\\xa0we talk about a plan and what
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\\xa0it can do for you long term the sense of confidence
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\\xa0that it\'s going to give you. That\'s what you really need. Hey, it\'s
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\\xa0great to be able to say Jesus I bought in at this stock when when it
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\\xa0was at 10 and it went to a hundred and in two years. It\'s a
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\\xa0great story, but
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Is better to have a sense of confidence and comfort with your
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\\xa0plan and with your financial outcomes, and that\'s why
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\\xa0sitting down and taking the time to go through a plan with a
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\\xa0cfp with someone who\'s a fiduciary is really in your
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\\xa0best interest versus getting that that hot stock tip.
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\\xa0Yeah, I would agree. The one thing that
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\\xa0I always comes to mind when someone says got any tips the first
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\\xa0thing I\'m thinking well if I had some I wouldn\'t tell you I\'d keep
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\\xa0it all for myself, right? There\'s wildly more Capital
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\\xa0to be to be earned when you keep those secrets to yourself right quick
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\\xa0short story. Tom and
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\\xa0Peter. My son is out in gainfully employed
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\\xa0in the Working World now and he has a little bit of money and he
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\\xa0asked me about a year ago a year and a half ago to Dad what
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\\xa0stocks should I pick? And so I immediately opened
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\\xa0up the Barron\'s journal and
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\\xa0I just looked at the stocks to pick now I said, hey, you
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\\xa0know, if you want to buy some technology, here\'s a bunch of Technology names. I said,
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\\xa0you know, the market has been involved, but if you want to buy stocks, here\'s a
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\\xa0couple of names that you can just
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Your portfolio. So of course he did that on my advice and
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\\xa0then about a year later. He
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\\xa0was blaming me because I\'m the one that picked the stocks from in the
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\\xa0stocks were Downs.
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I just thought that was kind of interesting because it I did
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\\xa0exactly the opposite of what I should have said to him right in terms
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\\xa0of how we should be approaching these but you know, this was play
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\\xa0money for him. So I let him learn a little bit about what it
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\\xa0really means to invest in those types of questions of the wrong questions,
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\\xa0right as you just mentioned Peter and so I thought it was
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\\xa0a really good it was a it was a learning moment for him to understand that
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\\xa0you don\'t just pick stocks and they go up. Oh, absolutely and like
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\\xa0I I actually I do that with with clients. I\'ll
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\\xa0say to them.
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If you want to open up a small account and I
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\\xa0use the term your Casino money. Hey, you got to go to
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\\xa0the casino and sit there and maybe go out to dinner have a drink play the
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\\xa0slot sit at a table if you lose a hundred or 200
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\\xa0or $300.
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It was a night of entertainment you had a good time.
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I see take your Casino money and put it into an account and
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\\xa0buy a couple of stocks and just it\'s it\'s
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\\xa0good education for you. You might learn some valuable
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\\xa0lessons, but you\'re gonna pay really close attention. Even
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\\xa0if it\'s only five or 10 shares of a
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\\xa0company and you\'ll you\'ll learn a lot for it. So I think there is certainly a
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\\xa0value in that but with large sums of Money Retirement accounts
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\\xa0brokerage accounts. Absolutely not none of
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\\xa0this stock picking. It\'s got to be a low cost. Well Diversified portfolio.
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\\xa0So I\'m hearing you say it\'s okay to sit in a
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\\xa0little bit.
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Any bit tiny bit? Absolutely. No, I didn\'t. You
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\\xa0know, I like to play the market myself, but I\'m only doing
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\\xa0that with my my entertainment dollars not my
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\\xa0long-term assets that that my family
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\\xa0and I are going to need at some point in time. Right? So Peter
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\\xa0you\'ve been talking a lot about planning right and and
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\\xa0I\'ve been in this business for a long time as with you
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\\xa0you and I\'ve worked together for many many years. I\'ve noticed
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\\xa0the value proposition of financial advisor
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\\xa0has changed right at one point. It was that
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\\xa0stock picker many many years ago. So this
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\\xa0day and age what what do
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\\xa0you see as the value proposition to a financial advisor?
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In my opinion, it has to be the plan because that\'s
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\\xa0where we\'ve had success as a firm. I\'ve
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\\xa0had success as an advisor clients have had success
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\\xa0following that advice and and really
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\\xa0it\'s about the planning and that\'s the most
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\\xa0valuable advice. I give to my clients. Hey, we\'re with
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\\xa0a low cost. Well Diversified portfolio. We\'re going
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\\xa0to get a market return the market for us
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\\xa0taking risk. We will get a market return and my
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\\xa0return will be no different than my clients because we invest in very similar
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\\xa0similarly constructed portfolios, but
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\\xa0really
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Whether we get an 8% return 9% 10%
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\\xa0return long-term. It\'s really
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\\xa0the plan.
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That is is going to drive all that and just because
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\\xa0their portfolio is up a certain year that that\'s
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\\xa0great and they like to see that.
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But again, the plan is going to say well geez, I
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\\xa0know now I can retire at age 62. I\'m
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\\xa0going to take Social Security at 67 when
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\\xa0I retire at 62.
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I\'m going to be able to pay for my own health insurance until
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\\xa0I hit MediCare at age 65. I mean, those are questions
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\\xa0that aren\'t even related to a rate
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\\xa0of return or a stock pick or any of that. They\'re planning
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\\xa0questions, but they\'re extremely important to people the very
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\\xa0comprehensive list of questions versus should you be in a
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\\xa060% stock 40% bomb for far beyond that
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\\xa0correct? Correct, but it\'s it\'s about the the layers and
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\\xa0the investment management risk reward asset
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\\xa0allocation being allocated appropriately.
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According to your risk tolerance that\'s all part of it. But you
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\\xa0do when I sit down with clients we talk about the
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\\xa0performance we talk about what the markets have been doing and we really start
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\\xa0to get into those those items Healthcare Medicare long
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\\xa0term care gifting money to people grandchildren
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\\xa0setting up a 529
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\\xa0accounts. All those types of things. These
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\\xa0are the goals and the things that are important to clients and they come
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\\xa0through the planning process. Yeah, that\'s extremely valuable right life
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\\xa0comes at you fast, and there\'s a number of instances in
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\\xa0my personal life where I\'ve leaned on you for things that
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\\xa0are fun far beyond investable assets.
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So that\'s that\'s good. So what so far listeners out there.
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\\xa0I mean you\'re looking for a financial professional that
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\\xa0is planning focused.
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But also from a very comprehensive standpoint Beyond
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\\xa0stocks bonds mutual funds Exchange Trade
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\\xa0funds Etc.
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So let\'s one of the things that\'s a
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\\xa0change gears a little bit.
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You know, there\'s over 300,000 financial advisors in
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\\xa0the United States, right? The term
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\\xa0fiduciary comes up quite a bit and I\'m
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\\xa0always surprised maybe I\'m not as surprised
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\\xa0as I once was that investors are don\'t
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\\xa0necessarily understand that sometimes advisors are
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\\xa0acting any fiduciary capacity and sometimes
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\\xa0they are not before we
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\\xa0jump into that.
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Explain to us Peter. What is a fiduciary? Well, it\'s
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\\xa0it\'s the highest standard of care in in
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\\xa0our industry. And I\'ve sort of I\'ve been on both
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\\xa0sides of it. So I have to act in my
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\\xa0clients best interest not only being affiliated with with a
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\\xa0palette but also being a cfp and really
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\\xa0what that comes down to at the end of the day
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\\xa0is the type of
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Investment product. I\'m going to refer to
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\\xa0everything as a product that we put our clients into and
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I\'ve got a really focus on the cost the level
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\\xa0of care below a fiduciary. It\'s
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\\xa0referred to as the suitability standard. Does that mean if I\'m
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\\xa0not a fiduciary? I\'m doing something unethical absolutely not
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\\xa0the last thing I want to do because I again I was there I\'ve worked
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\\xa0with clients where I was just doing by this suitability standard. I
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\\xa0was not a fiduciary at the end of the
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\\xa0day. I\'m putting my clients into something that is putting more money back
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\\xa0into their pocket meaning the fees
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\\xa0and the costs associated with those products are
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\\xa0much lower. We have
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\\xa0no Front End Sales charges. We have no backend sales charges.
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\\xa0So I said to clients that are that are coming on board.
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I will bend over backwards to make sure that you are happy but at some
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\\xa0point if you don\'t realize the value
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\\xa0of our services or you chose to go elsewhere, you
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\\xa0can do that. You\'re going to be able to take what you have here and
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\\xa0move that elsewhere. You\'re not going to be tied up for three or
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\\xa0five or ten years. No surrender charges or big
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\\xa0fees to go acting in their best interest and that helps
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\\xa0to protect them. And I think it\'s extremely important that people
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\\xa0need to ask
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Are you a fiduciary is your firm of fiduciary? And how
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\\xa0do you work? So when?
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Investors are looking for a financial
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\\xa0professional to work with right what I\'m
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\\xa0hearing someone the first things I should look for and they should ask about it potentially
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\\xa0even get it in writing. Are you acting any fiduciary
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\\xa0capacity? Are you acting in my best interest? Correct? They
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\\xa0absolutely should and and interview multiple
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\\xa0people Tom has
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\\xa0been not only a great client. But I\'ve worked
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\\xa0with many of Tom\'s family members. Why because they come to Tom. Jeez
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\\xa0Tom. I\'ve got some questions. Who should I work with? Well talk
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\\xa0to Peter. So if you have a friend or family member who you
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\\xa0know works with an advisor ask for that that person\'s name.
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\\xa0And if they will if you have a friend or family member they\'ll
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\\xa0refer them over if they enjoy working with them. So I think that\'s a
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\\xa0good place to start but interview them there\'s many checklists
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\\xa0online and I think one of the things you want to ask about are
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\\xa0you a fiduciary understand what that means and it\'s
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\\xa0it\'s something important because there\'s
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\\xa0plenty of us out. There aren\'t as many as probably there should
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\\xa0be but there\'s plenty fiduc.
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He\'s out there for you to work with.
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Absolutely. You made a really good point. I was doing a little research.
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Knowing that we were going to have this.
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Talk today the three of us and you know,
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\\xa0the number one way investors find their financial advisors through
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\\xa0through referrals. Right number two is through
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\\xa0you know online searches and things like that. So
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\\xa0I think that\'s that\'s really important
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\\xa0when you\'re looking for financial audience advisor talk to your family
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\\xa0your friends people who have or may have similar Financial
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\\xa0situations as you do but I
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\\xa0think you know, the important thing. Is that the very good question. Are
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\\xa0you acting and a fiduciary capacity at all times, right?
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We talked about the planning process one of the things I want to
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\\xa0touch upon and Mike will turn to you is that sometimes giving
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\\xa0good advice means saying no not giving
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\\xa0the client what they\'re looking for. Right and
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\\xa0I\'ve seen advisors who act
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\\xa0as more of a facilitator
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\\xa0very high service level but whatever the client
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\\xa0wants they they get what are some of the Perils of
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\\xa0that?
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The Perils are that you become all
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\\xa0things to all people and as I think
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\\xa0Thomas you have famously said if everything\'s
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\\xa0important nothing\'s important and
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\\xa0I think from the perspective of advice that we work with
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\\xa0it\'s it\'s you know
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\\xa0when you when you think about that kind of cafeteria style
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\\xa0service.
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It becomes very difficult to.
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Address clients needs concerns or
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\\xa0fears because you know
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\\xa0in terms of of investment investment advice,
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\\xa0if you\'re if you\'ve got clients that are in individual stocks
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\\xa0and you have clients in Diversified portfolios, or they\'re in a more passive
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\\xa0investment or they\'re in a tactical investment. You\'re constantly
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\\xa0pivoting to try to answer questions to
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\\xa0all these different constituencies within your practice what we
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\\xa0find in our in our work is that you know advisors that
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\\xa0have a philosophy advisors have a way that
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\\xa0they approach the capital markets and how they construct portfolios I
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\\xa0tend to do the best because their clients are like-minded and
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\\xa0it keeps them in their seats even when markets are
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\\xa0difficult. So having a
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Kind of a carte blanche or
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\\xa0I like to say cafeteria style investment or at
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\\xa0least offering makes it more difficult for you to keep your
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\\xa0clients in line. I think over time and I think what I
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\\xa0like like best about being at symmetries, we do have that investment philosophy. That\'s
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\\xa0straightforward. It doesn\'t deviate and most
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\\xa0of the advice that work with us tend to have
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\\xa0that same philosophy. The interesting thing about that too is you notice
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\\xa0when markets are fairly volatile which where this is really important
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\\xa0is that you know investors that
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\\xa0kind of adhere to similar investment
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\\xa0strategy like symmetries is that they tend
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\\xa0to have less gap between What markets are doing and what
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\\xa0their Investments are doing because they tend to stay in their seats. They\'re not
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\\xa0moving around behaviorally moving in and out of the market or moving in and
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\\xa0out of Investments. And I think that\'s sometimes can be the
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the offshoot of having a strategy where
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\\xa0you\'re just trying to be everything to everybody.
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I\'m going to unpack use it a lot of really yeah, I get
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\\xa0there. Sorry, but no. No, I just want to make sure our listeners get it to get
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\\xa0some really really good insight there Mike. So first
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\\xa0and foremost you talk about an investment philosophy
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\\xa0and what I\'m hearing you say is that we\'re talking
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\\xa0about advice, right and if someone wants to
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\\xa0give advice you have to have a stake in the ground.
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You have to have that place where your your view on
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\\xa0how Capital markets work?
