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The best information we have right now indicates that a dramatic crash in home inventory is very likely as we move through 2020. There are only two places that homes for sale come from. First, is new construction. We are seeing a big drop off in new construction that even goes beyond what the worst expectations were leading into March. And remember, those are number for MARCH! April is likely to be even more depressing! But wait, that is only half of the real estate inventory story.
The other half of our inventory question involves existing homes. If we don\'t see new construction coming anywhere close to demand, then we have to rely on current home owners to come into the market to sell their home. Frankly, that does not look to be a likely scenario!
In todays show, we look at all the data to find out where we are and where we are likely to be later this year and into 2021!
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We will start with a quick look at what we can learn from the CDC website. More information is better than less, so we will go over what I am seeing reported by the CDC and try to calibrate expectations to that.
Next, we will talk about how buyers, sellers and investors in real estate might move forward. In one case, we will discuss a trend I am seeing that is CRITICAL for folks who must get their home sold to understand and avoid at all costs.
To check out the latest from the CDC and what we look at in this video, check out these links:
If you are interested in learning more about finding the perfect property in Morgan Hill, San Martin, Gilroy or any of the other Southern Silicon Valley/Santa Clara County communities I work with, please visit my website:
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That\'s right, giant Wall Street companies have huge holdings in real estate. However, while the media would like you to believe that this is some kind of sin on the part of these companies, the real sin is HOW they ended up owning so much residential real estate. Lets talk about how we got here and how it was clear from the beginning that this was likely to happen.
Way back when all of the foreclosed homes that ended up being held by the government needed to get sold, a plan was hatched. Instead of selling each property individually, they would be bundled together and sold in huge chunks. Maybe we should not judge the motivations on this decision. Perhaps the prevailing opinion was that these homes needed to be out of foreclosure and back in the usable market place as soon as possible. At least that might be one thought. But the easily anticipated consequences we see now should not have been a surprise. This basically made it impossible for anyone but huge corporations with lots of cash (or big credit) to purchase the properties. We covered this on this show at the time and pointed out the downside and possible other options that would be better for the market. It now appears that we were right all along.
Audible.com\\xa0-\\xa0Audible is offering real estate realities listeners a free audiobook of your choice\\xa0and a free 30-day trial membership. Just go to\\xa0http://audibletrial.com/rebel\\xa0and choose from over 180,000 audio programs \\u2013 download a title free and start listening!
SUBSCRIBE TO AUDIBLE TODAY AND CLAIM YOUR FREE BOOK AND 30 DAY TRIAL!
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