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And if you don\'t have that view you might fall into that
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\\xa0facilitator capacity.
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The other thing that she said I\'m glad you
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\\xa0said it as you talked a lot about behavior and what I\'m hearing you
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\\xa0say is the study we\'ve used many times the dial
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\\xa0bar study for our listeners. Could you talk a little bit about what that dial bar
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\\xa0research shows us sure is that it shows that the the investor
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\\xa0over, you know?
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Many time periods. I mean they updated every year but it goes
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\\xa0back a number of years and it looks at what investors
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\\xa0do in terms of investing in
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\\xa0the let\'s say the S&P 500 as an index versus what the
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\\xa0index does and we find year in and year out that investors
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\\xa0tend to underperform the
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\\xa0index and the question always is Peter and you know this why
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\\xa0and it\'s because they\'re holding period is
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\\xa0tends to be I think it\'s less it used to be in the old days three
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\\xa0three plus years now. It\'s three minus here. It\'s less
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\\xa0than three years of holding period of time, which means they\'re
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Behaviorally trying to in some
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\\xa0ways time the market and so what we
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\\xa0try to do at least in as I talk
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\\xa0to advisors is to try to educate them and educate clients as
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\\xa0well that you know, we want to close that Gap we
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\\xa0call that the the performance Gap right?
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\\xa0There\'s a gap between what investments do and what the investor
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\\xa0does right? We know this plenty of Dad out
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\\xa0there to show that so how do we do that? Peter had talked about a little
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\\xa0bit earlier is we look at things like, okay, what\'s important? How do
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\\xa0we close that Gap? It comes from financial planning. It comes
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\\xa0from portfolio selection, not necessarily portfolio
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\\xa0management, but portfolio selection in terms
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\\xa0of picking the right model of the right strategy for for clients
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\\xa0education and communication with clients. I
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\\xa0think those are great ways that we see that behavioral Gap
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\\xa0closing through time and that and
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\\xa0ends up being a an experience
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\\xa0that clients will be with their advisors for a long time
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\\xa0because you focus on the things that matter not the investment
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\\xa0itself.
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a great computer
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You\'re the the man in the seat here. So talk
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\\xa0to us a little about that. Right? I mean that dial bar study is
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\\xa0pretty telling every year investors are underperforming.
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You focus on planning. How does planning help with the
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\\xa0long-term thinking that is required for
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\\xa0successful experience. It comes into
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Not only the planning but educating clients and
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\\xa0communication and the example I\'ll use and we were
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\\xa0all.
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working from back home during the the pandemic and
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the markets dropped about a
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\\xa0third
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so about 33% in about a month\'s time thinking
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\\xa0the numbers are 33% over 34 days 1/3.
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And we\'re sitting here stuck at home. We think the world is going
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\\xa0to end and my message to my clients because
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\\xa0it\'s the message of our firm message that I truly believe.
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And it wasn\'t easy.
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No, we\'re not doing anything this too shall
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\\xa0pass.
404
00:20:00.600 --> 00:20:03.600
You know, this is the.com bubble. This
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\\xa0is 911. This is the
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\\xa0great financial crisis of 2008.
407
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It doesn\'t necessarily matter what the event
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\\xa0is because everyone know Peter is a pandemic. It\'s different like you\'re
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\\xa0right, but you\'re not it\'s the uncertainty and what
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\\xa0lo and behold what happens after the
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\\xa0market drops a third.
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In March February and to March it
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\\xa0shoots back up. It comes roaring back why we
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\\xa0had no vaccine. We still were unemployment had
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\\xa0still not hit its peak because of
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\\xa0all the you know, retail and entertainment losses
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\\xa0that that took place in in this country and around the
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\\xa0world. We still have this crazy election in front
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\\xa0of us. There was still uncertainty but why why did it happen and I
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\\xa0don\'t think there\'s necessarily an answer but the lesson learned
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\\xa0is we stay in our seats regardless of what\'s going on because
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\\xa0the markets have they\'ve always come back and I
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\\xa0believe any time we hit something.
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They\'ll come back again. We just don\'t know when so that
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\\xa0experience because I I think
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\\xa0you use the term staking in the stand or stake in the ground. That was my
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\\xa0stake in the ground. And now as we went through all of this in
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\\xa02022 with all of the uncertainty and inflation and
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\\xa0gas prices and all of that impacting
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\\xa0the markets interest rates being increased.
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People said yeah, I remember what you said back during the
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\\xa0pandemic. So yeah, okay that that makes sense. It\'s the
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\\xa0messaging my messages consistent.
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And when people hear that, there\'s a sense of confidence like, you know what he was
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\\xa0right last time. He\'ll probably be right this time, too.
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Fantastic, and I remember that Panda right that
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\\xa0first quarter of 2020 was one of the top 10 worst
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\\xa0quarters in the United States history going back to 1926. The
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\\xa0second quarter of 2020 was one of the top 10
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\\xa0best quarters the United States ever experienced going
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\\xa0back. And and the funny thing is if we had
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\\xa0been if we had moved our money out of we did
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\\xa0not stay calm and we moved money out
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\\xa0of the market in March. What would
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\\xa0we have missed? When do we get back in? It\'s it\'s
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\\xa0difficult. It\'s difficult to sit there
447
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\\xa0when the market is dropping and say my gosh we have to do
448
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\\xa0something but you\'re also playing the same game when you get out. It\'s like
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\\xa0well if you get out, okay well, but then the market will eventually
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\\xa0come back. Well, when do you get back in?
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And and and we just see long-term what the
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\\xa0results are you\'re better off.
453
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Staying going dealing with the rollercoaster ride
454
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\\xa0staying in your seat versus making rash decisions based
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\\xa0upon fear and emotion Peter Michael. Thank you so much
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\\xa0for joining us here today that concludes part one of our discussion
457
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\\xa0on choosing the right financial advisor. I look
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\\xa0forward to continuing the conversation at part two, and if you want to
459
00:22:45.200 --> 00:22:48.800
\\xa0look at any of our previous unfiltered Finance podcasts, they\'re
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00:22:48.800 --> 00:22:51.700
\\xa0available wherever you might be getting your podcast today. So,
461
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\\xa0thank you till next time bye-bye.
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Symmetry Partners LLC is an
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00:22:56.500 --> 00:22:59.500
\\xa0investment advisor firm registered with the Securities and
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00:22:59.500 --> 00:23:02.200
\\xa0Exchange Commission The Firm only transacts business
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00:23:02.200 --> 00:23:06.200
\\xa0in states where it is properly registered or excluded
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00:23:05.200 --> 00:23:10.000
\\xa0or Exempted from registration requirements registration
467
00:23:08.100 --> 00:23:11.700
\\xa0of an investment advisor does
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00:23:11.700 --> 00:23:14.900
\\xa0not imply any specific level of skill or training and
469
00:23:14.900 --> 00:23:17.400
\\xa0does not constitute an endorsement of the firm
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00:23:17.400 --> 00:23:20.500
\\xa0by the commission. No one should assume that future performance
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\\xa0of any specific investment investment strategy
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00:23:23.600 --> 00:23:26.900
\\xa0product or non-investment related content
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\\xa0made reference to directly or indirectly in
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\\xa0this material will be profitable.
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As with any investment strategy there is the possibility of
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\\xa0profitability as well as loss due to
477
00:23:38.600 --> 00:23:41.600
\\xa0various factors including changing market conditions.
478
00:23:41.600 --> 00:23:44.800
\\xa0And/or applicable laws the content
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00:23:44.800 --> 00:23:47.800
\\xa0may not be reflective of current opinions or
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\\xa0positions. Please note the material
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00:23:50.500 --> 00:23:53.800
\\xa0is provided for educational and background use only moreover.
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\\xa0You should not assume that any discussion or information
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\\xa0contained in this material Services the
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00:23:59.700 --> 00:24:03.300
\\xa0receipt of or as a substitute for personalized
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\\xa0investment advice.
Listed in: Business
1
00:00:07.600 --> 00:00:10.900
\\xa0welcome back to part two of our conversation on
2
00:00:10.900 --> 00:00:13.500
\\xa0investing in taxes. Once again, I\'m joined by Glenn
3
00:00:13.500 --> 00:00:16.500
\\xa0Shirley from quantino and Phil McDonald from symmetry.
4
00:00:16.500 --> 00:00:19.100
\\xa0Thanks gentlemen for joining us again, whether or not the market goes up
5
00:00:19.100 --> 00:00:22.800
\\xa0or down when you have the long short overlay you have
6
00:00:22.800 --> 00:00:26.700
\\xa0opportunities to to find losers losses.
7
00:00:26.700 --> 00:00:29.700
\\xa0If you will to reach hard that tax benefit,
8
00:00:29.700 --> 00:00:32.400
\\xa0it\'s some what counterintuitive right we\'re looking
9
00:00:32.400 --> 00:00:35.300
\\xa0for Securities that have gone down in
10
00:00:35.300 --> 00:00:38.100
\\xa0value, but I think the truth of the matter is is that when you
11
00:00:38.100 --> 00:00:41.600
\\xa0own an ETF that\'s tracking an index or mutual
12
00:00:41.600 --> 00:00:44.300
\\xa0fund that\'s tracking index. The reality is Phil
13
00:00:44.300 --> 00:00:47.600
\\xa0you do own those losers. You just might not see them right? They\'re always
14
00:00:47.600 --> 00:00:50.200
\\xa0that\'s right. Yeah looking at and that\'s
15
00:00:50.200 --> 00:00:53.300
\\xa0a great Point looking at say in S&P 500 or
16
00:00:53.300 --> 00:00:57.300
\\xa0Russell 1000 ETF. You you see one number,
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00:00:56.300 --> 00:00:59.300
\\xa0you know one one price
18
00:00:59.300 --> 00:01:01.500
\\xa0one return but behind
19
00:01:02.300 --> 00:01:06.100
You\'re likely going to have dozens and dozens of positions
20
00:01:05.100 --> 00:01:08.200
\\xa0that throughout the year and at year end
21
00:01:08.200 --> 00:01:11.900
\\xa0are in or in a lost position. So in
22
00:01:11.900 --> 00:01:14.400
\\xa0direct indexing, it just kind of breaks down that wrapper and
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00:01:14.400 --> 00:01:17.700
\\xa0you hold, you know hundreds of Securities directly. So
24
00:01:17.700 --> 00:01:20.800
\\xa0you kind of see those a little bit more clearly sure and
25
00:01:20.800 --> 00:01:24.400
\\xa0we\'ve seen that in recent years right with some of these tech stocks
26
00:01:24.400 --> 00:01:27.400
\\xa0the Fang stocks if you will Facebook Apple Amazon Netflix Google
27
00:01:27.700 --> 00:01:30.200
\\xa0Etc. They were driving the returns of the S&P and there
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00:01:30.200 --> 00:01:33.400
\\xa0was a vast majority of those securities within the S&P that
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\\xa0were in the red and by unwrapping it you can
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\\xa0take advantage of those you still run into the issue of
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\\xa0the portfolio seizing and what
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\\xa0I mean by that is what we\'ve been talking about having that portfolio
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00:01:45.400 --> 00:01:48.000
\\xa0get to a point where you don\'t have any room to make
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00:01:48.300 --> 00:01:51.600
\\xa0any trades without incurring some sort of tax consequence, but I
35
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\\xa0think that\'s where the 1330 comes in right Glenn you\'re
36
00:01:54.900 --> 00:01:57.300
\\xa0able to apply that strategy on
37
00:01:57.300 --> 00:02:00.700
\\xa0top of an existing portfolio generate losses in
38
00:02:00.700 --> 00:02:02.200
\\xa0any Market environment. And so
39
00:02:02.200 --> 00:02:05.100
So I think that that\'s a really interesting thing Glenn. Can you talk a little bit?
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\\xa0I didn\'t mean to interrupt you, but could you talk a little bit about what is
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\\xa0what happens with the risk exposure by putting that overlay on
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\\xa0right investor with that 100 dollars 30 long
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\\xa030 short what what happens to the
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\\xa0risk characters of that particular account? Sure. Yeah great
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\\xa0question Tom. So if you look at if you just
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\\xa0put on a 30% long 30% short
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\\xa0portfolio. And you said what is the risk of
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\\xa0that portfolio in isolation by itself? The answer
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\\xa0to that is about one percent and that
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\\xa0could be there be you know, standard deviation how much it\'s
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\\xa0going to move around or it could be if you\'re if you\'re looking at that benchmarked
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\\xa0to a you know, an index like
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\\xa0the S&P 500 that would be one percent tracking here. So pretty
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\\xa0modest, you know, a lot of active Equity strategies have tracking
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\\xa0air easily of two percent or more. So we\'re
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\\xa0not adding a lot of of risk just via that long
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\\xa0short extension, but in reality as I mentioned you have
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\\xa0these kind of Legacy accounts that
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Some elevated levels of risk that long short extension is
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\\xa0a tool to reduce that risk. So even though
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\\xa0you have a 1% risk in
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\\xa0that long short extension in isolation. If you use that
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\\xa0long short extension efficiently to reduce
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\\xa0the total risk of the portfolio, then oftentimes we
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\\xa0can also we can actually reduce kind of the total tracking
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\\xa0error or risk versus The Benchmark of a
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\\xa0tax less harvesting strategy often we can at least
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\\xa0keep it the same. So when you look at a quantino kind
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\\xa0of 130 30 tax loss harvesting account tracking errors
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\\xa0typically one and a half percent on average
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\\xa0and that\'s very very similar to what of
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\\xa0what a clients are probably experiencing in their long only text less
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\\xa0harvesting accounts as well. So just to reiterate what you\'re
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\\xa0saying by applying the the 1330 extension to
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\\xa0a portfolio the clients risk exposures still that
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\\xa0principle investment is what I\'m hearing you say,
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\\xa0however, I think what I think a really really strong
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\\xa0point is that it\'s not necessarily
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the risk by putting the overlay but it actually can be a risk mitigator Phil
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\\xa0you and I have run across these many many times where investors
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\\xa0come to us and we look at their existing Holdings
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\\xa0and we\'re working on a Case right now
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\\xa0where the investor who probably should
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\\xa0have a balanced portfolio between Brawley Diversified
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\\xa0stocks and bonds.
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Is stuck in a single stock position that they
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\\xa0can\'t do anything with because of the
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\\xa0fact that it\'s it\'s got such a low cost basis if
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\\xa0they were to sell that security. They would be looking at some significant.
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Tax consequences, but only a single
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\\xa0stock is a real risky Endeavor. Oh, no question,
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\\xa0and I think
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This is such an incredibly powerful benefit of this
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\\xa0strategy. And I think it it sometimes is you know
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\\xa0mentioned second after the the tax Alpha
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\\xa0and hey, you can keep more of what you earn but this is so
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\\xa0incredibly powerful, you know, thinking of
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Really sad examples through time like Enron, you know things went
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\\xa0very bad for people who held most of their company
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\\xa0stock a lot of incentive plans. These
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\\xa0days will give employees options and shares and
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\\xa0all that. So this is an issue or a lot
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\\xa0of investors and I think this solution really is, you know virtuous and
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\\xa0really helping them in their Financial Health and just to
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\\xa0maybe put a finer point on it and at the
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\\xa0risk of being a little repetitive, you know, if you own a
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\\xa0large amount of your, you know, large amount of your financial wealth
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\\xa0is in an oil stock or a
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\\xa0tech stock.
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Immediately in putting on the 13030 strategy
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\\xa0the the 30 extension the
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\\xa030 more long can hold.
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Every other industry except that one you hold.
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Imagine that diversification and then the short can reduce
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\\xa0that exposure to that one industry. So overnight in
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\\xa0what in in the first, you know
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\\xa0day of transactions you go from hey, I
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\\xa0might end up like Enron or wow. My my
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\\xa0financial wealth is gonna ride up and down with
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\\xa0the price of crude oil or how Google does and
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\\xa0immediately you\'re getting more
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\\xa0of a diversified Market portfolio. Even if
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\\xa0you\'re just shooting toward maybe an S&P 500 Index. It\'s immediately
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\\xa0beneficial Glen. I don\'t know if you\'d add
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\\xa0anything to that but I really find that as you know, powerful benefit
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\\xa0to the end investor. Yeah, the
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\\xa0your correct fell the deals exchange solution that
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\\xa0quantino offers is really a use case
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\\xa0that came about from client feedback. We\'re fortunate to
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\\xa0work with a lot of family offices. These are very wealthy families that
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\\xa0have concentration in their portfolio.
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\\xa0They built wealth via service to a public company or
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\\xa0investing in a company that went public and eventually
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They want to turn the corner from you know,
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\\xa0this this wealth that has been built by that concentration turning
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\\xa0the corner toward wealth preservation and that
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\\xa0means diversification. So how do we do that in a tax efficient manner?
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\\xa0There\'s exchange funds that we you
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\\xa0know that are really an option for very wealthy families, but
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\\xa0really not for clients at scale. They\'re multi-million
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\\xa0dollar minimums their private
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\\xa0Fund Solutions and you know, you\'re vestly
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\\xa0investing in a hedge fund that\'s gonna take seven years to diversify
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\\xa0and they\'re very expensive. So we always knew
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that if we could use our capabilities to help clients diversify
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\\xa0concentrated positions to be a pretty powerful thing and
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\\xa0that 30 by 30 extensions the the way we do that so, you
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\\xa0know, we put that long short extension on
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The extension generates tax benefits along the
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\\xa0way we can use that extension to reduce the risk of
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\\xa0that concentrated position. You\'re totally right there. And then
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\\xa0over time as we generate those consistent tax benefits
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\\xa0that gives us a mechanism to sell
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\\xa0down that concentrated position, but we\'re always matching
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\\xa0the tax benefits that we generate with the
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\\xa0capital gains that we are realizing by selling down that
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\\xa0position.
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And then once we sell we\'re rebalancing into a
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\\xa0diversified index of the advisor and the client\'s Choice
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\\xa0could be S&P 500. It could be Global stocks really whatever
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\\xa0the asset allocation decision ends up
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\\xa0being so yeah a typical even low basis very
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\\xa0low basis position 20% cost basis. We
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\\xa0can help diversify in a tax efficient manner
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\\xa0in around seven years.
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That\'s very cool. It\'s a very clever strategy. I mean
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\\xa0we\'re talking about tax benefits, but what we\'re really talking about is
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\\xa0transitioning a
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Well, I would consider a concentrate risky portfolio very
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\\xa0risky at times into something that
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\\xa0is more suitable for that investor more Diversified but
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\\xa0doing it in a way that they don\'t
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\\xa0have to feel the the pain of unwinding
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\\xa0those positions that might have some very significant embedded
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\\xa0gains. You know it our
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\\xa0industry we get
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picked on I guess for being very jargony right a lot
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\\xa0of jargon and terms that a lot of folks that
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\\xa0are not in this industry on a daily basis and
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\\xa0we throw out the term tax Alpha quite a bit and
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\\xa0I\'ll throw this question out to both the a Phil and Glenn.
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\\xa0Can we just Define what tax Alpha is
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\\xa0and then can you quantify it? Sure. Yeah. Yeah
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\\xa0to us. I think of tax Alpha is
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\\xa0tax savings.
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So, you know if if quantino generates
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\\xa0a dollar of short-term
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\\xa0capital loss.
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Then if you have a short-term gain
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\\xa0a dollar of short-term gains, that saves you
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\\xa040.8 percent. So I\'ve saved the client 40 cents
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\\xa041 cents in tax. If
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\\xa0I\'m using that short-term law stuff set long
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\\xa0term gains that that long-term gains rate essentially 23%
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\\xa0at the federal level. So I\'ve
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\\xa0saved clients, you know, 24 cents
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\\xa0on that dollar of a capital loss.
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So if I can consistently generate Capital losses
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\\xa0if quantino can consistently do that. We\'re letting
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\\xa0clients offset the capital gains
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\\xa0that they have in their portfolio.
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and they\'re just keeping more of the return from those capital gains
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\\xa0year to year and those capital gains from can come from a lot of different,
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\\xa0you know Avenues it could be
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Capital gains distributions from Mutual Funds. It could
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\\xa0be long-term gains realized from rebalancing your portfolio
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\\xa0Etc. So to me tax Alpha
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\\xa0is keeping more of that return in the
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\\xa0client\'s pocket paying less in capital gains and using those
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\\xa0Capital losses as a vehicle to do that great.
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\\xa0That\'s a that\'s a very eloquent definition of
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\\xa0taxol. Do you care to add that? Yeah. I I like that
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\\xa0definition as well. Yeah. One thing I\'d say is
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\\xa0that I think there\'s again pretty broad agreement
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\\xa0that long only tax loss harvesting
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\\xa0does have a benefit to the portfolio
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\\xa0and it might be, you know one to two percent maybe maybe
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\\xa0two percent on you know, really good implementations call
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\\xa0it one percent. But again that has a
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\\xa0horizon that\'s gonna likely track down as your portfolio
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\\xa0ossifies seizes up turns into
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\\xa0our favorite word. No, you know,
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\\xa0nothing with unrealized gains. So, you know,
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\\xa0you\'re talking 1% dish in
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Long only tax less harvesting type of tax Alpha that
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\\xa0that is going to go away in a handful
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\\xa0of years, right? Thank you for that. One of
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\\xa0the the questions and this is gonna go really to
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\\xa0investment vehicle more so than anything else. I\'ve heard
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\\xa0investors say like 2022 for instance.
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Horrible, no good very bad year for investors Equity fixed
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\\xa0income both down investors who hold actively
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\\xa0managed mutual funds.
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having negative return
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But they also got a pretty hefty tax bill
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\\xa0in some scenarios right capital gains distributions in
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\\xa0December. So Phil when investors
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\\xa0are looking at open-ended mutual funds what are
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\\xa0some of the things that they should be considering from a tax efficiency standpoint,
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\\xa0you raise a good point and to some extent
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\\xa0those examples of you know, being down and
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\\xa0having a gains distribution. That\'s an unlucky
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\\xa0combination of a handful of things right like it comes
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\\xa0down to perform some fun what the
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\\xa0Redemption level was how the fun generates cash
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\\xa0to meet those redemptions and whether
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\\xa0or not that\'s kind of gain realizing
248
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\\xa0lost real estate realizing or neutral history of
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\\xa0the mutual funds experience can maybe give you
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\\xa0some insight into that as well as the strategy whether
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\\xa0it\'s going to be, you know tax efficient in
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\\xa0a neutral kind of scenario and whether
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\\xa0it\'s you know, growing or stable
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\\xa0as opposed to, you know, shrinking with a lot of redemptions.
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you mentioned tack sorry investment vehicles so very often
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\\xa0we
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We compare mutual funds and ETFs and there are some important differences
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\\xa0there on the income side, they\'re pretty
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\\xa0even right funds all funds have to distribute income and
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\\xa0they can choose the frequency with which they do that. Some of
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\\xa0the differences really come into play with capital gains
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\\xa0realization. Now mutual funds to me
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\\xa0to Redemption they have to do that with the cash in the fund. They might
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\\xa0have enough cash. They might need to sell to realize that
265
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\\xa0to fund that Redemption and some of
266
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\\xa0the things I mentioned earlier, you know, whether they have enough cash what
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\\xa0their tax Lots look like how their age
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\\xa0how they\'re Diversified how the fund\'s been performing, you know
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\\xa0frequency and magnitude of redemptions all that will
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\\xa0kind of impact whether or not you\'re end. They have realized
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\\xa0game they need to distribute or not with ETFs.
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\\xa0There\'s a little more complexity in how they\'re traded
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\\xa0and some of the some of the capital gains efficiencies.
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\\xa0So you and I can trade an ETF
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\\xa0on an exchange and that doesn\'t involve the fund at all, you know, you
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\\xa0sell share I buy a share from you and
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The fund\'s not involved funds doesn\'t need to find cash pretty
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\\xa0simple. But there are some transactions that do
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\\xa0involve the fund, you know, something called authorized participants help
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\\xa0ETFs trade efficiently
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\\xa0and sometimes they\'ll redeem directly with the fund the
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\\xa0ETF the ETF has a choice
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\\xa0to you know, redeem in kind or give Securities to that
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\\xa0redeeming entity, right and in
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\\xa0doing that there\'s no transaction. There\'s no realization
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\\xa0of of gains and it gets
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\\xa0even more interesting because that the fun can choose
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\\xa0which shares to redeem out and they can often redeem
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\\xa0out the lowest cost basis shares. Thereby, you
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\\xa0know creating a very tax efficient fund vehicle.
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\\xa0The investors still needs to pay tax on their gain
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\\xa0if they sell their shares, right, but the
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\\xa0fund itself can get pretty creative in
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\\xa0in reducing cap games realization. So,
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\\xa0you know, it depends sometimes on the strategy, you know,
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\\xa0fixing strategies might not be as
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Efficient in an ETF as as Equity strategies and some
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\\xa0mutual funds can certainly be very tax efficient. So, you know,
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\\xa0it comes down to you know, I think education getting the
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\\xa0right investment strategy and then, you know also choosing the right vehicle
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\\xa0now, that\'s that\'s really interesting and we\'ve had conversations
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\\xa0on the differences between ETFs and mutual funds on
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\\xa0this podcast. And what\'s really fascinating to me again,
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\\xa0I\'m gonna use the term convenient byproduct the creation of
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\\xa0redemption process of an ETF isn\'t designed
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\\xa0for tax efficiency. It\'s designed to
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\\xa0making sure that the
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\\xa0nav is equal to the underlying basket of
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\\xa0stocks in that process in itself makes ETFs
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\\xa0extremely tax efficient.
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So it\'s not the goal but it is is something
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\\xa0that you get through that process, which is interesting. Okay,
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\\xa0so just kind of recap here for
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\\xa0our investors.
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When considering your tax status with your
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\\xa0portfolios consider what we call an evidence-based
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\\xa0investment philosophy Buy and Hold that
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\\xa0tends to lead to not only a greater likelihood of outperformance
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\\xa0by staying the course, but it
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\\xa0reduces frictions reduces transactions in
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\\xa0the portfolio. Thus leading to a higher level of tax efficiency consider
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\\xa0the vehicles that you\'re using when using
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\\xa0open-ended mutual funds gravitate towards
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\\xa0more passively managed growing mutual
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\\xa0funds ETFs certainly have tax benefits and
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\\xa0for those investors that are deploying a
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\\xa0direct indexing strategy. There\'s certainly more
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\\xa0opportunities through the sheer number of names to identify losses
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\\xa0to perform ongoing tax loss harvesting
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\\xa0and then lastly Glenn against thanks for
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\\xa0joining us adding a long short
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\\xa0extension a 1:30 strategy certainly can
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\\xa0help not only from a diversification standpoint,
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\\xa0but also from
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Alpha generating strategy. So Glenn.
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\\xa0Thank you so much for your time Phil. Thank you for joining us
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\\xa0here for our listeners. Thank you for for listening to
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\\xa0us. You can access this podcast and all of
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\\xa0our podcasts and our series anywhere you get your podcasts and
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\\xa0I look forward to our conversation next time. Thank you
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\\xa0so much gentlemen, thank you. Thanks Cemetery Partners. LLC
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\\xa0is an investment advisor firm registered with
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\\xa0the Securities and Exchange Commission The Firm only
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\\xa0transacts business in states where it is properly
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\\xa0registered or excluded or Exempted from
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\\xa0registration requirements registration of
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\\xa0an investment advisor does not imply any specific level
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\\xa0of skill or training and does not constitute an
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\\xa0endorsement of the firm by the commission. No one
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\\xa0should assume that future performance of any specific investment investment
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\\xa0strategy product or non-investment
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\\xa0related content made reference to
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\\xa0directly or indirectly in this material will be profitable.
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As with any investment strategy there is the
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\\xa0possibility of profitability as well as loss due
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\\xa0to various factors including changing market
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\\xa0conditions and/or applicable laws.
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Content may not be reflective of current opinions
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\\xa0or positions. Please note the material
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\\xa0is provided for educational and background use
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\\xa0only moreover. You should not assume that any discussion or
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\\xa0information contained in this material serves as
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\\xa0the receipt of or as a substitute for
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\\xa0personalized investment advice.
Listed in: Business
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\\xa0Welcome to unfiltered Finance. This is your host Tom Romano.
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\\xa0I want to welcome you all back. We have a very
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\\xa0interesting topic to discuss with you today. It\'s
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\\xa0the notion of investors keeping more money in
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\\xa0their pockets by bringing tax management into
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\\xa0their investment Holdings. Not only are
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\\xa0we going to talk about tax management, but some of the things investors should
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\\xa0be considering in terms of how they view Capital markets how they should be
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\\xa0investing and then we have a couple of special guests
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\\xa0to talk about some additional strategies that investors should
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\\xa0consider in terms of bringing tax
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\\xa0Alpha if you will to the table so joining
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\\xa0us is Phil McDonald who is the
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\\xa0president of the panoramic trust and managing director of
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\\xa0research of symmetry Partners as well as Glenn Shirley
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\\xa0who is a principal and head of investor relations
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\\xa0at quantino Capital Management Glen and
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\\xa0Phil. Thank you so much for joining us here today. Thanks for having me tone. Thanks Tom.
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\\xa0It\'s great.
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00:01:01.900 --> 00:01:04.900
be with you, you know at quantino 100% of
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\\xa0our focus is on taxable investors and
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We\'re managing portfolios while also seeking
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\\xa0to generate really consistent and strong tax benefits
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\\xa0for clients. And that goal is to maximize their
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\\xa0after-tax wealth to help them keep as much return as possible
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\\xa0year to year and we couldn\'t be more thrilled to partner with Symmetry and
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\\xa0the incredible advisors that you serve. So thanks
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\\xa0for having us pleasure to have you both. I look forward
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\\xa0to to the today\'s dialogue. Sometimes taxes aren\'t the
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\\xa0most interesting topic. However, I think that
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\\xa0there\'s some very important information that investors should
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\\xa0be considering in terms of how they invest their assets. And
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\\xa0so thank you both for joining us. There\'s a couple
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\\xa0of different angles. I want to take this conversation, right? And the first
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\\xa0one I think I want to to go towards is
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Specific investment philosophies, right? So Phil we adhere
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\\xa0to what we refer to as an evidence-based investment philosophy allowing
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\\xa0markets to produce the returns that
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\\xa0are investors are entitled to at the end of the day. So talk
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\\xa0to us a little bit from a tax standpoint
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\\xa0the benefits of an evidence-based investment
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\\xa0philosophy versus
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Paying for Alpha or active
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\\xa0money management. Mm-hmm. No, you raise a erase.
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\\xa0Very good point Tom. So our investment philosophy all
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\\xa0often refer to it as multi-factor investing. It
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\\xa0involves specific rules quantitative indicators
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\\xa0that research for
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\\xa0a very long time has indicated, you know
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00:02:32.100 --> 00:02:35.400
\\xa0might create a premium over time. So following, you know,
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\\xa0a value and small and momentum and high quality
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\\xa0High profitability type of strategy you might
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\\xa0expect to do a little bit better than just a cap weighted
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\\xa0index over time what you get with
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\\xa0that again is, you know, rules-based very Diversified. So
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\\xa0for the most part low turnover right there,
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\\xa0there are there are some strategies that have
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\\xa0a little turnover specifically momentum. You probably have a little
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\\xa0bit higher turnover than a market capitalization way to index but
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\\xa0generally speaking, you know, these signals are relatively slow
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\\xa0moving you\'re very diverseified. Each holding is
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\\xa0a small percentage of your portfolio.
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So for the most part, you don\'t have to turn over
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\\xa0the portfolio very often. You don\'t have to trade a lot sell a
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\\xa0lot to reposition into the into the next
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\\xa0Holdings you would want. I mentioned momentum alone has has a
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\\xa0higher turnover as an individual strategy. There are
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\\xa0benefits in putting it together with other factors specifically
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\\xa0momentum and value work very well
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\\xa0together because they\'re negatively correlated and in the same portfolio,
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\\xa0the the turnover momentum can be
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\\xa0somewhat counteracted in reduced by having other factors
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\\xa0in there specifically value. So the
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\\xa0pairing of factors can help with the tax efficiency of
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\\xa0the portfolio, right momentum by definition is a high
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\\xa0turnover strategy. Meaning there\'s a lot of trading right now this
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\\xa0this signal is you know, essentially a year
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\\xa0or so a little less than a year. So you would
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\\xa0expect and that\'s the
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\\xa0standard kind of academic one year price momentum type of
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\\xa0indicator quantitative rule. So you\'d
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\\xa0expect momentum to lead to changes at about
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Near Horizon your portfolio, which is especially inconvenient
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\\xa0to with regard to tax
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\\xa0law because you know, you have the short-term long term type of
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\\xa0cap gain consideration as well. Sure. So I
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\\xa0mean we\'ve had a lot of conversations about on this podcast about
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\\xa0a fishing markets diversification Buy and Hold
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00:04:28.100 --> 00:04:31.600
\\xa0stay the course, but what I\'m hearing you say is that just from a
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\\xa0tax standpoint it almost sounds like it\'s a convenient byproduct of
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\\xa0it hearing to a buy an old strategy. That\'s a
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\\xa0great way to think about it and you you mentioned relative to
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\\xa0other strategies. So I want to respond directly to
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\\xa0that as well. So let\'s just call, you know,
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\\xa0multi-factor Diversified investing as a strategy
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\\xa0and investment philosophy relative to you know,
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00:04:52.400 --> 00:04:55.800
\\xa0kind of old-fashioned active management where a
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\\xa0manager is picking and choosing you were stocks
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00:04:58.500 --> 00:05:02.000
\\xa0maybe reacting to Market events
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00:05:01.100 --> 00:05:04.400
\\xa0making predictions turning the portfolio over,
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00:05:04.400 --> 00:05:07.400
\\xa0you know, if you know, each position is about 10%
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\\xa0you know, just selling one position creates a lot
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\\xa0of turnover.
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Or so typically those actively managed strategies
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\\xa0that are more concentrated and and require more
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\\xa0trading are less tax efficient. Lord know
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\\xa0that absolutely makes sense and Glenn. I know that you share in our
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\\xa0view on how Capital markets work. Do you
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\\xa0care to add anything to fills comments? Well, I think tax laws
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\\xa0harvesting in general is a perfect strategy
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\\xa0to use evidence based investing
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\\xa0and I say that because tax laws are
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\\xa0visiting at its core is you have names in the portfolio that
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\\xa0are essentially winners. They\'ve appreciated we want
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\\xa0to hold those continue to hold those names.
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But you\'re gonna have stocks that have gone down those stocks
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\\xa0in a really simple example you
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\\xa0would sell but at that moment when you sell that
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\\xa0name.
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You have to replace it with another stock.
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So at that moment, that\'s a perfect time to utilize
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\\xa0your evidence-based beliefs. If
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\\xa0you want to tilt the portfolio toward cheaper stocks or
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\\xa0stocks with better attributes of quality or profitability. If you
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\\xa0add that in to the stock
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\\xa0selection of replacing that name via, which
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\\xa0you\'ve realized that tax loss then we believe you
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\\xa0can add some nice return Over The Benchmark over
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\\xa0time.
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00:06:24.100 --> 00:06:28.100
So yeah tax loss harvesting and offering after tax improvements
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\\xa0for clients can type very nicely with
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\\xa0evidence-based investing.
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Yeah, I think that intentional turnover if you will with
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\\xa0tasks lost harvesting does open up the door for some creativity
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\\xa0is what I\'m hearing. You say Glenn in order
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\\xa0of enhancing returns. I mean I\'ve seen in the past people liquidata
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\\xa0position, they might hold cash for 30
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\\xa0days or might replace it with an ETF.
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But Glenn what I\'m hearing you say is that when that happens, there\'s
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\\xa0opportunities to be a little bit more.
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Creative I guess the word when it comes to reinvesting those
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\\xa0assets special specifically
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\\xa0through a factor lens, right? That\'s right. And and
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\\xa0I would also add Tom that\'s one advantage of
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\\xa0the Symmetry platform versus maybe other tax loss
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00:07:10.600 --> 00:07:13.700
\\xa0harvesting options is that you know with with quantino
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\\xa0involved we can add a modest long short extension
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\\xa0to a strategy which gives it some
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\\xa0unique advantages versus long only text less harvesting so
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And long only tax loss harvesting. You\'ll typically have a risk budget.
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\\xa0So to speak, you know, there\'s only so much
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\\xa0deviation versus The Benchmark the clients willing
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\\xa0to take
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but with that risk budget
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If you do tilt toward maybe you\'re
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\\xa0evidence-based beliefs would maybe value momentum
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\\xa0you\'re taking up a little bit of that rich risk budget. So
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\\xa0by taking up that risk budget, you\'re reducing the
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\\xa0expected tax benefit because you\'re a
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\\xa0little bit more constrained and tax less harvesting.
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So one disadvantage of perhaps long only text less
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\\xa0harvesting with the long short extension that long
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\\xa0short extension itself is the engine for tax benefit
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\\xa0generation.
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So you can do a lot of created them things in
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\\xa0the portfolio. You could tilt toward your your factors and
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\\xa0your in your beliefs, but you\'re not giving up any expected
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\\xa0tax benefit.
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If you\'re if you\'re employing that long short extension.
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Yeah, I kind of want to hang on that point Glen because we say
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\\xa0and Phil I think would agree with with you
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\\xa0that you know, there\'s no such thing as
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\\xa0a perfect portfolio, right? Every portfolio is
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As it\'s trade-offs or is
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\\xa0a compromise if you will and if you want tax efficiency
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\\xa0as a main goal Factor investing
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\\xa0might not be the best way to do it. It\'s a
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\\xa0better way of doing it versus just a beta portfolio. But
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\\xa0what I\'m hearing you say Glens you get kind of The Best of Both Worlds
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\\xa0by utilizing things like margin and
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\\xa0short positions. Is that correct? I would
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\\xa0I would agree that I would think the long short extension
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\\xa0itself introduces more creativity in
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\\xa0the portfolio because that
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\\xa0engine of tax benefit generation
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\\xa0is there it doesn\'t depend on the underlying portfolio
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\\xa0for those strong and consistent text benefits. So,
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You have a lot more flexibility to implement the core part
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\\xa0of that portfolio as you see fit. Sure. No, I think that makes
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\\xa0a lot of sense. There\'s a lot of strategies that we\'re deploying now the 13030
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\\xa0which you\'re alluding to Glenn I think is very interesting but filament
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\\xa0in our experience, we\'ve seen our new
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\\xa0favorite word ossification, right which essentially means
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\\xa0that when you own a a basket of
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\\xa0security is whether it\'s ETS mutual funds are stocks at some
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\\xa0point you get to an area
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\\xa0over time where you can\'t do anything
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\\xa0with that portfolio because of embedded gains, right
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\\xa0and we\'ve seen that over the years with our portfolios.
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\\xa0Can you comment a little bit on that? Yeah, absolutely and
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The the irony in that
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\\xa0situation is you should want to get there right because
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\\xa0you want your portfolio to increase in value. So
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\\xa0the way you you get to the point of having
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\\xa0no unrealized losses in your portfolio to
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\\xa0clip and realize for for tax efficient
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\\xa0repositioning is your portfolio goes up
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\\xa0over time and there\'s some interesting research on this. I think there\'s broad
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\\xa0agreement that even in a
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\\xa0diversified long only portfolio. You probably
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\\xa0only have a single digit number of years, you know, some of
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\\xa0it\'s going to depend on your assumptions and where the market goes and and how
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\\xa0you\'ve invested and how your tax Lots look but, you know,
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\\xa0three four five years. Maybe might be the limit
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\\xa0you have to do.
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Efficient tax less harvesting and that type of portfolio before you
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\\xa0have to start to really give on the
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\\xa0risk budget and and we refer to this idea
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\\xa0of tracking error, which is you know, how different returns essentially
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\\xa0will look relative to a benchmark and you start
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\\xa0to to need to accept a lot of a lot of tracking error. If
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\\xa0you\'re not willing to accept some realization of gains in
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\\xa0in managing that portfolio. So all of a sudden, you know
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\\xa0portfolio you you might be paying somebody to manage and
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\\xa0do tax laws harvesting on becomes something
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\\xa0that might look a little bit more like an expensive
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\\xa0and noisy index. You don\'t have the ability to
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\\xa0do many transactions in that so, you know, the 1330 that
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\\xa0you and Glenn have started to talk about really frees up
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\\xa0the opportunity to do something with that portfolio sure
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\\xa0and you know, we talked a lot about direct indexing you
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\\xa0and I did a podcast of a few episodes ago
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\\xa0about direct indexing.
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And the more names the more tickers the
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\\xa0more opportunity you have to harvest losses, but even
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\\xa0with direct indexing when you hold maybe a hundred or so
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\\xa0underlying stocks you do get it
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\\xa0to a period where you you\'re eventually going to hold a basket
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\\xa0of very low cost basis with
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\\xa0high embedded gains securities.
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And so and the irony is that\'s the goal.
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\\xa0You had alluded to like we want to see games in our
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\\xa0portfolio. However, you know, we want our investors to be
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\\xa0able to keep more in their pockets through through tax efficiency. So clunky.
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\\xa0We started going down the path of the
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\\xa01330 strategy, right and in direct indexing
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\\xa0certainly is a step up from a tax efficiency standpoint.
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\\xa0It certainly helps describe for us a little bit about
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\\xa0how that 130 30 works and multiple Market
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\\xa0environments if you will sure that you
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\\xa0Tom so, you know at the end of the day if you
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\\xa0have a hundred dollars of a direct indexing portfolio
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maybe assume that direct indexing portfolio maybe
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\\xa0has a 50% cost basis or a 60% cost basis
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\\xa0that tends to be roughly the cost basis where
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You\'re kind of handcuffed from a tax benefit generation perspective.
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\\xa0You know what quantina would do would be take
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\\xa0that $100 portfolio use the the margin inherent
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\\xa0in that account just like clients who
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You know borrow us modest amount from their Equity port for
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\\xa0those from time to time use that same margin capability and then
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\\xa0we\'re going to go long thirty dollars in short
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\\xa0thirty dollars. So we\'re building a 130/30 strategy
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\\xa0using the margin borrowing of
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\\xa0that account. No other cash is required. That\'s an important part and
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\\xa0then if you think about that $30 long $30
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\\xa0short, that\'s gonna be Diversified across hundreds of stocks.
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\\xa0Every tax loss harvesting strategy needs breath. You
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\\xa0need just a lot of stocks to be invested in because you\'re gonna have winners
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\\xa0and losers and then you think about that portfolios the
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\\xa0market goes up as the market goes down. You have
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\\xa0a little bit of a structural Advantage versus long only long only
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\\xa0will tend to generate great tax benefits When the market dips
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But it struggles to generate tax benefits When the market Rises and
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\\xa0you know clients invest in equities because they believe
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\\xa0the Market\'s going to rise over time. So that short side of that portfolio is
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\\xa0really important in the consistency of
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\\xa0tax benefits over time. So if you have a
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\\xa0long short portfolio on top of
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\\xa0your direct indexing account, you\'re able to recharge
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\\xa0tax benefits, you know almost immediately after
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\\xa0you apply that long short extension. We can also use
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\\xa0that to clean up the portfolios as
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\\xa0Phil mentioned over time. You\'re tracking air may rise, you\'re making
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\\xa0some deviations versus The Benchmark. So the
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\\xa0risk in that portfolio is also Rising.
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So if you have an overexposure to say Information Technology,
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\\xa0those names have done really well over the past
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\\xa0five to 10 years. We can use the short book the short
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\\xa0$30 of that portfolio to reduce
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\\xa0some of that overweight which will help clients reduce
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\\xa0risk in those accounts as well. So it\'s a combination of
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You know using that long short extension obviously to
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\\xa0generate great text benefits and a consistent way for clients, but also
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\\xa0to give them a better and less risky Investment Portfolio along
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\\xa0the way. Thank you gentlemen, that that\'s very
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\\xa0insightful for our listeners. Thank you for for listening to
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\\xa0us. You can access this podcast and all of
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\\xa0our podcasts and our series anywhere you get your podcasts, we\'re
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\\xa0gonna continue this conversation. So for our listeners, be sure
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\\xa0to tune in for part two on our topic of investing
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\\xa0in taxes Cemetery Partners. LLC is
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\\xa0an investment advisor firm registered with the Securities
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\\xa0and Exchange Commission, The Firm only transacts business
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\\xa0in states where it is properly registered or
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\\xa0excluded or Exempted from registration requirements
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\\xa0registration of an investment
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\\xa0advisor does not imply any specific level of skill or
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\\xa0training and does not constitute and endorsement
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\\xa0of the firm by the commission. No one should assume that
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\\xa0future performance of any specific investment investment strategy
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\\xa0product or non-in.
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Related content made reference to directly or indirectly
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\\xa0in this material will be profitable.
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As with any investment strategy there is
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\\xa0the possibility of profitability as well as loss due
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\\xa0to various factors including changing market
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\\xa0conditions. And/or applicable laws the
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\\xa0content may not be reflective of current opinions
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\\xa0or positions. Please note the
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\\xa0material is provided for educational and background use
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\\xa0only moreover. You should not assume that any discussion or
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\\xa0information contained in this material Services the
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\\xa0receipt of or as a substitute for
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\\xa0personalized investment advice.
Listed in: Business
1
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\\xa0listeners. This is your host Tom romano, and thank you
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\\xa0for joining us for part two of our 2022 year
3
00:00:13.300 --> 00:00:16.900
\\xa0in perspective. Once again, we\'re joined by Casey Dillon
4
00:00:16.900 --> 00:00:19.700
\\xa0to give us some insights on the markets and
5
00:00:19.700 --> 00:00:22.300
\\xa0how they affected investors throughout the course
6
00:00:22.300 --> 00:00:25.600
\\xa0of the previous year. Thanks for joining us again. Casey talked us
7
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\\xa0a little bit. How did the markets react right? I mean we saw both
8
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\\xa0equities and fixed income have negative
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00:00:31.200 --> 00:00:34.900
\\xa0performance for the year. And what
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\\xa0are we seeing from rates of
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\\xa0return from the US as well as abroad?
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00:00:40.800 --> 00:00:44.200
Yeah, well the the sharp increase
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\\xa0in rates reverberated across
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\\xa0markets everything from stocks to
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\\xa0bonds to real estate to commodities.
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And in what we observed was
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\\xa0sort of some interesting things
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\\xa0again threads that
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00:01:01.300 --> 00:01:05.300
We\'d seen coming into 2022 for instance. The
20
00:01:04.300 --> 00:01:08.400
\\xa0the growth of tech stocks
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\\xa0becoming a huge portion of
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\\xa0the sort of the the US market,
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\\xa0right? So if you you think about the Fang stocks Facebook
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\\xa0Apple Amazon Netflix, Google
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They accounted for almost 25% of
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\\xa0the market cap of the US.
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Coming into 2022 and they were
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\\xa0the sort of those growth oriented tech stocks were the drivers
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\\xa0of the tremendous returns
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\\xa0that the market had given kind of the past five years.
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Or even ten and and to the
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\\xa0point that there were a lot of folks who looked at that and said,
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\\xa0hey, look are we out over our skis here this feels
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\\xa0very much. Like we\'re entering into kind
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\\xa0of frothy Tech bubble territory
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\\xa0and there were sort of the Hallmark things
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\\xa0trappings of
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\\xa0that that were that felt very familiar to
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\\xa0those of us who lived through the first tech bubble. So you saw things
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\\xa0like the mean stocks right with games stop
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\\xa0and Best Buy and sort of, you know day trading.
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To to the overuse of Leverage on these
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\\xa0and a lot of that was kind of being driven by
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\\xa0this idea that you know coming out of the pandemic these
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\\xa0growth stocks. This was the story. These were the story
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\\xa0stocks that people were gravitating to so so what happens people
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\\xa0buy them up they to the point where the valuation
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\\xa0no longer makes sense. If you
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\\xa0take a step back and say well what am I buying right at
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\\xa0the end of the day?
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Investing is about purchasing future cash flows. And
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\\xa0so you arrive at a price today based on
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\\xa0some assessment of what you think those future cash flows
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\\xa0are and what you\'re willing to pay for those.
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If you get to a point where you\'re paying so much today for
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\\xa0you know, this idea of
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\\xa0heightened future cash flows at some
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\\xa0point you enter into a world where?
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To to even substantiate the price you\'re willing
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\\xa0to pay today. You have to have Perfection on those future casuals
61
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\\xa0going forward and the world doesn\'t work that way right? You
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\\xa0have a situation where Russia invades Ukraine, you have
63
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\\xa0a situation where you have, you know pandemics and Avian flues
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\\xa0and things like that. So the world is just in that
65
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\\xa0need a place where you can predict Perfection
66
00:03:22.200 --> 00:03:26.000
\\xa0for cash flows for things like yeah, Facebook
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\\xa0Apple Amazon, and in fact what we see
68
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The the case for Perfection fell off the cliff in 2022
69
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\\xa0because the the earnings for
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\\xa0those companies started to turn around and go the other way and that
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\\xa0caused Market participants to rethink the
72
00:03:41.700 --> 00:03:44.800
\\xa0valuations that they were giving them and what
73
00:03:44.800 --> 00:03:47.600
\\xa0we observed was the Fang stocks lost
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\\xa0collectively over three trillion dollars in market
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00:03:50.500 --> 00:03:53.300
\\xa0cap over the course of the year. So that that
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\\xa0was a homos 25% of the total market cap lost in
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\\xa0the US was attributable to those handful of stocks
78
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\\xa0right those those Fang stocks that you allude to. I mean
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\\xa0at some point they were you know, collectively very
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\\xa0large percentage of common us benchmarks
81
00:04:08.800 --> 00:04:11.300
\\xa0like like the S&P 500, right they\'ve been
82
00:04:11.300 --> 00:04:14.200
\\xa0inflated and so when there is that correction, you\'re gonna
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\\xa0feel it across the the industry across the all
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\\xa0the markets rather. So I think that makes a lot of
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\\xa0sense a lot of our investors are evidence-based investors,
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\\xa0you know, Casey you and I share the same investment philosophy
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\\xa0of buying hold.
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Long-term taking a factor approach to investment management.
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What how did factor-based investors or
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\\xa0evidence-based investors fair in 2022?
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\\xa0Yeah, so if you think about what what
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\\xa0are you doing? If you\'re a factor investor? Well yours, you\'re
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\\xa0lazing in on specific characteristics of
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\\xa0risk to invest in and those
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\\xa0character those risk factors those characteristics of
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\\xa0risk that that you have
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00:04:58.200 --> 00:05:02.300
\\xa0been identified by way of academic research to have a
98
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\\xa0premium or return
99
00:05:04.800 --> 00:05:07.600
\\xa0associated with that that characteristics of risk.
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00:05:07.600 --> 00:05:10.800
\\xa0So you\'re trying to figure it
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\\xa0out and say okay, you know, the the tech stocks
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\\xa0is great example, the thing stocks if things become exceedingly
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\\xa0expensive. Well, what does that
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00:05:19.300 --> 00:05:22.300
\\xa0do? Then to the cheaper stocks the stocks that aren\'t the
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\\xa0thing stocks, right? How are they priced relative
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\\xa0to these these growthier stocks?
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What historically we\'ve observed is that
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\\xa0there is a premium associated with valuation. Meaning
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\\xa0the cheaper stocks tend to outperform the
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\\xa0more expensive stocks over time.
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00:05:41.300 --> 00:05:44.200
And so you enter into a world where the Fang stocks are
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\\xa0ripping the cover off the ball and they\'re kind of the expensive growth stocks and
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\\xa0by comparison, the the cheaper value
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00:05:50.300 --> 00:05:54.100
\\xa0stocks just aren\'t keeping up with that on the upswing and
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\\xa0you got to a point where the
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\\xa0market was collectively the one of
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\\xa0the most expensive markets in history. Meaning that
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\\xa0the
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thighs and weight of those Bank stocks across
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\\xa0the market
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and how expensive they become
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lifted the whole market up
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But the spread between the growth stocks and
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\\xa0the value stocks became as wide as we\'ve
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\\xa0seen really since the tech bubble right going back to
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\\xa0that that the the value stocks were
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\\xa0just so unloved and so beaten down my price relative to
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\\xa0the tech stocks. So if you\'re
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\\xa0a value investor rolling into a year like
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\\xa02022 when the the Fang
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\\xa0stock bubble sort of starts to become deflated and
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\\xa0those prices start to to come
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\\xa0back to the mean if
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\\xa0you will.
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One consequent of that is is that on a relative
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\\xa0basis those cheaper value stocks start to perform better. Even
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\\xa0if the market is going down as a whole the value
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\\xa0stocks tend to hold up better because it\'s the
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\\xa0top end of the market the expensive end. That\'s moving more.
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00:07:03.700 --> 00:07:06.500
And so we we saw that and in 2022 value
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\\xa0stocks actually did quite well, they did exceedingly well
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\\xa0relative to grow stocks large
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\\xa0cap value outperform large cap growth handily
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\\xa0for 2022. And
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00:07:18.600 --> 00:07:21.100
\\xa0so if you\'re a value a factor investor with
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\\xa0a tilt towards value that was really helping your portfolio in
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\\xa02022. We also saw factors like
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\\xa0low volatility or
149
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\\xa0associated with lower volatility stocks
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\\xa0doing well across the
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\\xa0board minimum volatility globally and
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\\xa0also here in the United States. So those stocks that tend
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\\xa0to be less volatile than the market in general.
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There\'s a return premium associated with that and of course
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00:07:48.300 --> 00:07:52.000
\\xa0in a year that highly volatile like 2022 those less
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\\xa0volatile stocks had a premium associated with
157
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\\xa0them relative to everything else. And if you\'re a factor investor who
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\\xa0has a tilt towards minimum volatility you you reap the
159
00:08:00.300 --> 00:08:03.200
\\xa0reward on that but it is as we sort of
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\\xa0break out of kind of globally or looking at the US things like
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\\xa0small cap stocks and Emerging Markets continue to do quite well.
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\\xa0So if you had a tilt towards size in your
163
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\\xa0Factor tilt that that paid off
164
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\\xa0for you on a more broadly Diversified basis.
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And so you you started to see that these these
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\\xa0Factor tilts in at
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\\xa0a time when normally you would think a look
168
00:08:28.100 --> 00:08:31.700
\\xa0if it\'s a risk off environment. Well Factor, it is
169
00:08:31.700 --> 00:08:34.700
\\xa0a risk anyway, right? So you might
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\\xa0expect for the factor exposures to
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\\xa0be down it and to a degree you\'re
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\\xa0right, but they\'re also relative to the other things that
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\\xa0they\'re trading against and in that case they held up
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\\xa0much better than the market in general.
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And so a broadly based a broad
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\\xa0Diversified broadly Diversified Factor portfolio
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\\xa0tended to do better on both a relative
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\\xa0and absolute basis than the market in general
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00:09:00.300 --> 00:09:03.300
\\xa0did and certainly more so than the Contra points
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00:09:03.300 --> 00:09:06.800
\\xa0of that things like growth or more volatile stocks or you
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\\xa0know, large cabs. So so being a factor investor
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\\xa0really was beneficial in
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\\xa0many regards in 2022.
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Yeah, we\'ve seen that in the performance of a number of
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\\xa0portfolios that that you and I have talked about over the
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\\xa0years that you know, a diversified portfolio factors in
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\\xa02022 albeit was
188
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\\xa0still in the red at the end of the year, but not nearly as as bad
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00:09:30.600 --> 00:09:34.100
\\xa0as some of those market like portfolios
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\\xa0or benchmarks that we\'ve seen. I do
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\\xa0want to hang on the value conversation a little bit. Right?
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\\xa0We you know value as a factor you and
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\\xa0I share the the belief that investors should have exposure
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\\xa0to value in their portfolios. And I know
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\\xa0over the years Casey you and I have had shared a cocktail
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\\xa0discussing. What was the underperformance of
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\\xa0value for a number of years. We saw the rise
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\\xa0of the things which we discussed earlier and for
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\\xa0Value investors. I think that they were
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00:10:03.200 --> 00:10:06.700
\\xa0someone Vindicated in 2020 to but for
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00:10:06.700 --> 00:10:09.900
\\xa0those are out there listening, you know with this outperformance
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\\xa0of value. Is there still room for Value to
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\\xa0continue to outperform in 2023?
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00:10:15.200 --> 00:10:19.200
You know, I love the quote history rare
205
00:10:18.200 --> 00:10:21.700
\\xa0rarely repeats itself, but it often Rhymes because
206
00:10:21.700 --> 00:10:25.000
\\xa0I think that that\'s incredibly true
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00:10:24.600 --> 00:10:27.600
\\xa0across markets in particular and I
208
00:10:27.600 --> 00:10:30.400
\\xa0heard an a quote that I think shed some light on that and it\'s
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00:10:30.400 --> 00:10:33.200
\\xa0not that history repeats itself. It\'s that people
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00:10:33.200 --> 00:10:36.600
\\xa0repeat themself, right? And so if you think about markets are
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\\xa0made up of people making purchasing and
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00:10:39.300 --> 00:10:43.000
\\xa0selling decisions across the board it it\'s it
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\\xa0should be no surprise that in a similar
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\\xa0type of dynamic or environment.
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People might Chase things like large cab growth
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00:10:51.300 --> 00:10:54.300
\\xa0tech stocks, right? And so if you look back to
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\\xa0a time that was very similar to that during the tech bubble where
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\\xa0you saw again Tech socks become very expensive and
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\\xa0value stocks kind of be left to languish
220
00:11:03.300 --> 00:11:06.300
\\xa0on the sidelines for
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\\xa0some time when the tech Bubble Burst, right all of
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\\xa0those growthy tech stocks valuation plummeted
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\\xa0and value stocks had a tremendous run for several
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\\xa0years.
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Well, where are we now?
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The we see these these Fang stocks the the air going
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\\xa0out of them value having a nice run.
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So you might think is the run over. Well, if you
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\\xa0look at the sort of globally the value spreads.
230
00:11:31.300 --> 00:11:35.400
So again cheap versus expensive we are still in
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\\xa0the 90 plus percentile
232
00:11:37.800 --> 00:11:41.000
\\xa0meaning it still one of the most expensive markets,
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\\xa0right? So if we look at the, you
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\\xa0know, nine out of 10 markets have been cheaper than
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\\xa0the market that we\'re in currently even after 2022\'s price
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\\xa0decline. So that tells you that value
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\\xa0stocks, even though they had a tremendous year
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\\xa0in 2022. The potential is there
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00:11:59.300 --> 00:12:02.700
\\xa0for them to continue to experience this
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\\xa0reversion to the mean of these expensive stocks
241
00:12:05.600 --> 00:12:08.600
\\xa0coming back down and value could have
242
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\\xa0a run akin to what we observed post
243
00:12:11.500 --> 00:12:14.700
\\xa0the tech bubble in the early 2000 when value
244
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\\xa0was really dominant for a
245
00:12:17.900 --> 00:12:20.700
\\xa0good three years in the marketplace. Now,
246
00:12:20.700 --> 00:12:23.800
\\xa0I\'m not suggesting that that it will exactly repeat itself.
247
00:12:23.800 --> 00:12:26.100
\\xa0But you see the dynamic there in the case
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00:12:26.100 --> 00:12:29.400
\\xa0to be made for hey, it looks like there\'s still some fuel for
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00:12:29.400 --> 00:12:29.900
\\xa0this fire.
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00:12:31.300 --> 00:12:34.200
And it would not be surprising to continue to
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\\xa0see value run relative to the the
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\\xa0more expensive stocks.
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00:12:39.800 --> 00:12:42.300
Certainly, and you know, I think it\'s
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\\xa0important for our listeners to know we\'re by no means suggesting people
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\\xa0should speculate between growth and value. We think that you
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\\xa0know factors specifically value are our
257
00:12:51.100 --> 00:12:55.700
\\xa0long-term Endeavors and investors who maintain that
258
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\\xa0exposure tend to do better over time
259
00:12:58.500 --> 00:13:02.000
\\xa0is what I\'m hearing you say and I
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00:13:01.300 --> 00:13:04.200
\\xa0and I lived through the tech bubble as you did
261
00:13:04.200 --> 00:13:08.200
\\xa0and you know, those those years after where value did outperform
262
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\\xa0they were still poor years, right 2000
263
00:13:10.400 --> 00:13:13.300
\\xa02001 weren\'t positive years in
264
00:13:13.300 --> 00:13:16.500
\\xa0the market. And do you have any comments on you
265
00:13:16.500 --> 00:13:19.200
\\xa0know value kind of shining during those downturns when
266
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\\xa0we say values out performing. It doesn\'t necessarily I mean values positive, right?
267
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\\xa0I think this is this the the Crux
268
00:13:25.700 --> 00:13:29.100
\\xa0of why it\'s difficult to be a value investor because
269
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\\xa0I mean sexually value investing
270
00:13:31.300 --> 00:13:34.400
\\xa0is not hard to get your head around by cheap stuff
271
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\\xa0and hold it right like that\'s not hard from sort
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\\xa0of a conceptual.
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00:13:39.800 --> 00:13:42.500
Went to get the hard part is actually doing it
274
00:13:42.500 --> 00:13:45.600
\\xa0and being able to be patient through those
275
00:13:45.600 --> 00:13:48.100
\\xa0periods when it doesn\'t look like
276
00:13:48.100 --> 00:13:51.300
\\xa0it\'s working because those are those come right you
277
00:13:51.300 --> 00:13:54.300
\\xa0you have those periods where the the tech bubble
278
00:13:54.300 --> 00:13:57.100
\\xa0occurs where the Fang stocks are ripping the cover off the
279
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\\xa0ball for five years in a row and your value stocks are languishing.
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00:14:01.400 --> 00:14:04.700
Most investors the vast majority of investors cannot
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\\xa0sit still through that.
282
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that\'s why value investing well easy to to
283
00:14:09.600 --> 00:14:12.400
\\xa0sort of implement is hard
284
00:14:12.400 --> 00:14:15.700
\\xa0to maintain and yet right what
285
00:14:15.700 --> 00:14:18.600
\\xa0why do why do folks like you and I gravitate to
286
00:14:18.600 --> 00:14:21.500
\\xa0Value as an important element of
287
00:14:21.500 --> 00:14:24.800
\\xa0kind of a broad-based factor portfolio because
288
00:14:24.800 --> 00:14:27.600
\\xa0the data going back over time
289
00:14:27.600 --> 00:14:30.300
\\xa0suggests that if you can be patient
290
00:14:30.300 --> 00:14:33.500
\\xa0through those periods when values not working the
291
00:14:33.500 --> 00:14:36.400
\\xa0payoff for you when it comes in times
292
00:14:36.400 --> 00:14:39.200
\\xa0like after the tech bubble when it comes when it
293
00:14:39.200 --> 00:14:42.300
\\xa0comes in times like 2022 the payoff for
294
00:14:42.300 --> 00:14:44.500
\\xa0you for being patient through that period
295
00:14:45.400 --> 00:14:49.300
And maintaining that that value exposure is
296
00:14:48.300 --> 00:14:51.600
\\xa0significant enough such that
297
00:14:51.600 --> 00:14:54.700
\\xa0over the total holding period you you
298
00:14:54.700 --> 00:14:57.100
\\xa0end up ahead of where you might otherwise have been
299
00:14:57.100 --> 00:15:00.800
\\xa0had you just had kind of Market level performance right?
300
00:15:00.800 --> 00:15:02.100
\\xa0Just just broad beta.
301
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And so at the end of the day, you know, the question is, how
302
00:15:05.400 --> 00:15:08.200
\\xa0do I out? How do I outperform the market? Well, one way to
303
00:15:08.200 --> 00:15:11.300
\\xa0help perform. The market over time is to tilt towards
304
00:15:11.300 --> 00:15:15.000
\\xa0these characteristics of risk, which have shown over
305
00:15:14.300 --> 00:15:18.000
\\xa0time to outperform the market and values
306
00:15:17.100 --> 00:15:20.000
\\xa0one of those now what I
307
00:15:20.200 --> 00:15:23.600
\\xa0would say Tom is that it\'s incredibly difficult to just
308
00:15:23.600 --> 00:15:25.500
\\xa0be a value investor and that\'s all you do.
309
00:15:26.100 --> 00:15:29.300
Which is why it\'s so beneficial to have a
310
00:15:29.300 --> 00:15:33.100
\\xa0blend of factor exposures to have other things
311
00:15:32.100 --> 00:15:35.400
\\xa0working when things like value for instance
312
00:15:35.400 --> 00:15:38.900
\\xa0aren\'t so a good example of that is momentum, right? So
313
00:15:38.900 --> 00:15:41.300
\\xa0it momentum and value are really nice
314
00:15:41.300 --> 00:15:44.600
\\xa0pairing to put together in a portfolio because they\'re
315
00:15:44.600 --> 00:15:48.200
\\xa0negatively correlated meaning when when values down
316
00:15:47.200 --> 00:15:50.400
\\xa0momentum tends to be up and vice versa.
317
00:15:50.400 --> 00:15:53.400
\\xa0So if the value investor if it\'s incredibly difficult
318
00:15:53.400 --> 00:15:57.300
\\xa0to sit through those periods when value is not doing well with momentum
319
00:15:56.300 --> 00:15:59.200
\\xa0exposures you end up
320
00:15:59.200 --> 00:16:01.100
\\xa0having things in your portfolio.
321
00:16:02.200 --> 00:16:05.400
Which are picking up what\'s working and so in the case of the past five
322
00:16:05.400 --> 00:16:07.700
\\xa0years a broad-based?
323
00:16:08.400 --> 00:16:12.100
Factor multi-factor portfolio would have value stocks
324
00:16:11.100 --> 00:16:15.100
\\xa0in it, but it would also have some exposure
325
00:16:14.100 --> 00:16:17.200
\\xa0to the fangs because those are
326
00:16:17.200 --> 00:16:20.400
\\xa0representing kind of the momentum in the market until you have exposure to
327
00:16:20.400 --> 00:16:23.700
\\xa0that and and that becomes an easier portfolio for
328
00:16:23.700 --> 00:16:27.300
\\xa0most people to consume and sit through and the
329
00:16:27.300 --> 00:16:30.100
\\xa0real magic here is the longer you
330
00:16:30.100 --> 00:16:33.900
\\xa0can hold on to any of these Factor exposures. The more
331
00:16:33.900 --> 00:16:36.700
\\xa0you have an expectation that you\'re going to have performance that\'s
332
00:16:36.700 --> 00:16:37.200
\\xa0above Market.
333
00:16:37.900 --> 00:16:40.300
And and the real challenge for everybody is
334
00:16:40.300 --> 00:16:43.500
\\xa0to sit still long enough to reap
335
00:16:43.500 --> 00:16:46.200
\\xa0the reward of putting that Capital to risk. So you just trying to
336
00:16:46.200 --> 00:16:49.700
\\xa0build a portfolio that people can actually stay in
337
00:16:49.700 --> 00:16:53.000
\\xa0through these Market turmoil these ups
338
00:16:52.300 --> 00:16:56.000
\\xa0and downs because if they can sit still there, you
339
00:16:55.400 --> 00:16:58.700
\\xa0know it a bears make
340
00:16:58.700 --> 00:17:01.100
\\xa0money Bulls make money pigs get slaughtered. Right? What does that mean?
341
00:17:01.100 --> 00:17:04.400
\\xa0Look regardless of what your philosophy is, if you
342
00:17:04.400 --> 00:17:07.200
\\xa0maintain that philosophy eventually the market
343
00:17:07.200 --> 00:17:10.400
\\xa0will come around and rotate to you and pay you off for it. If you
344
00:17:10.400 --> 00:17:13.000
\\xa0keep jumping from philosophy to philosophy trying to
345
00:17:13.400 --> 00:17:16.200
\\xa0chase whatever is in front of you and get those returns. That\'s when
346
00:17:16.200 --> 00:17:19.000
\\xa0you get slaughtered. That\'s when the cost of
347
00:17:20.300 --> 00:17:23.700
Trading in and out eats up your returns that
348
00:17:23.700 --> 00:17:26.200
\\xa0that\'s when you\'re catching a falling knife. That\'s when
349
00:17:26.200 --> 00:17:29.200
\\xa0all of these things that you hear why you might want to
350
00:17:29.200 --> 00:17:32.300
\\xa0not want to be a growth investor or a value investor or
351
00:17:32.300 --> 00:17:35.100
\\xa0right? All of those things can be true. If you\'re
352
00:17:35.100 --> 00:17:38.800
\\xa0trying to find those things because the timing is is has
353
00:17:38.800 --> 00:17:41.900
\\xa0been proven to be elusive if not impossible. So
354
00:17:41.900 --> 00:17:44.000
\\xa0picking a philosophy and sticking with
355
00:17:44.200 --> 00:17:48.100
\\xa0it as shown consistently over time to to be the way to go and we
356
00:17:47.100 --> 00:17:51.700
\\xa0happen to believe in the philosophy of what\'s been
357
00:17:51.700 --> 00:17:54.100
\\xa0shown from the academic research to be these
358
00:17:54.100 --> 00:17:57.200
\\xa0characteristics of risk that pay off over time certainly and so
359
00:17:57.200 --> 00:18:01.300
\\xa0in a nutshell, it\'s time in the market versus
360
00:18:00.300 --> 00:18:03.600
\\xa0timing. The market is the best course of
361
00:18:03.600 --> 00:18:06.600
\\xa0action. I want to hit upon something
362
00:18:06.600 --> 00:18:09.900
\\xa0that you\'re alluding to and that platitude or
363
00:18:09.900 --> 00:18:12.700
\\xa0it sounds like a platitude to most investors, especially
364
00:18:12.700 --> 00:18:15.400
\\xa0when the markets down right telling them. I\'m
365
00:18:15.400 --> 00:18:18.300
\\xa0in the market not timing the market that doesn\'t mean much to somebody
366
00:18:18.300 --> 00:18:19.700
\\xa0who\'s like am I gonna be able to retire?
367
00:18:20.200 --> 00:18:23.500
Right, but you have to understand where that platitude
368
00:18:23.500 --> 00:18:26.200
\\xa0comes from right where where that rule of thumb comes
369
00:18:26.200 --> 00:18:30.600
\\xa0from any and it is informed by
370
00:18:30.600 --> 00:18:34.400
\\xa0decades upon Decades of observations
371
00:18:33.400 --> 00:18:36.400
\\xa0of how markets behave
372
00:18:36.400 --> 00:18:39.600
\\xa0and where returns to markets come from. Yeah. That\'s an excellent
373
00:18:39.600 --> 00:18:42.100
\\xa0point. You were alluding to
374
00:18:42.100 --> 00:18:45.000
\\xa0diversification Factor diversification but diversification as a whole
375
00:18:45.300 --> 00:18:48.300
\\xa0and there\'s one thing I\'d like you to comment on, you
376
00:18:48.300 --> 00:18:51.300
\\xa0know, I\'ve been hearing in Reading in popular press and
377
00:18:51.300 --> 00:18:54.100
\\xa0in the various industry trade Rags that you know
378
00:18:54.100 --> 00:18:57.700
\\xa0diversification didn\'t work in in 2022. My
379
00:18:57.700 --> 00:19:00.200
\\xa0thought on that is that I think it\'s a misunderstanding of
380
00:19:00.200 --> 00:19:03.100
\\xa0how diversification actually works and I\'d love to hear your
381
00:19:03.100 --> 00:19:06.100
\\xa0thoughts on that. Yeah. So you sort of
382
00:19:06.100 --> 00:19:09.400
\\xa0come back to well. What are your expectations? I went
383
00:19:09.400 --> 00:19:12.600
\\xa0when when you hear someone like you or
384
00:19:12.600 --> 00:19:16.400
\\xa0I say, hey a broadly Diversified portfolio is
385
00:19:15.400 --> 00:19:18.900
\\xa0is the starting point for most
386
00:19:18.900 --> 00:19:19.800
\\xa0investors like
387
00:19:20.200 --> 00:19:23.500
Everybody should have if you\'re going to invest you should do it in a
388
00:19:23.500 --> 00:19:26.400
\\xa0fashion that allows you to take advantage of broad-based diversification.
389
00:19:27.300 --> 00:19:30.800
If your expectation when you hear that is, oh, okay. I\'ll
390
00:19:30.800 --> 00:19:33.200
\\xa0never lose money. Well, no that that\'s not what we\'re saying,
391
00:19:33.200 --> 00:19:36.500
\\xa0right? The the point of broad-based diversification
392
00:19:36.500 --> 00:19:39.800
\\xa0is you\'re taking off some of the idiosyncratic risk
393
00:19:39.800 --> 00:19:42.200
\\xa0of any one kind of investment meaning.
394
00:19:43.400 --> 00:19:47.000
All I want to invest the only thing I know about is expensive wine
395
00:19:46.600 --> 00:19:49.200
\\xa0French wine, right? That\'s the only thing I know about that.
396
00:19:49.200 --> 00:19:50.200
\\xa0The only thing I want to invest in
397
00:19:50.900 --> 00:19:53.400
So if that\'s my investment philosophy the risk
398
00:19:53.400 --> 00:19:57.500
\\xa0that I have is that the the wine
399
00:19:56.500 --> 00:19:59.800
\\xa0market goes away people, you know,
400
00:19:59.800 --> 00:20:02.100
\\xa0they\'re tasting preferences. They no longer want
401
00:20:02.100 --> 00:20:05.200
\\xa0to drink expensive wines. We see
402
00:20:05.200 --> 00:20:08.600
\\xa0a shift in the in the wine market where French wines are are no
403
00:20:08.600 --> 00:20:11.700
\\xa0longer as highly valued as California wines, for
404
00:20:11.700 --> 00:20:14.100
\\xa0instance. And if I\'ve invested in
405
00:20:14.100 --> 00:20:17.400
\\xa0a bunch of French wines, just the shift in the market now, I have
406
00:20:17.400 --> 00:20:20.700
\\xa0a dramatic impact in my portfolio and or
407
00:20:20.700 --> 00:20:23.400
\\xa0you know fires in
408
00:20:23.400 --> 00:20:26.700
\\xa0California and drought in France and
409
00:20:26.700 --> 00:20:29.400
\\xa0suddenly the wine market has absolutely no
410
00:20:29.400 --> 00:20:32.600
\\xa0Supply. And so the
411
00:20:32.600 --> 00:20:35.300
\\xa0price of what you\'re holding goes up dramatically, but then
412
00:20:35.300 --> 00:20:38.500
\\xa0when it\'s gone, it\'s gone, right and then what do you invest in? So
413
00:20:38.500 --> 00:20:41.300
\\xa0so the the risk of investing in any one
414
00:20:41.300 --> 00:20:45.600
\\xa0thing you may know that thing inside and out but it\'s idiosyncratic
415
00:20:44.600 --> 00:20:47.200
\\xa0to that thing. You\'re
416
00:20:47.200 --> 00:20:47.900
\\xa0investing in like wine.
417
00:20:48.900 --> 00:20:51.700
So, you know the idea is with
418
00:20:51.700 --> 00:20:54.400
\\xa0diversification. Yeah, okay invest in wine, but while
419
00:20:54.400 --> 00:20:57.900
\\xa0you\'re doing that can we find some other things to invest in that are
420
00:20:57.900 --> 00:21:00.600
\\xa0going to behave differently than Wine does
421
00:21:00.600 --> 00:21:01.100
\\xa0because
422
00:21:02.200 --> 00:21:05.400
If the risks come to bear for wine, you don\'t get wiped out.
423
00:21:06.100 --> 00:21:09.400
Right. So we want to invest you know in a fashion
424
00:21:09.400 --> 00:21:12.300
\\xa0that allows us to sort of achieve these long-term goals without getting
425
00:21:12.300 --> 00:21:15.300
\\xa0wiped out along the way. So instead of investing in
426
00:21:15.300 --> 00:21:18.100
\\xa0wine. Maybe we invest in, you know,
427
00:21:18.100 --> 00:21:21.100
\\xa0small cap stocks in the United States and those are
428
00:21:21.100 --> 00:21:23.200
\\xa0gonna look and behave very differently than the wine market.
429
00:21:23.600 --> 00:21:27.100
And maybe we invest in Emerging Market
430
00:21:26.100 --> 00:21:29.200
\\xa0debt because we know that that\'s gonna
431
00:21:29.200 --> 00:21:32.700
\\xa0behave differently than Securities and wine
432
00:21:32.700 --> 00:21:35.200
\\xa0and maybe we invest in treasuries and
433
00:21:35.200 --> 00:21:38.200
\\xa0maybe right. So as you start to go down that path you look at
434
00:21:38.200 --> 00:21:42.100
\\xa0all of the different things you can lay around that are going to behave differently
435
00:21:41.100 --> 00:21:44.500
\\xa0from the other things that you\'re holding. That\'s not
436
00:21:44.500 --> 00:21:48.700
\\xa0to say that when a systematic level
437
00:21:48.700 --> 00:21:51.600
\\xa0risk comes along like a pandemic or
438
00:21:51.600 --> 00:21:54.500
\\xa0Rising interest rates that all of those things aren\'t
439
00:21:54.500 --> 00:21:58.100
\\xa0going to be impacted by them. They will be right your your
440
00:21:57.100 --> 00:22:00.800
\\xa0wine your small counts dogs. You\'re you\'re
441
00:22:00.800 --> 00:22:03.200
\\xa0treasuries, right? You\'re you\'re emerging market
442
00:22:03.200 --> 00:22:06.400
\\xa0that all of those things are gonna be impacted if there are
443
00:22:06.400 --> 00:22:09.300
\\xa0issues that are roiling markets across the
444
00:22:09.300 --> 00:22:12.600
\\xa0board. And and so if you\'re expectation going
445
00:22:12.600 --> 00:22:15.300
\\xa0into a broadly based Diversified portfolio as I\'ll
446
00:22:15.300 --> 00:22:16.700
\\xa0never lose money, or it\'ll never go down.
447
00:22:17.100 --> 00:22:20.200
That\'s the wrong. I would like to disabuse you of that notion.
448
00:22:21.200 --> 00:22:24.400
What you should expect is if any one or two of these things
449
00:22:24.400 --> 00:22:27.200
\\xa0are impacted by a risk specific to it.
450
00:22:27.200 --> 00:22:30.500
\\xa0I\'m not going to be wiped out and that\'s why I would have a
451
00:22:30.500 --> 00:22:33.500
\\xa0broadly based portfolio Diversified portfolio. Now,
452
00:22:33.500 --> 00:22:36.000
\\xa0I will say that if a part of your
453
00:22:36.800 --> 00:22:39.800
\\xa0diversification are things like Factor exposures. Well, you
454
00:22:39.800 --> 00:22:42.400
\\xa0you end up often doing
455
00:22:42.400 --> 00:22:45.200
\\xa0better than the market even if the markets down
456
00:22:45.200 --> 00:22:48.200
\\xa0and your portfolio is down you end up doing a
457
00:22:48.200 --> 00:22:50.100
\\xa0bit better than the market did in general.
458
00:22:51.100 --> 00:22:54.500
And if you look at like a sick just a generic 60 40 portfolio.
459
00:22:55.400 --> 00:22:57.700
It was one of the worst years on record for.
460
00:22:59.100 --> 00:23:00.600
1640 board folios
461
00:23:01.400 --> 00:23:04.200
because stocks and bonds both went down
462
00:23:04.200 --> 00:23:08.600
\\xa0dramatically in fact bonds had a historically bad year led
463
00:23:07.600 --> 00:23:10.300
\\xa0by treasuries which had the
464
00:23:10.300 --> 00:23:13.300
\\xa0worst year since the you know in 200 and
465
00:23:13.300 --> 00:23:16.300
\\xa0something years, right? So a 60 40
466
00:23:16.300 --> 00:23:20.500
\\xa0a broad base 640 portfolio being down is unusual.
467
00:23:19.500 --> 00:23:22.300
\\xa0It\'s Unique to have
468
00:23:22.300 --> 00:23:25.300
\\xa0that experience, but it\'s also
469
00:23:25.300 --> 00:23:29.100
\\xa0not unexpected given the the
470
00:23:28.100 --> 00:23:31.100
\\xa0Catalyst for why all of those
471
00:23:31.100 --> 00:23:31.900
\\xa0things were down.
472
00:23:32.900 --> 00:23:35.800
That doesn\'t mean you abandon that that
473
00:23:35.800 --> 00:23:38.300
\\xa0investing discipline. It just means that
474
00:23:38.300 --> 00:23:43.000
\\xa0you should expect there are going to be times when broad-based
475
00:23:41.400 --> 00:23:44.100
\\xa0diversification isn\'t going to
476
00:23:44.100 --> 00:23:48.800
\\xa0be the thing that saves you from experiencing a
477
00:23:48.800 --> 00:23:49.500
\\xa0downmark.
478
00:23:50.300 --> 00:23:53.300
So it sounds like there\'s like two two things that you\'re bringing
479
00:23:53.300 --> 00:23:56.800
\\xa0up here, right diversification certainly provides you with some
480
00:23:56.800 --> 00:23:59.700
\\xa0protection from concentrated stock concentrated
481
00:23:59.700 --> 00:24:02.300
\\xa0industry or even sector right? Like you bring
482
00:24:02.300 --> 00:24:06.000
\\xa0up wine a great way to sort of
483
00:24:06.400 --> 00:24:10.300
\\xa0balance that out by maintaining diversification. But however diversification is
484
00:24:10.300 --> 00:24:13.600
\\xa0not going to necessarily protect you from the natural ebb and
485
00:24:13.600 --> 00:24:16.400
\\xa0flows of the market, right? Those are gonna continue to happen
486
00:24:16.400 --> 00:24:19.400
\\xa0but the market risk and I
487
00:24:19.400 --> 00:24:23.000
\\xa0think you would agree is that that\'s what rewards investors for deploying
488
00:24:22.100 --> 00:24:25.200
\\xa0their Capital into the market. Why would I invest
489
00:24:25.200 --> 00:24:28.500
\\xa0broadly in you know, the S&P 500 well because
490
00:24:28.500 --> 00:24:31.300
\\xa0there\'s risk associated broadly with the SD, but and
491
00:24:31.300 --> 00:24:34.700
\\xa0I should be paid for doing so you\'re absolutely spot on right? Yeah. Why
492
00:24:34.700 --> 00:24:37.200
\\xa0are we investing in anything because there\'s risk associated with
493
00:24:37.200 --> 00:24:40.200
\\xa0it and that risk generates return, right? Yeah risk and return our
494
00:24:40.200 --> 00:24:43.600
\\xa0absolutely Inseparable and I think it\'s it behooves investor
495
00:24:43.600 --> 00:24:46.200
\\xa0to keep that investors to keep that sort of Mantra in
496
00:24:46.200 --> 00:24:49.200
\\xa0mind so Casey, thank you so much for
497
00:24:49.200 --> 00:24:50.100
\\xa0your comments. I do have
498
00:24:50.400 --> 00:24:53.500
Last question for you, you know, we covered the current events
499
00:24:53.500 --> 00:24:57.100
\\xa0how that affected the markets, you know investors are
500
00:24:56.100 --> 00:24:59.400
\\xa0listeners are looking at the retirement
501
00:24:59.400 --> 00:25:02.500
\\xa0accounts. They\'re seeing a lot of red. What advice
502
00:25:02.500 --> 00:25:05.300
\\xa0would you give investors? What should
503
00:25:05.300 --> 00:25:08.100
\\xa0they do going into 2023? What are some of the things investors could be
504
00:25:08.100 --> 00:25:11.800
\\xa0doing now? Well, you know, my my knee jerk
505
00:25:11.800 --> 00:25:14.200
\\xa0response to that is nothing right. So if you\'re
506
00:25:14.200 --> 00:25:18.000
\\xa0if you\'re a discipline investor maintain that discipline, right?
507
00:25:17.300 --> 00:25:20.600
\\xa0There\'s no question 2022 was challenging year
508
00:25:20.600 --> 00:25:23.300
\\xa0for investors. And there is likely,
509
00:25:23.300 --> 00:25:26.500
\\xa0you know, these issues that we\'ve been talking about they\'re not resolved.
510
00:25:26.900 --> 00:25:29.800
Right and in and in fact, there will be other things
511
00:25:29.800 --> 00:25:32.300
\\xa0that will Royal the markets layered on
512
00:25:32.300 --> 00:25:35.400
\\xa0top of these like for instance a fight over
513
00:25:35.400 --> 00:25:36.300
\\xa0the debt ceiling, right?
514
00:25:37.300 --> 00:25:40.700
So there\'s likely more turbulence ahead. However, right the
515
00:25:40.700 --> 00:25:44.200
\\xa0the best option for the long-term investor is
516
00:25:43.200 --> 00:25:46.300
\\xa0to find a philosophy that
517
00:25:46.300 --> 00:25:49.500
\\xa0makes sense for them build a portfolio around that and
518
00:25:49.500 --> 00:25:53.100
\\xa0then maintain the course maintain
519
00:25:52.100 --> 00:25:54.200
\\xa0the discipline.
520
00:25:55.800 --> 00:25:58.300
Through up markets down markets, you know turbulence in
521
00:25:58.300 --> 00:26:02.000
\\xa0the headlines the it\'s the discipline of maintaining
522
00:26:01.200 --> 00:26:04.800
\\xa0that philosophy over time that is provides the
523
00:26:04.800 --> 00:26:07.600
\\xa0reward for long-term investors and their steadfast
524
00:26:07.600 --> 00:26:08.000
\\xa0patients.
525
00:26:08.800 --> 00:26:12.700
Through these short-term Market movements or macroeconomic
526
00:26:11.700 --> 00:26:14.300
\\xa0events are the things
527
00:26:14.300 --> 00:26:18.000
\\xa0that are going to generate returns for them over the next Century, right? That\'s
528
00:26:17.500 --> 00:26:20.900
\\xa0it just is what it is. It\'s what it has been for
529
00:26:20.900 --> 00:26:23.600
\\xa0those investors who are looking at 2023 here are
530
00:26:23.600 --> 00:26:26.400
\\xa0some statistics. Hopefully that will Empower you to maintain
531
00:26:26.400 --> 00:26:30.800
\\xa0the course over the sort of the past Century
532
00:26:29.800 --> 00:26:32.600
\\xa0the US has endured 15
533
00:26:32.600 --> 00:26:33.600
\\xa0recessions.
534
00:26:34.500 --> 00:26:37.700
In 11 of the 15 or 73% in
535
00:26:37.700 --> 00:26:37.800
\\xa0time.
536
00:26:38.400 --> 00:26:41.500
Returns on stocks were positive two years after the
537
00:26:41.500 --> 00:26:42.300
\\xa0recession began.
538
00:26:43.200 --> 00:26:46.900
With an annualized average Market return 7.8% So
539
00:26:46.900 --> 00:26:49.800
\\xa0if you\'re concern going into 2023 is always
540
00:26:49.800 --> 00:26:52.100
\\xa0it gonna tip into recession. Should we be concerned with
541
00:26:52.100 --> 00:26:55.700
\\xa0what the FED is doing? Are they gonna go too far? My answer to you
542
00:26:55.700 --> 00:26:59.100
\\xa0would be look recessions are not new with the
543
00:26:58.100 --> 00:27:00.300
\\xa0we\'ve experienced them.
544
00:27:01.500 --> 00:27:04.300
Over time in fact more frequently than
545
00:27:04.300 --> 00:27:07.200
\\xa0you would think and yet in a vast majority of those
546
00:27:07.200 --> 00:27:10.100
\\xa0recessions. If you just have the patience to ride through
547
00:27:10.100 --> 00:27:13.400
\\xa0it you\'re rewarded on the back end of that to to
548
00:27:13.400 --> 00:27:16.300
\\xa0the tune of sort of a healthy average annual Market return of
549
00:27:16.300 --> 00:27:16.800
\\xa0almost 8%
550
00:27:17.200 --> 00:27:20.500
So going into 2023 expect volatility
551
00:27:20.500 --> 00:27:23.300
\\xa0expect there to be things playing out in the headlines. Do not
552
00:27:23.300 --> 00:27:27.000
\\xa0let that pull you away from the long-term
553
00:27:26.600 --> 00:27:29.800
\\xa0discipline and know that the the
554
00:27:29.800 --> 00:27:33.200
\\xa0rationale for why you\'re investing over
555
00:27:32.200 --> 00:27:36.400
\\xa0the long term is sound and
556
00:27:35.400 --> 00:27:38.400
\\xa0you have expectation that this too
557
00:27:38.400 --> 00:27:40.500
\\xa0shall pass and I\'ll be rewarded for that patients.
558
00:27:41.300 --> 00:27:44.500
Yeah, absolutely discipline and patience tends to be the biggest Catalyst
559
00:27:44.500 --> 00:27:47.600
\\xa0for rewards for investors over the long term and going
560
00:27:47.600 --> 00:27:51.000
\\xa0into 2023, you know investors who might be uneasy
561
00:27:50.500 --> 00:27:54.000
\\xa0unable to sleep at night concerned about their portfolios.
562
00:27:53.300 --> 00:27:56.500
\\xa0They should go meet with their financial advisor.
563
00:27:56.500 --> 00:27:59.500
\\xa0Make sure that their current asset allocation is aligned with
564
00:27:59.500 --> 00:28:02.200
\\xa0their financial plan and their long-term goals
565
00:28:02.200 --> 00:28:06.100
\\xa0and objectives and you know, I think staying
566
00:28:05.100 --> 00:28:09.300
\\xa0the course and remaining disciplined makes the
567
00:28:08.300 --> 00:28:11.700
\\xa0most sense but making
568
00:28:11.700 --> 00:28:14.500
\\xa0sure that your portfolio is aligned with what you want to achieve with.
569
00:28:14.500 --> 00:28:17.500
\\xa0Your hard-earned capital is something investors could
570
00:28:17.500 --> 00:28:20.600
\\xa0be doing into 2023 and then expect your
571
00:28:20.600 --> 00:28:23.300
\\xa0advisor say everything\'s gonna be fine unless there\'s
572
00:28:23.300 --> 00:28:27.200
\\xa0some sort of life-changing event that happens with the
573
00:28:26.200 --> 00:28:29.700
\\xa0investor not necessarily the markets
574
00:28:29.700 --> 00:28:32.100
\\xa0Casey. Thank you so much for your insights today.
575
00:28:32.100 --> 00:28:35.100
\\xa0It\'s always a pleasure. We love talking to you and
576
00:28:35.100 --> 00:28:38.000
\\xa0we look to have you back over the next
577
00:28:38.200 --> 00:28:40.700
\\xa0couple of podcasts and I want to thank all of our listeners out there.
578
00:28:41.100 --> 00:28:45.500
Joining us today. Please feel free to access other
579
00:28:45.500 --> 00:28:49.500
\\xa0podcasts that we have done and they
580
00:28:48.500 --> 00:28:51.300
\\xa0can be accessed anywhere you get your
581
00:28:51.300 --> 00:28:54.500
\\xa0podcast. So thanks everyone and we will see you
582
00:28:54.500 --> 00:28:57.900
\\xa0next time symmetry Partners LLC is an
583
00:28:57.900 --> 00:29:00.500
\\xa0investment advisor firm registered with the Securities
584
00:29:00.500 --> 00:29:03.500
\\xa0and Exchange Commission The Firm only transacts business
585
00:29:03.500 --> 00:29:06.400
\\xa0in states where it is properly registered or
586
00:29:06.400 --> 00:29:09.900
\\xa0excluded or Exempted from registration requirements
587
00:29:09.900 --> 00:29:12.700
\\xa0registration of an investment advisor
588
00:29:12.700 --> 00:29:15.200
\\xa0does not imply any specific level of skill or
589
00:29:15.200 --> 00:29:18.200
\\xa0training and does not constitute an endorsement of
590
00:29:18.200 --> 00:29:21.200
\\xa0the firm by the commission. No one should assume that
591
00:29:21.200 --> 00:29:24.900
\\xa0future performance of any specific investment investment strategy
592
00:29:24.900 --> 00:29:27.800
\\xa0product or non-investment related
593
00:29:27.800 --> 00:29:30.600
\\xa0content made reference to directly or indirectly in
594
00:29:30.600 --> 00:29:32.700
\\xa0this material will be profitable.
595
00:29:33.700 --> 00:29:36.200
As with any investment strategy there is the
596
00:29:36.200 --> 00:29:39.800
\\xa0possibility of profitability as well as loss due
597
00:29:39.800 --> 00:29:42.500
\\xa0to various factors including changing market
598
00:29:42.500 --> 00:29:44.900
\\xa0conditions and/or applicable laws.
599
00:29:45.600 --> 00:29:48.800
The content may not be reflective of current opinions
600
00:29:48.800 --> 00:29:51.900
\\xa0or positions. Please note the material
601
00:29:51.900 --> 00:29:54.300
\\xa0is provided for educational and background use
602
00:29:54.300 --> 00:29:57.800
\\xa0only moreover. You should not assume that any discussion or
603
00:29:57.800 --> 00:30:01.100
\\xa0information contained in this material Services the
604
00:30:00.100 --> 00:30:03.500
\\xa0receipt of or as a substitute for
605
00:30:03.500 --> 00:30:05.900
\\xa0personalized investment advice.
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